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Endre Meyer Tvinnereim's picture

Endre Meyer Tvinnereim

Associate Professor, political science
  • E-mailEndre.Tvinnereim@uib.no
  • Phone+47 55 58 38 89+47 474 56 166
  • Visitor Address
    Christiesgt. 17
  • Postal Address
    Postboks 7802
    5020 BERGEN

My main research interests are comparative public opinion on climate policies, quantitative text analysis in survey research and evidence-based evaluations of cap-and-trade and other CO2 pricing mechanisms. My public opinion research using quantitative text analysis and public opinion surveys has been published in journals such as Nature Climate Change, Global Environmental Change and Energy Policy. I rely primarily on survey questions and survey experiments run by my team on the Norwegian Citizen Panel, a probability-sample online infrastructure for collecting people's views on current matters. I have also used data from other opinion surveys and countries in my publications, including China and Bangladesh. Using more traditional survey questions, I find that people working in the fossil fuel industry are less likely to support climate policies that imply high costs to their industry, but are as likely as everybody else to support policies with lower costs.

My second stream of research involves the political origins, practical operations and effects of cap-and-trade systems and other forms of emission pricing. One of my key findings is that systems with emission caps often experience greater emission cuts than initially expected, which in turn leads to lower permit prices and public criticism, but which also implies that greater cuts are possible at a reasonable price. At the same time, my co-author Michael Mehling (MIT) and I find that taxes on emissions rarely lead to absolute emission reductions, which means that additional instruments are needed if deep decarbonization is the goal. We summarise our argument in the article "Carbon pricing and the 1.5°C target : near-term decarbonisation and the importance of an instrument mix," which was cited in the 1.5°C IPCC report (chapter 2).

I currently serve as a member of the Executive Council for the Science, Technology & Environmental Policy (STEP) section of the American Political Science Association, elected for the 2018-2021 term. Since 2016 I have served on the Editorial Board of the Nature journal Scientific Data, organizing reviews and evaluating data descriptors, and with the overall aim of making the current wealth of research data in the world more available for replication and new analysis. I am furthermore coordinator of the Climate Change and Environment research group of the Norwegian Citizen Panel alongside Gisela Böhm (Psychology, University of Bergen).

In my previous position at Thomson Reuters Point Carbon, I analysed emission trading and climate policies in Europe and internationally, writing subscription-based and consultancy reports, maintaining emission data sets and communicating with customers. This work gave me ideas for research topics for later publications, networks in industry and government, and experience in communicating with non-scientific audiences. I also gained experience running large surveys, which I have built on in my current public opinion work. I believe in data sharing and routinely publicise the data and code for my publications in open depositories.

Featured publications:

Tvinnereim E and Fløttum K. (2015) "Explaining topic prevalence in open-ended survey questions on climate change." Nature Climate Change 5: 744–747.

Tvinnereim E and Ivarsflaten E. (2016) "Fossil fuels, employment, and support for climate policies. Energy Policy 96: 364-371 (17 citations).

Mehling, M. and Tvinnereim, E. (2018) "Carbon pricing and the 1.5°C target : near-term decarbonisation and the importance of an instrument mix." Carbon and Climate Law Review, 12 (1). pp. 50-61. (Article cited in the 1.5°C IPCC report, chapter 2.)

Link to my Google Scholar page and my profile on ResearchGate.

 

 

 

  • Show author(s) 2021. Explaining landscape preference heterogeneity using machine learning-based survey analysis. Landscape Research. 18 pages.
  • Show author(s) 2020. Who cares about Norway's energy transition? A survey experiment about citizen associations and petroleum. Energy Research & Social Science. 1-10.
  • Show author(s) 2020. Verdi-og kunnskapsgrunnlag for fremtidens barnehage.
  • Show author(s) 2020. Political orientation moderates the relationship between climate change beliefs and worry about climate change. Frontiers in Psychology. 1-12.
  • Show author(s) 2020. PerCCSeptions.
  • Show author(s) 2020. Generalization of Classic Question Order Effects Across Cultures. Sociological Methods & Research. 567-602.
  • Show author(s) 2020. Explaining public acceptance of congestion charging: The role of geographical variation in the Bergen case. Case Studies on Transport Policy. 992-1001.
  • Show author(s) 2020. Climate change risk perceptions and the problem of scale: Evidence from cross-national survey experiments. Environmental Politics.
  • Show author(s) 2020. Can We Price Carbon?, by Barry G. Rabe. Carbon and Climate Law Review.
  • Show author(s) 2019. Åpne tekstsvar for å måle klimaholdninger og klimahandlinger.
  • Show author(s) 2019. Skoleelever over hele verden streiket for klima.
  • Show author(s) 2019. Scientific truth or debate: On the link between perceived scientific consensus and belief in anthropogenic climate change. Public Understanding of Science.
  • Show author(s) 2019. Public perceptions of carbon capture and storage: the perCCSeptions project.
  • Show author(s) 2019. Predictors of worry about climate change across Europe.
  • Show author(s) 2019. Political strategies of fossil fuel workers in times of crisis.
  • Show author(s) 2019. Olje- og gassutvinning i Lofoten og Vesterålen. Energi og Klima : Norsk klimastiftelses nettmagasin.
  • Show author(s) 2019. Norwegian citizens’ associations with “oil and gas”, “energy” and “transition”.
  • Show author(s) 2019. Norwegian citizens' associations with "oil and gas", "energy" and "transition".
  • Show author(s) 2019. Miljøløs klimakamp.
  • Show author(s) 2019. Kva meiner innbyggjarane om å redusere sitt eige forbruk for å redde miljøet? Nye resultat frå UiB sitt Medborgarpanel.
  • Show author(s) 2019. Klimakvoter i spenningen mellom kostnadseffektivitet og avkarbonisering .
  • Show author(s) 2019. Karbonpriser og kvoter .
  • Show author(s) 2019. Informing socially sustainable afforestation strategies to mitigate climate change.
  • Show author(s) 2019. Informing socially sustainable afforestation strategies to mitigate climate change.
  • Show author(s) 2019. Informing socially sustainable afforestation strategies.
  • Show author(s) 2019. Hvordan fungerer egentlig en klimakvote?
  • Show author(s) 2019. Hvilke svar gir en spørreundersøkelse? .
  • Show author(s) 2019. Hva mener folk om vindkraft på land og til havs? Energi og Klima : Norsk klimastiftelses nettmagasin.
  • Show author(s) 2019. Efficient but contentious. One Earth. 8-8.
  • Show author(s) 2019. Day Zero event: Public perceptions of climate change.
  • Show author(s) 2019. Combined effects of implementing afforestation as part of climate mitigation strategy in Norway.
  • Show author(s) 2019. Bilparken – bare nullutslippsbiler fra 2025? Energi og Klima : Norsk klimastiftelses nettmagasin.
  • Show author(s) 2019. Bekymring for klimaendringer. Energi og Klima : Norsk klimastiftelses nettmagasin.
  • Show author(s) 2019. Attitudes to public spending on environmental risk reduction: the role of temporal and spatial distance. Environmental Sociology. 362-373.
  • Show author(s) 2019. Associations évoquées par le changement climatique chez des citoyens français et norvégiens. Bergen Language and Linguistics Studies (BeLLS). 12 pages.
  • Show author(s) 2019. Afforestation to mitigate climate doesn’t always work.
  • Show author(s) 2019. Afforestation to mitigate climate doesn’t always work.
  • Show author(s) 2019. Afforestation to mitigate climate doesn't always work.
  • Show author(s) 2019. A Comparative Analysis of Public Perception on Air Pollution and Climate Change.
  • Show author(s) 2018. Who opposes climate regulation? Business preferences for the European emission trading scheme. The Review of International Organizations. 1-32.
  • Show author(s) 2018. Survey experiments.
  • Show author(s) 2018. Plastic, behavior, attitudes.
  • Show author(s) 2018. Norwegian Citizen Panel 2018: Study Documentation and data set. .
  • Show author(s) 2018. Norges klimaforpliktelser i internasjonal kontekst.
  • Show author(s) 2018. Holdninger til miljø og klima i Nord-Norge, på Arctic Frontiers og i Norge som helhet.
  • Show author(s) 2018. Generalization of Classic Question Order Effects across Cultures. Sociological Methods & Research. 1-36.
  • Show author(s) 2018. Folks oppfatninger av klimatiltak i transportsektoren: Norsk Medborgerpanels klima- og miljøgruppe.
  • Show author(s) 2018. Flykvoter - er det realistisk og hva må til?
  • Show author(s) 2018. Firms’ Preferences for Carbon Market Design in the EU.
  • Show author(s) 2018. Explaining variation in energy and emission taxes: Interactions of political economy, electoral systems, and environmental policy.
  • Show author(s) 2018. Er elbil mer eller mindre miljøvennlig enn bensin- og dieselbil? Fem klimaforskere svarer på samme spørsmål. .
  • Show author(s) 2018. Dette mener nordmenn om elbiler.
  • Show author(s) 2018. Carbon pricing and deep decarbonisation. Energy Policy. 185-189.
  • Show author(s) 2018. Carbon Pricing and the 1.5°C Target: Near-Term Decarbonisation and the Importance of an Instrument Mix. Carbon and Climate Law Review. 50-61.
  • Show author(s) 2018. CET Klimasnakk: Flykvoter - er det realistisk og hva må til? Live- innspilling av podcast 13.11.18 med stortingsrepresentant Ketil Kjenseth.
  • Show author(s) 2017. Topic modeling of multi-language, open-ended survey responses.
  • Show author(s) 2017. The political economy of greenhouse gas emission prices: Theory and practice.
  • Show author(s) 2017. Storms, ice and conspiracies: Explaining what people in four European countries associate with climate change.
  • Show author(s) 2017. Public concerns and preferences regarding energy supply systems: A comparison across four European countries.
  • Show author(s) 2017. Public acceptance of energy sources.
  • Show author(s) 2017. Pricing not enough for deep carbon cuts. Nature. 175-175.
  • Show author(s) 2017. Physical changes and risks to humans: Explaining what people in four European countries associate with climate change.
  • Show author(s) 2017. Norwegian citizens' conception of energy and energy transition.
  • Show author(s) 2017. Narrative as a method for eliciting tacit knowledge of climate variability in Bangladesh. Weather, Climate, and Society. 669-686.
  • Show author(s) 2017. Is support for international climate action conditional on perceptions of reciprocity? Evidence from survey experiments in Canada, the US, Norway, and Sweden. COSMOS, the Journal of the Singapore National Academy of Science.
  • Show author(s) 2017. Introduction to cap-and-trade.
  • Show author(s) 2017. Holdninger til klima- og energispørsmål i Norge.
  • Show author(s) 2017. Hidden costs of implementing afforestation as a climate mitigation strategy: A comprehensive assessment of direct and indirect impacts.
  • Show author(s) 2017. European Perceptions of Climate Change: Topline findings of a survey conducted in four European countries in 2016. .
  • Show author(s) 2017. European Perceptions of Climate Change - Six Recommendations for Public Engagement. .
  • Show author(s) 2017. Emotional reactions to climate change: A comparison across four European countries.
  • Show author(s) 2017. Emotional reactions to climate change: A comparison across Norway, Great Britain, Germany, and France.
  • Show author(s) 2017. Climate policy - an international perspective.
  • Show author(s) 2017. Citizens' preferences for tackling climate change. Quantitative and qualitative analyses of their freely formulated solutions. Global Environmental Change. 34-41.
  • Show author(s) 2017. Carbon prices: Models, practice, and the political economy of induced emission reductions.
  • Show author(s) 2017. CO2 pricing: Economics, energy security, and implications for climate models.
  • Show author(s) 2017. Aksept for lavutslippstiltak: Data, metoder og modeller.
  • Show author(s) 2017. A contingent valuation study comparing citizen’s willingness-to-pay for climate change mitigation in China and the United States. Environmental Economics and Policy Studies. 451-475.
  • Show author(s) 2016. Åpne surveysvar og kvantitativ tekstanalyse.
  • Show author(s) 2016. Research ethics: methods for safeguarding respondent anonymity.
  • Show author(s) 2016. Public perceptions of air pollution and climate change: Different manifestations; similar causes and concerns. Climatic Change. 399-412.
  • Show author(s) 2016. Klimaendringer på Svalbard: effekter på naturmangfold og konsekvenser for den fremtidige naturforvaltningen. Delprosjekt: de samfunnsmessige aspektene av klimaendringer på Svalbard. Rokkansenteret Notat. 35 pages.
  • Show author(s) 2016. Klimaendringer på Svalbard: effekter på naturmangfold og konsekvenser for den fremtidige naturforvaltningen. .
  • Show author(s) 2016. Informantintervjuing: eksempler fra Norsk Medborgerpanel.
  • Show author(s) 2016. Holdninger til miljø og klima: Medborgerpanelet, surveyeksperimenter og åpne spørsmål.
  • Show author(s) 2016. Holdninger til klimaendringer og -løsninger: Norsk medborgerpanel og åpne spørsmål .
  • Show author(s) 2016. Fossil Fuels, Employment, and Support for Climate Policies. Energy Policy. 364-371.
  • Show author(s) 2016. Folkelig aksept for klima- og energitiltak i Norge. Samfunnsøkonomen. 77-86.
  • Show author(s) 2016. Folk vil bidra til klimakutt. Energi og Klima : Norsk klimastiftelses nettmagasin.
  • Show author(s) 2016. European Perceptions of Climate Change. Socio-political profiles to inform a crossnational survey in France, Germany, Norway and the UK. .
  • Show author(s) 2016. Empirical record of emissions under cap-and-trade and public understanding of climate solutions using open-ended survey questions.
  • Show author(s) 2016. Death or taxes? Explaining what people associate with climate change in four countries. SRA.
  • Show author(s) 2016. Death or taxes: Explaining what citizens associate with climate change in four countries.
  • Show author(s) 2016. CO2-priser og teknologisk utvikling.
  • Show author(s) 2016. 43,112 and counting: Prat om USA-valget ispedd litt statistikk.
  • Show author(s) 2015. Åpne spørsmål.
  • Show author(s) 2015. Who supports the EU ETS? Trends in the Carbon Market Survey. Carbon Market Monitor. 5-7.
  • Show author(s) 2015. Som du roper i skogen, får du svar. Bergens Tidende.
  • Show author(s) 2015. Kvantitativ tekstanalyse og kvalitativ metode: Eksempler på praktiske applikasjoner på klimafeltet.
  • Show author(s) 2015. Klimakvoter: Bedre enn sitt rykte, men langt fra nok. Røyst. 73-80.
  • Show author(s) 2015. Klimaforhandlingene på syv minutter.
  • Show author(s) 2015. Klimaendringer og norsk opinion.
  • Show author(s) 2015. Karbonprising, kvoter og kvotemarknad.
  • Show author(s) 2015. Exploring citizens’ views of climate solutions in their own words.
  • Show author(s) 2015. Explaining topic prevalence in answers to open-ended survey questions about climate change. Nature Climate Change. 744-747.
  • Show author(s) 2015. Economic Interest and Public Support for Climate Policies.
  • Show author(s) 2015. Climate Regulations and Carbon Pricing: Business Preferences for the European Emission Trading Scheme .
  • Show author(s) 2014. What do we talk about when we talk about climate change? Explaining topic prevalence in open-ended survey answers.
  • Show author(s) 2014. The bears are right: Why cap-and-trade yields greater emission reductions than expected, and what that means for climate policy. Climatic Change. 447-461.
  • Show author(s) 2014. Stoler nordmenn på klimavitenskapen? Hva mener de unge om klimaendringene?
  • Show author(s) 2014. Regulating greenhouse gases around the world: Emissions, emission prices, and complementary policies.
  • Show author(s) 2014. Public support for climate and energy policies: The use of survey experiments.
  • Show author(s) 2014. Når det snakkes om klima, bør vi se oljearbeideren i rommet. Yrke, arbeidsplass og holdninger til klimaendringer. 18 pages.
  • Show author(s) 2014. Nye retninger i forskning på klimaendringer og opinion.
  • Show author(s) 2014. Norsk ungdom: Klimaendringene er i stor grad menneskeskapte. Energi og Klima : Norsk klimastiftelses nettmagasin.
  • Show author(s) 2014. Is support for international climate action conditional on perceptions of reciprocity? Evidence from three population-based survey experiments in Canada, the US, and Norway.
  • Show author(s) 2014. Inducing Information Structures for Data-driven Text Analysis. Association for Computational Linguistics (ACL). Annual Meeting Conference Proceedings.
  • Show author(s) 2014. Hva mener borgerne? Vi analyserer opinionen med Norsk Medborgerpanel.
  • Show author(s) 2014. Hva er en klimakvote?
  • Show author(s) 2014. Climate policy and markets for emissions.
  • Show author(s) 2014. Climate change governance at multiple levels: Constraining and enabling policies from the local to the global.
  • Show author(s) 2014. Climate change and Norwegian public opinion.
  • Show author(s) 2014. Ambiguous messaging on climate change and fossil fuel production: Evidence from the Norwegian Citizen Panel.
  • Show author(s) 2013. Virkemidler i klimapolitikken: Utslippsbegrensninger og støtteordninger.
  • Show author(s) 2013. Urban Climate Change Policies in the Transportation Sector: Approaches and Outcomes.
  • Show author(s) 2013. Public opinion about climate change: The role of individual employment in fossil-fuel intensive sectors.
  • Show author(s) 2013. Paths Toward Large, Unilateral Climate Policies: Policy-Seeking, Attenuated Accountability and Second-Order Government Assertiveness. Journal of Energy and Natural Resources Law. 379-405.
  • Show author(s) 2013. Norsk energi i europeisk perspektiv - kva vil EU og korleis påverkar dette oss?
  • Show author(s) 2013. Kvotehandel: Flaggskip i dødvanne. .
  • Show author(s) 2013. Kullkraft berger strømprisen. Gjest i studio: Endre Tvinnereim.
  • Show author(s) 2013. Frykter at EUs klimaplan havarerer.
  • Show author(s) 2013. Den lange vegen mot CO₂-lagring.
  • Show author(s) 2013. Cool markets, cool planet: Why cap-and-trade yields greater emission reductions than expected.
  • Show author(s) 2013. Cool markets, cool planet: Why cap-and-trade yields greater emission reductions than expected.
  • Show author(s) 2013. Climate policy: a global perspective.
  • Show author(s) 2013. Carbon markets and climate policy.
  • Show author(s) 2013. Ambiguous messaging and Norwegians’ views on climate change.
  • Show author(s) 2012. Tar for hardt i. Klima. 25-25.
  • Show author(s) 2012. Statoil sponser giftig industri.
  • Show author(s) 2012. Measuring Mitigation Policy.
  • Show author(s) 2012. Karbonhandel og debatten om ’kutt hjemme og ute’.
  • Show author(s) 2012. EU ved grønn korsvei.
  • Show author(s) 2012. Climate scepticism: Science literacy, world views, and economic interests.
  • Show author(s) 2012. Climate regulations around the world: Domestic and international approaches.
  • Show author(s) 2011. Stressing the 'A' in AGW: The Bergen program on governance and climate.
  • Show author(s) 2011. Climate regulations and carbon trading.
  • Show author(s) 2011. Brazil's domestic emission reductions and international climate policy stance.

More information in national current research information system (CRIStin)

2017-2020    Hidden costs of implementing afforestation as a climate mitigation strategy: A comprehensive assessment of direct and indirect impacts. Work package leader. An interdisciplinary project on ecosystem and societal effects of afforestation, using innovative survey experiments informed by in-house biogeochemistry results. Funder: Research Council Norway (RCN).

2017-2020    Analyzing past and future energy industry contractions: Towards a better understanding of the flip-side of energy transitions. Work package leader. My role is to analyse historical cases of decline in energy industries including societal effects. Funder: RCN.

2016-2019    Pathways to Energy Transition. Project coordinator. Survey experiments on perceptions of energy transitions using open-ended questions and quantitative text analysis.  Funder: Akademia agreement UiB-Statoil.

 

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