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Noel Keenlyside

Professor
  • E-mailNoel.Keenlyside@uib.no
  • Phone+47 55 58 20 32
  • Visitor Address
    Allegt. 70
  • Postal Address
    Postboks 7803
    5020 BERGEN

Current research interest

  • Decadal variability and predictability of climate
  • Tropical interannual climate variability and predictability
  • Extra-tropical ocean-atmosphere interaction
  • Super climate modelling

Five recent publications

 

Courses

GEOF327: The General Circulation of the Atmosphere

GEOF212Physical Climatology

Journal articles
  • King, Martin Peter; Herceg-Bulić, Ivana; Kucharski, Fred; Keenlyside, Noel. 2017. Interannual tropical Pacific sea surface temperature anomalies teleconnection to Northern Hemisphere atmosphere in November. Climate Dynamics. Published ahead of print: 1-19. doi: 10.1007/s00382-017-3727-5
  • Ogawa, Fumiaki; Omrani, Nour-Eddine; Nakamura, Hisashi; Nishii, Kazuaki; Keenlyside, Noel. 2017. Impact of Oceanic Front on the Tropospheric Climatic Trend Induced by Ozone Depletion. CLIVAR Newsletter Exchanges. 71: 37-42. Published 2017-03-22.
  • Wang, Yiguo; Counillon, Francois; Bethke, Ingo; Keenlyside, Noel; Bocquet, Marc; Shen, Mao-Lin. 2017. Optimising assimilation of hydrographic profiles into isopycnal ocean models with ensemble data assimilation. Ocean Modelling. 114: 33-44. doi: 10.1016/j.ocemod.2017.04.007
  • Cabos, William; Sein, Dmitry V.; Pinto, Joaquim G.; Fink, Andreas H.; Koldunov, Nikolay V.; Alvarez, Francisco; Izquierdo, Alfredo; Keenlyside, Noel; Jacob, Daniela. 2016. The South Atlantic Anticyclone as a key player for the representation of the tropical Atlantic climate in coupled climate models. Climate Dynamics. Published ahead of print: 1-19. doi: 10.1007/s00382-016-3319-9
  • Counillon, Francois; Keenlyside, Noel; Bethke, Ingo; Wang, Yiguo; Billeau, Sebastien; Shen, Mao-Lin; Bentsen, Mats. 2016. Flow-dependent assimilation of sea surface temperature in isopycnal coordinates with the Norwegian climate prediction model. Tellus. Series A, Dynamic meteorology and oceanography. 68:32437. doi: 10.3402/tellusa.v68.32437
  • Dieppois, Bastien; Pohl, Benjamin; Rouault, Mathieu; New, Mark; Lawler, Damian; Keenlyside, Noel. 2016. Interannual to interdecadal variability of winter and summer southern African rainfall, and their teleconnections. Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres. doi: 10.1002/2015JD024576
  • Gleixner, Stephanie Nikola; Keenlyside, Noel; Viste, Ellen; Korecha, Diriba. 2016. The El Niño effect on Ethiopian summer rainfall. Climate Dynamics. 1-19. doi: 10.1007/s00382-016-3421-z
  • Keenlyside, Noel; Dommenget, Dietmar. 2016. The fingerprint of global warming in the Tropical Pacific. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences. 33: 533-534. doi: 10.1007/s00376-016-6014-1
  • Mechoso, Carlos R.; Losada, Teresa; Koseki, Shunya; Mohino, Elsa; Keenlyside, Noel; Castaño-Tierno, Antonio; Myers, Timothy A.; Rodriguez-Fonseca, Belén; Toniazzo, Thomas. 2016. Can reducing the incoming energy flux over the Southern Ocean in a CGCM improve its simulation of tropical climate? Geophysical Research Letters. 43: 11,057-11,063. doi: 10.1002/2016GL071150
  • Mohino, Elsa; Keenlyside, Noel; Pohlmann, Holger. 2016. Decadal prediction of Sahel rainfall: where does the skill (or lack thereof) come from? Climate Dynamics. 47: 3593-3612. doi: 10.1007/s00382-016-3416-9
  • Nnamchi, Hyacinth C.; Li, Jianping; Kucharski, Fred; Kang, In-Sik; Keenlyside, Noel; Chang, Ping; Farneti, Riccardo. 2016. An equatorial-extratropical dipole structure of the Atlantic Niño. Journal of Climate. 29: 7295-7311. doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0894.1
  • Omrani, Nour-Eddine; Bader, Jürgen; Keenlyside, Noel; Manzini, Elisa. 2016. Troposphere–stratosphere response to large-scale North Atlantic Ocean variability in an atmosphere/ocean coupled model. Climate Dynamics. 46: 1397-1415. doi: 10.1007/s00382-015-2654-6
  • Reintges, Annika; Martin, Thomas; Latif, Mojib; Keenlyside, Noel. 2016. Uncertainty in twenty-first century projections of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation in CMIP3 and CMIP5 models. Climate Dynamics. doi: 10.1007/s00382-016-3180-x
  • Shen, Mao-Lin; Keenlyside, Noel; Selten, Frank; Wiegerinck, Wim; Duane, Gregory. 2016. Dynamically combining climate models to "supermodel" the tropical Pacific. Geophysical Research Letters. 43: 359-366. doi: 10.1002/2015GL066562
  • Bellucci, Alessio; Haarsma, Reindert J.; Bellouin, Nicolas; Booth, Beatrice; Cagnazzo, Chiara; Van Den Hurk, Bart; Keenlyside, Noel; Koenigk, Torben; Massonnet, François; Materia, Stefano; Weiss, Martina M. 2015. Advancements in decadal climate predictability: The role of nonoceanic drivers. Reviews of geophysics. 53: 165-202. doi: 10.1002/2014RG000473
  • Chang, Chiung-Wen June; Tseng, Wan-Ling; Huang-Hsiung, Hsu; Keenlyside, Noel; Tsuang, Ben-Jei. 2015. The Madden-Julian Oscillation in a warmer world. Geophysical Research Letters. 42: 6034-6042. Published 2015-07-31. doi: 10.1002/2015GL065095
  • Ding, Hui; Keenlyside, Noel; Latif, Mojib; Park, Wonsun; Wahl, Sebastian. 2015. The impact of mean state errors on equatorial Atlantic interannual variability in a climate model. Journal of Geophysical Research - Oceans. 120: 1133-1151. doi: 10.1002/2014JC010384
  • King, Martin Peter; Hell, Momme; Keenlyside, Noel. 2015. Investigation of the atmospheric mechanisms related to the autumn sea ice and winter circulation link in the Northern Hemisphere. Climate Dynamics. 46: 1185-1195. doi: 10.1007/s00382-015-2639-5
  • Mecking, Jennifer V.; Keenlyside, Noel; Greatbatch, Richard J. 2015. Multiple timescales of stochastically forced North Atlantic Ocean variability: A model study. Ocean Dynamics. 65: 1367-1381. doi: 10.1007/s10236-015-0868-0
  • Nnamchi, Hyacinth C; Li, Jianping; Kucharski, Fred; Kang, In-Sik; Keenlyside, Noel; Chang, Ping; Farneti, Riccardo. 2015. Thermodynamic controls of the Atlantic Niño. Nature Communications. 6. doi: 10.1038/ncomms9895
  • Ogawa, Fumiaki; Omrani, Nour-Eddine; Nishii, Kazuaki; Nakamura, Hisashi; Keenlyside, Noel. 2015. Ozone-induced climate change propped up by the Southern Hemisphere oceanic front. Geophysical Research Letters. 42: 10056-10063. doi: 10.1002/2015GL066538
  • Ba, Jin; Keenlyside, Noel; Latif, Mojib; Park, Wonsun; Ding, Hui; Lohmann, Katja; Mignot, Juliette; Menary, Matthew; Otterå, Odd Helge; Wouters, Bert; Salas y Mélia, David; Oka, Akira; Bellucci, Alessio; Volodin, Evgeny. 2014. A multi-model comparison of Atlantic multidecadal variability. Climate Dynamics. 43: 2333-2348. Published 2014-01-30. doi: 10.1007/s00382-014-2056-1
  • Counillon, Francois; Bethke, Ingo; Keenlyside, Noel; Bentsen, Mats; Bertino, Laurent; Zheng, Fei. 2014. Seasonal-to-decadal predictions with the ensemble kalman filter and the Norwegian earth System Model: A twin experiment. Tellus. Series A, Dynamic meteorology and oceanography. 66:21074. doi: 10.3402/tellusa.v66.21074
  • Furevik, Tore; Hviding, Edvard; Keenlyside, Noel. 2014. “Svakere vinder kan redde Sydhavsøyene – enn så lenge”. Bergens Tidende. 16-17. Published 2014-09-29.
  • Gao, Yongqi; Sun, Jianqi; Li, Fei; He, Shengping; Sandven, Stein; Yan, Qing; Zhang, Zhongshi; Lohmann, Katja; Keenlyside, Noel; Furevik, Tore; Suo, Lingling. 2014. Arctic sea ice and Eurasian climate: A review. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences. 32: 92-114. doi: 10.1007/s00376-014-0009-6
  • Gleixner, Stephanie Nikola; Keenlyside, Noel; Hodges, Kevin I.; Tseng, Wan-Ling; Bengtsson, Lennart. 2014. An inter-hemispheric comparison of the tropical storm response to global warming. Climate Dynamics. 42: 2147-2157. doi: 10.1007/s00382-013-1914-6
  • Hand, Ralf; Keenlyside, Noel; Omrani, Nour-Eddine; Latif, Mojib. 2014. Simulated response to inter-annual SST variations in the Gulf Stream region. Climate Dynamics. 42: 715-731. doi: 10.1007/s00382-013-1715-y
  • Keenlyside, Noel; Omrani, Nour-Eddine. 2014. Has a warm North Atlantic contributed to recent European cold winters? Environmental Research Letters. 9. doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/9/6/061001
  • Mecking, J. V.; Keenlyside, Noel; Greatbatch, R. J. 2014. Stochastically-forced multidecadal variability in the North Atlantic: a model study. Climate Dynamics. 43: 271-288. doi: 10.1007/s00382-013-1930-6
  • Omrani, Nour-Eddine; Keenlyside, Noel; Bader, Jürgen; Manzini, E. 2014. Stratosphere key for wintertime atmospheric response to warm Atlantic decadal conditions. Climate Dynamics. 42: 649-663. doi: 10.1007/s00382-013-1860-3
  • Svendsen, Lea; Hetzinger, Steffen; Keenlyside, Noel; Gao, Yongqi. 2014. Marine-based multiproxy reconstruction of Atlantic multidecadal variability. Geophysical Research Letters. 41: 1295-1300. doi: 10.1002/2013GL059076
  • Tseng, Wan-Ling; Tsuang, Ben-Jei; Keenlyside, Noel; Hsu, Huang-Hsiung; Tu, Chia-Ying. 2014. Resolving the upper-ocean warm layer improves the simulation of the Madden-Julian oscillation. Climate Dynamics. 44: 1487-1503. doi: 10.1007/s00382-014-2315-1
  • Ba, Jin; Keenlyside, Noel; Park, Wonsun; Latif, Mojib; Hawkins, Ed; Ding, Hui. 2013. A mechanism for Atlantic multidecadal variability in the Kiel Climate Model. Climate Dynamics. 41: 2133-2144. doi: 10.1007/s00382-012-1633-4
  • Gulev, Sergey K.; Latif, Mojib; Keenlyside, Noel; Park, Wonsun; Koltermann, Klaus Peter. 2013. North Atlantic Ocean control on surface heat flux on multidecadal timescales. Nature. 499: 464-467. doi: 10.1038/nature12268
  • Keenlyside, Noel; Ding, Hui; Latif, Mojib. 2013. Potential of equatorial Atlantic variability to enhance El Niño prediction. Geophysical Research Letters. 40: 2278-2283. doi: 10.1002/grl.50362
  • Pohlmann, Holger; Smith, Doug M.; Balmaseda, Magdalena A.; Keenlyside, Noel; Masina, Simona; Matei, Daniela; Müller, Wolfgang A.; Rogel, Philippe. 2013. Predictability of the mid-latitude Atlantic meridional overturning circulation in a multi-model system. Climate Dynamics. 41: 775-785. doi: 10.1007/s00382-013-1663-6
  • Svendsen, Lea; Kvamstø, Nils G; Keenlyside, Noel. 2013. Weakening AMOC connects Equatorial Atlantic and Pacific interannual variability. Climate Dynamics. 11 pages. doi: 10.1007/s00382-013-1904-8
  • Hetzinger, Steffen; Halfar, Jochen; Mecking, Jennifer V.; Keenlyside, Noel; Kronz, Andreas; Steneck, Robert S.; Adey, Walter H.; Lebednik, Phil A. 2012. Marine proxy evidence linking decadal North Pacific and Atlantic climate. Climate Dynamics. 39: 1447-1455. doi: 10.1007/s00382-011-1229-4
Book sections
  • Keenlyside, Noel; Ba, Jin; Mecking, Jennifer V.; Omrani, Nour-Eddine; Latif, Mojib; Zhang, Rong; Msadek, Rym. 2015. North Atlantic multi-decadal variability - mechanisms and predictability. Chapter 9, pages 141-158. In:
    • Chang, Chih-Pei; Ghil, Michael; Latif, Mojib; Wallace, John M. 2015. Climate Change: Multidecadal and Beyond. 388 pages. ISBN: 978-981-4579-92-6.

More information in national current research information system (CRIStin)

Google user profile

 

Submitted manuscripts

  • Tchipalanga, P.,  M. Dengler, P. Brandt, R. Kopte, M. Macuéria, P. Coelho, M. Ostrowski, N.S. Keenlyside, Eastern boundary circulation and hydrography off Angola – building oceanographic capacities in Southwestern Africa
  • King, M. P., I. Herceg-Bulić, I. Bladé, J. García-Serrano, N. Keenlyside, F. Kucharski, C. Li, S. Sobolowski, Importance of late fall ENSO teleconnection in the Euro- Atlantic sector, submitted
  • Collins, M., S. Minobe, M. Barreiro, S. Bordoni, Y. Kaspi, A. Kumano-Yoshida, N. Keenlyside, E. Manzini, C. O’Reilly, R. Sutton, S.-P. Xie, O. Zolina, Climate Dynamics and Regional Climate Change, submitted
  • Luo, F., S. Li, Y. Gao, N. Keenlyside, L. Svendsen, T. Furevik, The connection between the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation and the Indian Summer Monsoon in the CMIP5 models, Clim Dyn.
  • Cheung, H. H. N., N. Keenlyside, N.-E. Omrani, and W. Zhou, 2017: Remarkable Link between Projected Uncertainties of Arctic Sea Ice Decline and Winter Eurasian Climate. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences.
  • Shen, M.-L. N. Keenlyside, B.C. Bhatt, Role of local ocean-atmosphere interaction in determining tropical Pacific Climate, submitted to CHAOS
  • Hand, R., N.S. Keenlyside, N.-E. Omrani, J. Bader, and R. J. Greatbatch, 2017: The role of local sea surface temperature pattern changes in shaping climate change in the North Atlantic sector. submitted to Climate Dynamics
  • Sarre, A., P. Brehmer, H. Demarcq, N. Keenlyside, and others, 2017: Spatial shift of small pelagic fish as early warning for food security in North-West Africa. submitted
  • Ogawa, F., N. Keenlyside, Y. Gao, T. Koenigk, S. Yang, L. Suo, T. Wang, G. Gastineau, T. Nakamura, H. N. Cheung, N.-E. Omrani, J. Ukita, and V. Semenov, 2017: Evaluating impacts of the Arctic sea-ice loss on the northern hemisphere climate changes. submitted.
  • Nnamchi, H. C., R. Farneti, N. S. Keenlyside, F. Kucharski, and P. Chang, 2017: Decadal variability of the Atlantic Niño. submitted.
  • Årthun, M., B. Bogstad, U. Daewel, N. S. Keenlyside, A. B. Sandø, and C. Schrum, 2017: Multi-year prediction of the Barents Sea cod stock Submitted.
  • Svendsen, L., N. Keenlyside, I. Bethke, and Y. Gao, 2017: Pacific contribution to the early 20th century warming in the Arctic. submitted.
  • Gleixner, S., N. S. Keenlyside, T. Demissie, F. Counillon, Y. Wang, and E. Viste, Seasonal predictability of Kiremt rainfall in CGCMs, submitted to GRL 
  • Nnamchi, H. C., F. Kucharski, N. Keenlyside, and R. Farneti, Analogous seasonal evolution of the South Atlantic SST dipole indices, submitted
  • Sillmann, J., T. L. Thorarinsdottir, N. Keenlyside, N. Schaller, L. Alexander, G. Hegerl, S. I. Seneviratne, R. Vautard, X. Zhang, F. W. Zwiers, Understanding, modeling and predicting weather and climate extremes: Challenges and opportunities, Submitted to WACE
  • Tseng, W.-L., H.-H. Hsu, N. Keenlyside, C.-W. J. Chang, B.-J. Tsuang, C.-Y. Tu, and L.-C. Jiang, Effects of Surface Orography and Land-Sea Contrast on the Madden-Julian Oscillation in the Maritime Continent: A Numerical Study Using ECHAM5-SIT, submitted to J. Climate
  • Zanchettin, D., C. Gaetan, M. W. Arisido, M. Kameswarrao, T. Toniazzo, N. Keenlyside, A. Rubino. Structural decomposition of decadal climate prediction errors: A Bayesian approach, submitted
  • Koseki, S., N. Keenlyside, T. Demissie, T. Toniazzo, F. Counllion, I. Bethke, and M.-L. Shen, 2016: Causes of the large warm-bias in the Angola-Benguela Frontal Zone in the Norwegian Earth System Model. submitted.

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  1. Richter, I., T. Doi, S.K. Behera, and N. Keenlyside, On the link between mean state biases and prediction skill in the tropics – An atmospheric perspective, Clim. Dyn. Accepted
  2. King, M. P., I. Herceg-Bulić, F. Kucharski, N. Keenlyside, 2017: Interannual tropical Pacific sea surface temperature anomalies teleconnection to Northern Hemisphere atmosphere in late autumn, Clim Dyn. doi:10.1007/s00382-017-3727-5 
  3. Årthun, M., T. Eldevik, E. Viste, H. Drange, T. Furevik, H. L. Johnson, and N. S. Keenlyside, 2017: Skillful prediction of European climate rooted in the ocean, in press
  4. Wang, Y., Counillon, F., I. Bethke, N. Keenlyside, Marc Bocquet, and Mao-lin Shen, 2017: Optimising assimilation of hydrographic profiles into isopycnal ocean models with ensemble data assimilation, 114 33–44
  5. Counillon, F., N. Keenlyside, I. Bethke, Y. Wang, S. Billeau, M.-L. Shen, and M. Bentsen: Flow dependent assimilation of SST in isopycnal coordinate with the Norwegian Climate Prediction Model. Tellus A, 68.
  6. Gleixner, S., N.Keenlyside, E.Viste, and D.Korecha, The El Niño effect on Ethiopian Summer rainfall, Clim. Dyn., 1-19
  7. Mohino, E., N.Keenlyside, H.Pohlmann, Decadal prediction of Sahel rainfall: where does the skill (or lack of) come from?, Clim. Dyn. 47 (11), 3593-3612
  8. Mechoso, C. R., T. Losada, T., S. Koseki, E. Mohino, N. Keenlyside, A. Castaño-Tierno, T. Myers, M. B. R. d. Fonseca, and T. Toniazzo, 2016: From the Southern Ocean to the Tropics: How Are Climate Model Errors Amplified? Geophys. Res. Lett. 43 (20)
  9. Cabos, W., D. V. Sein, J. G. Pinto, A. H. Fink, N. V. Koldunov, F. Alvarez, A. Izquierdo, N. Keenlyside, and D. Jacob, 2016: The South Atlantic Anticyclone as a key player for the representation of the Tropical Atlantic climate in coupled climate models. Clim. Dyn., 1-19.
  10. Reintges, A., T. Martin, M. Latif, and N. S. Keenlyside, 2016: Uncertainty in 21st Century Projections of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation in CMIP3 and CMIP5 models. Clim. Dyn., 1-17
  11. Dieppois, B., B. Pohl, M. Rouault, M. New, D. Lawler, and N. Keenlyside, 2016: Interannual to Interdecadal variability of winter and summer southern African rainfall, and their teleconnections. JGR Atmos., 121, 6215-6239.
  12. Nnamchi, H. C., J. Li, F. Kucharski, I.-S. Kang, N. Keenlyside, P. Chang, and R. Farneti, 2016: An equatorial-extratropical dipole structure of the Atlantic Niño. J. Clim.29, 7295-7311.
  13. Shen, M.-L., N. Keenlyside, F. Selten, W. Wiegerinck, and G. S. Duane, 2016: Dynamically combining climate models to “supermodel” the tropical Pacific. Geophys. Res. Lett., 43, 359-366.
  14. Ogawa, F., N.-E. Omrani, K. Nishii, H. Nakamura, and N. Keenlyside, 2015: Ozone-induced climate change propped up by the Southern Hemisphere oceanic front. Geophys. Res. Lett, 42, 10,056-10,063.
  15. Nnamchi, H.C., J. Li,, F. Kucharski, I.-S. Kang , N.S. Keenlyside, P. Chang and R.Farneti, Thermodynamic Controls of the Atlantic Niño, Nat. Commun. 6:8895 
  16. Mecking, J., N.S. Keenlyside, R.J. Greatbatch, Multiple Timescales of Stochastically Forced North Atlantic Ocean Variability: A model study, Oce. Dyn., 1-15
  17. Chang, C.-W. J., W.-L. Tseng, H.-H. Hsu, N. Keenlyside, and B.-J. Tsuang, 2015: The Madden-Julian Oscillation in a warmer world. Geophysical Research Letters, 42, 6034-6042.
  18. Keenlyside, N. S., J. Ba, J. Mecking, N.-O. Omrani, M. Latif, R. Zhang, and R. Msadek, 2015: North Atlantic multi-decadal variability - mechanisms and predictability. Climate Change: Multidecadal and Beyond, C.-P. Chang, M. Ghil, M. Latif, and M. Wallace, Eds., World Scientific Publishing.
  19. Omrani, N.-E., J. Bader, N. S. Keenlyside and E. Manzini, 2015, Troposphere-stratosphere response to large-scale North Atlantic Ocean variability in an atmosphere/ocean coupled model, Clim. Dyn., 1-19
  20. King, M. P., M. Hell, and N. Keenlyside, 2016: Investigation of the atmospheric mechanisms related to the autumn sea ice and winter circulation link in the Northern Hemisphere. Climate Dynamics, 46, 1185-1195.
  21. Ding, H., N. Keenlyside, M. Latif, W. Park, and S. Wahl, 2015: The Impact of Mean State Errors on the Simulated Equatorial Atlantic Interannual Variability. JGR Oceans, 120, 1133-1151
  22. Bellucci, A., R. Haarsma, N. Bellouin, B. Booth, C. Cagnazzo, B. v. d. Hurk, N. Keenlyside, T. Koenigk, F. Massonnet, S. Materia, and M. Weiss, 2015: Advancements in decadal climate predictability: the role of non-oceanic drivers. Rev. of Geophysics, 53, 165–202
  23. Gao, Y., J. Sun, F. Li, S. He, S. Sandven, Q. Yan, Z. Zhang, K. Lohmann, N. Keenlyside, T. Furevik, and L. Suo, 2015: Arctic sea ice and Eurasian climate: A review. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 32, 92-114.
  24. Tseng, W.-L., B.-J. Tsuang, N. Keenlyside, H.-H. Hsu, and C.-Y. Tu, 2014: Resolving the upper-ocean warm layer improves the simulation of the Madden-Julian Oscillation, Clim. Dyn., 1-17
  25. Svendsen, L., S. Hetzinger, N. S. Keenlyside, and Y. Gao, 2014: Marine-based multi-proxy reconstruction of Atlantic multi-decadal variability. Geophys. Res. Lett., 41, 2013GL059076.
  26. Counillon, F., I. Bethke, N. Keenlyside, M. Bentsen, L. Bertino, and F. Zheng, 2014: Seasonal-decadal prediction with the EnKF and NorESM: a twin experimentTellus A, 66, 21074
  27. Ba, J., N. Keenlyside, M. Latif, W. Park, H. Ding, K. Lohmann, J. Mignot, M. Menary, O. Otterå, B. Wouters, D. Salas y Melia, A. Oka, A. Bellucci, and E. Volodin, 2014: A multi-model comparison for Atlantic multidecadal variability. Climate Dynamics, 1-16
  28. Mecking, J.V., N.S. Keenlyside, and R.J. Greatbatch 2014: Stochastically-forced multidecadal variability in the North Atlantic: A model study, Clim. Dyn., 1-18
  29. Gleixner, S., N. Keenlyside, K. Hodges, W.-L. Tseng and L. Bengtsson 2014: An inter-hemispheric comparison of the Tropical Storm response to global warming. Climate Dynamics, 42, 2147-2157
  30. Svendsen, L., N.G. Kvamstø, and N.S. Keenlyside, 2014: Weakening AMOC connects Equatorial Atlantic and Pacific interannual variability. Clim. Dyn., 1-11
  31. Omrani, N.-E., N. S. Keenlyside, J. Bader and E. Manzini, 2014: Stratosphere key for wintertime atmospheric response to warm Atlantic decadal conditions, Clim Dyn (2014) 42:649–663
  32. Gulev, S.K., M. Latif, N. Keenlyside, W. Park, and K. P. Koltermann, 2013: North Atlantic Ocean Control on Surface Heat Flux at Multidecadal Timescales, Nature, 499, 464-467
  33. Keenlyside, N., H. Ding, and M. Latif, 2013: Potential of Equatorial Atlantic Variability to Enhance El Niño PredictionGRL, 40, 2278-2283.
  34. Hand, R., N. S. Keenlyside, N.-E. Omrani and M. Latif, 2013: Simulated response to inter-annual SST variations in the Gulf Stream region, Clim. Dyn, 1-17
  35. Pohlmann, H., D. Smith, M. A. Balmaseda, N. S. Keenlyside, S. Masina, D. Matei, W. A. Müller, and P. Rogel, 2013: Predictability of the mid-latitude Atlantic meridional overturning circulation in a multi-model system.Climate Dynamics, 41, 775-785
  36. Ba, J., N. Keenlyside, W. Park, M. Latif, E. Hawkins, and H. Ding, 2013: A mechanism for Atlantic multidecadal variability in the Kiel Climate Model. Climate Dynamics, 41, 2133-2144
  37. Ding, H., N. Keenlyside, and M. Latif (2012), Impact of the Equatorial Atlantic on the El Niño Southern OscillationClimate Dynamics38(9), 1965-1972.
  38. Meng, Q., M. Latif, W. Park, N. Keenlyside, V. Semenov, and T. Martin (2012), Twentieth century Walker Circulation change: data analysis and model experiments, Climate Dynamics38(9), 1757-1773
  39. Hetzinger, S., J. Halfar, J. V. Mecking, N. S. Keenlyside, A. Kronz, R. S. Steneck, W. H. Adey, and P. A. Lebednik (2012), Marine proxy evidence linking decadal North Pacific and Atlantic climateClimate Dynamics39(6), 1447-1455
  40. Champion, A. J., K. I. Hodges, L. O. Bengtsson, N. S. Keenlyside, and M. Esch, 2011: Impact of increasing resolution and a warmer climate on extreme weather from Northern Hemisphere extratropical cyclones. Tellus Series a-Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, 63, 893-906.
  41. Bengtsson, L., K. I. Hodges, S. Koumoutsaris, M. Zahn, and N. Keenlyside, 2011: The changing atmospheric water cycle in Polar Regions in a warmer climate. Tellus Series a-Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, 63, 907-920.
  42. Bader, J., M. D. S. Mesquita, K. I. Hodges, N. Keenlyside, S. Østerhus, and M. Miles, 2011: A review on Northern Hemisphere sea-ice, storminess and the North Atlantic Oscillation: Observations and projected changes. Atmospheric Research, 101, 809-834.
  43. Latif, M. and N. S. Keenlyside, 2011: A perspective on decadal climate variability and predictability. Deep Sea Research Part II: Topical Studies in Oceanography, 58, 1880-1894.
  44. Hawkins, E., J. Robson, R. Sutton, D. Smith, and N. Keenlyside, 2011: Evaluating the potential for statistical decadal predictions of sea surface temperatures with a perfect model approach. Climate Dynamics, 1-15.
  45. Tozuka, T., T. Doi, T. Miyasaka, N. Keenlyside, and T. Yamagata, 2011: Key factors in simulating the equatorial Atlantic zonal sea surface temperature gradient in a coupled general circulation model. J. Geophys. Res. Oce., 116.
  46. Wahl, S., M. Latif, W. Park, and N. Keenlyside, 2009: On the Tropical Atlantic SST warm bias in the Kiel Climate ModelClimate Dyn., DOI 10.1007/s00382-009-0690-9
  47. Keenlyside, N. S., and J. Ba, 2010: Prospects for decadal climate prediction, Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change, 1, 627-635
  48. Semenov, V. A., M. Latif, D. Dommenget, N. S. Keenlyside, A. Strehz, T. Martin, and W. Park, 2010: The Impact of North Atlantic-Arctic Multidecadal Variability on Northern Hemisphere Surface Air Temperature. Journal of Climate, 23, 5668-5677.
  49. Ding, H., N. S. Keenlyside, and M. Latif, 2010: Equatorial Atlantic interannual variability: the role of heat content, J. Geophys. Res. Oce., 115, C09020
  50. Lübbecke, J. F., C. W. Böning, N. S. Keenlyside, and S.-P. Xie, 2010: On the connection between Benguela and Equatorial Atlantic Niños and the role of the South Atlantic Anticyclone, J. Geophys. Res. Oce., 115, C09015
  51. Lan, Y. Y., B. J. Tsuang, N. Keenlyside, S. L. Wang, C. T. A. Chen, B.J. Wang, and T.H Liu, 2010: Error estimations of dry deposition velocities of air pollutants using bulk sea surface temperature under common assumptions. Atmospheric Environment, 44, 2532-2542, Doi 10.1016/J.Atmosenv.2010.04.021
  52. Weisheimer, A., F.J. Doblas-Reyes, T.N. Palmer, A. Alessandri, A. Arribas, M. Deque, N. Keenlyside, M. MacVean, A. Navarra, and P. Rogel, 2009: ENSEMBLES - a new multi-model ensemble for seasonal-to-annual predictions: Skill and progress beyond DEMETER in forecasting tropical Pacific SSTs, Geophys. Res. Letts. Vol. 36, No. 21, L21711
  53. Meehl, G. A., L. Goddard, J. Murphy, R. J. Stouffer, G. Boer, G. Danabasoglu, K. Dixon, M. A. Giorgetta, A. Greene, E. Hawkins, G. Hegerl, D. Karoly, N. Keenlyside, M. Kimoto, B. Kirtman, A. Navarra, R. Pulwarty, D. Smith, D. Stammer, & T. Stockdale, 2009: Decadal Prediction: Can it be skillful? Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 90, 1467-1485
  54. Doblas-Reyes, F. J., A. Weisheimer, M. Déqué, N. Keenlyside, M. McVean, J. Murphy, P. Rogel, D. Smith, T. N. Palmer, 2009: Addressing model uncertainty in seasonal and annual dynamical ensemble forecasts, Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 135, 1538 - 1559
  55. Latif, M., W. Park, H. Ding, and N. Keenlyside, 2009: Internal and External North Atlantic Sector Variability in the Kiel Climate Model, Meteorologische Zeitschrift, 18, 433-443
  56. Ding, H., N. S. Keenlyside, and M. Latif 2009: Seasonal cycle in the upper equatorial Atlantic Ocean, J. Geophys. Res., 114, C09016, doi:10.1029/2009JC005418
  57. Hodson, D. L. R., R. T. Sutton, C. Cassou, N. Keenlyside, Y. Okumura, and T. Zhou, 2009: Climate impacts of recent multidecadal changes in Atlantic Ocean Sea Surface Temperature: A Multimodel comparison. Climate Dyn., DOI  - 10.1007/s00382-009-0571-2
  58. Zhou, T., R. Yu, J. Zhang, H. Drange, C. Cassou, C. Deser, D. L. R. Hodson, E. Sanchez-Gomez , J. Li, N. Keenlyside, X. Xin, Y. Okumura, 2009: Why the Western Pacific Subtropical High has Extended Westward since the Late 1970s?, J. Climate, 22, 2199–2215
  59. Bengtsson, L., K. I. Hodges, and N. Keenlyside, 2009: Will extra-tropical storms intensify in a warmer climate? J. Climate, 22, 2276–2301
  60. Jansen, M. F., D. Dommenget, N. S. Keenlyside,2009: Tropical Atmosphere-Ocean Interactions in a Conceptual Framework, J. Climate, 22, 550–567
  61. Park, W., N. S. Keenlyside, M. Latif, A. Stroeh, R. Redler, E. Roeckner, G. Madec, 2009: Tropical Pacific Climate and its Response to Global Warming in the Kiel Climate Model, J. Climate, 22 (1), 71-92
  62. Latif, M. and N. S. Keenlyside, 2008: El Niño/Southern Oscillation Response to Global Warming, PNAS, doi:10.1073/pnas.0710860105
  63. 26.  Sanchez-Gomez, E., C. Cassou, D. L. R. Hodson, N. Keenlyside, Y. Okmura, and T. Zhou, 2008: Multi-model signature of the Indian and Western Pacific oceans warming in the occurrence of the North Atlantic weather regimes, Geophys. Res. Letts., 35, L15706
  64. Keenlyside, N. S., M. Latif, J. Jungclaus, L. Kornblueh, and E. Roeckner, 2008: Advancing Decadal-Scale Climate Prediction in the North Atlantic Sector. Nature, 453, 84-88
  65. Matei, D., N. S. Keenlyside, M. Latif, and J. Jungclaus, 2008: Subtropical Forcing of Tropical Pacific Climate and Decadal ENSO Modulation. J. Climate, 21, 4691-4709
  66. Hetzinger, S., M. Pfeiffer, W.-C. Dullo, N.S. Keenlyside, M. Latif, and J. Zinke, 2008: Caribbean Brain Coral Tracks Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation and Past Hurricane Intensity. Geology, 36, 11-14
  67. Latif, M., C. Böning, J. Willebrand, A. Biastoch, F. Alvarez, N. S. Keenlyside, and H. Pohlmann, 2007: Decadal to Multidecadal Variability of the Atlantic MOC: Mechanisms and Predictability. In AGU Monograph 173 “Ocean Circulation: Mechanisms and Impacts – Past and Future Changes of Meridional  Overturning”, A. Schmittner, J.C.H. Chiang, and S.R. Hemming (Eds.), 149 -166
  68. Bengtsson, L., K. I. Hodges, M. Esch, N. S. Keenlyside, L. Kornblueh, J.-J. Luo and T. Yamagata, 2007: How may Tropical Cyclones Change in a Warmer Climate? Tellus, 59A, 539-561
  69. Keenlyside, N., M. Latif, A. Dürkop, 2007: On Sub-ENSO variability. J. Climate, 20, 3452–3469
  70. Latif, M., N. Keenlyside, and J. Bader, 2007: Tropical Sea Surface Temperature, Vertical Wind Shear, and Hurricane Development, Geophys. Res. Lett., 34, L01710, doi:10.1029/2006GL027969
  71. Keenlyside, N., and M. Latif, 2007: Understanding Equatorial Atlantic Interannual Variability, J. Climate, 20, 131-142
  72. Latif, M. M. Collins, H. Pohlmann, and N. Keenlyside, 2006: A Review of Predictability Studies of Atlantic Sector Climate on Decadal Time Scales, J. Climate, 19, 5971–5987
  73. Latif, M., C. Böning, J. Willebrand, A. Biastoch, J. Dengg, N. Keenlyside, and U. Schweckendiek, G. Madec, 2006: Is the Thermohaline Circulation Changing?, J. Climate, 19, 4631-4637
  74. Jungclaus, J. H., N. Keenlyside, M. Botzet, H. Haak, J.-J. Luo, M. Latif, J. Marotzke, U. Mikolajewicz, and E. Roeckner, 2006: Ocean Circulation and Tropical Variability in the Coupled Model ECHAM5/MPI-OM, J. Climate, 19, 3952-3972
  75. Wetzel, P., E. Maier-Reimer, M. Botzet, J. Jungclaus, N. Keenlyside, and M. Latif, 2006: Effects of Ocean Biology on the Penetrative Radiation in a Coupled Climate Model, J. Climate, 19, 3973-3987
  76. Zhang, R.-H., S. E. Zebiak, R. Kleeman, and N. Keenlyside, 2005: Retrospective El Niño hindcasts/forecasts using an improved intermediate coupled model, Mon. Weath. Rev., 133, 2777-2802
  77. Keenlyside, N., M. Latif, M. Botzet, J. Jungclaus, and U. Schulzweida, 2005:A coupled method for initialising ENSO forecasts using SST, Tellus, 57A, 340-356
  78. Zhang, R.-H., R. Kleeman, S. E. Zebiak, N. Keenlyside, and S. Raynaud, 2005: An empirical parameterization of subsurface entrainment temperature for improved SST anomaly simulations in an intermediate ocean model, J. Climate, 18(2), 350-371
  79. Palmer, T.N., A. Alessandri, U. Andersen, P. Cantelaube, M. Davey, P. Délécluse, M. Déqué, E. Díez, F. J. Doblas-Reyes, H. Feddersen, R. Graham, S. Gualdi, J.-F. Guérémy, R. Hagedorn, M. Hoshen, N. Keenlyside, M. Latif, A. Lazar, E. Maisonnave, V. Marletto, A. P. Morse, B. Orfila, P. Rogel, J.-M. Terres and M. C. Thomson, 2004: Development of a European multimodel ensemble for seasonal-to-interannual prediction (DEMETER), Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 85(6), 853-872
  80. Zhang, R.-H., S. E. Zebiak, R. Kleeman, and N. Keenlyside, 2003: A new intermediate coupled model for El Niño simulation and prediction, Geophys. Res. Lett., 30(19), 2012, doi:10.1029/2003GL018010
  81. Keenlyside, N., and R. Kleeman, 2002: Annual cycle of equatorial zonal currents in the Pacific, J. Geophys. Res., 107 (8), 10.1029/2000JC000711
  82. Arif, I., I. A. Newman, and N. Keenlyside, 1995: Theoretical paper: Proton flux measurements from tissues in buffered solution, Plant, Cell and Environment, 18,1319-1324 

Non-peer-reviewed publications

  • Ogawa, F. N.-E. Omrani, H. Nakamura, K. Nishii, N. Keenlyside, 2017: Impact of Oceanic Front on the Tropospheric Climatic Trend Induced by Ozone Depletion, CLIVAR Exchanges, 71, 37-42
  • Keenlyside, N. and D. Dommenget, 2016: The Fingerprint of Global Warming in the Tropical Pacific. Adv. Atmos. Sci., 33, 533-534.
  • Peings, Y., G. Magnusdottir, N.-E. Omrani, and N. Keenlyside, 2014, Can high latitude boundary forcings (ocean-ice-snow) improve predictability on seasonal and decadal time scales? Clivar Variations Newsletter, 12 (3), 18-23
  • Keenlyside, N. and N.-E. Omrani, 2014: Has a warm North Atlantic contributed to recent European cold winters? Environmental Research Letters, 9, 061001.
  • Keenlyside, N. S., 2011: Commentary on "Validation and forecasting accuracy in models of climate change". International Journal of Forecasting, 27, 1000-1003.
  • Murphy, J., V. Kattsov, N. Keenlyside, M. Kimoto, J. Meehl, V. Mehta, H. Pohlmann, A. Scaife, D. Smith, 2009: Towards Prediction of Decadal Climate Variability and Change, White paper for World Climate Conference - 3
  • Hurrell, J., T. Delworth, G. Danabasoglu, H. Drange, S. Griffies, N. Holbrook, B. Kirtman, N. Keenlyside, M. Latif, J. Marotzke, G. Meehl, T. Palmer, H. Pohlmann, T. Rosati, R. Seager, D. Smith, R. Sutton, A. Timmermann, K. Trenberth, and J.Tribbia, 2009, Decadal Climate Prediction: Opportunities and Challenges, Community White Papers for OceanObs'09
  • Latif, M., T. Delworth, D. Dommenget, H. Drange, W. Hazeleger, J. Hurrell, N. Keenlyside, G. Meehl, and R. Sutton, 2009: Dynamics of Decadal Climate Variability and Implications for its Prediction, Community White Papers for OceanObs'09
  • N. Keenlyside, 2009: Clean air policy and Arctic warming, Nature Geosciences (News & Views), 2, 243 - 244
  • N. Keenlyside, N. Omrani, K. Krüger, M. Latif and A. Scaife, 2008: Decadal predictability: How might the stratosphere be involved? SPARC Newsletter 31, 23-27
  • Latif, M. M. Collins, R. J. Stouffer, H. Pohlmann, and N. Keenlyside, 2004: The physical basis for prediction of Atlantic sector climate on decadal timescales, CLIVAR Exchanges 9, 6-8

Employment

2011 - Professor, Geophysical Institute, University of Bergen

2014 - Adjunct position, Nansen Environmental and Remote Sensing Center 

2008-2013 Head, Emmy Noether Research Group, IFM-GEOMAR/GFI

2005-2008 Research Scientist, IFM-GEOMAR

2003-2005 Postdoctoral fellow, IFM-GEOMAR (formerly IFM), University of Kiel

2001-2003 Postdoctoral fellow, Max-Planck-Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg

1997-2001 Tutor, Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Monash University

Education

1997-2001  Doctor of Philosophy, Monash University, Australia

1996 First Class Honours in Physics, University of Tasmania

1992-1995   Bachelor of Science (Physics and Mathematics), University of Tasmania

Awards

2015 ERC Consolidator Grant

2007 Fellow in the Emmy Noether Program of the DFG (German Research Foundation)

2006 NORBERT GERBIER - MUMM International Award

Current

2015-2020, ERC Consolidator Grant, Synchronisation to enhance reliability of climate prediction (STERCP)

2014-2016 NordForsk TRI, Impact of Future Cryospheric Changes on Northern Hemisphere. Climate, Green Growth and Society (GREENICE)

2013-2017 NFR, Enhancing seasonal-to-decadal Prediction Of Climate for the North Atlantic Sector and Arctic (EPOCASA)

2014-2017 EU FP7, Enhancing prediction of Tropical Atlantic climate and its impacts (PREFACE)

 

Previous (selected)

2012-2016 EU: Marie Curie Career Integration Grants (CIG), Strategies toward enhancing prediction of climate and its impacts (STEPS)

2010-2013 EU: STREP, Supermodeling by combining imperfect models (SUMO)

2008-2013 Emmy Noether research group funded by the German Research Foundation (DFG): "Mechanisms and predictability of North Atlantic Decadal Climate variability"

 

Research groups