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University of Bergen
Hsin-Yu Chu's picture

Hsin-Yu Chu

PhD Candidate
Geophysical Institute
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  • E-mailHsin-Yu.Chu@uib.no
  • Visitor Address
    Allégaten 70
    5007 Bergen
  • Postal Address
    Postboks 7803
    5020 Bergen

In recent years, a better understanding of the climate system and improvements in climate modeling have necessitated the enhanced utilization of climate predictions in sectors heavily affected by climate change, such as agriculture, energy, and shipping. The multitude of applications makes the development of valuable climate predictions for stakeholders an endlessly intriguing field of research. Particularly within the 2 to 4-week time horizon, significant gaps exist in our understanding of the predictable components of the climate system and the utilization of this knowledge to generate practical forecasts. My PhD research, titled «Advancing and Exploring Probabilistic Precipitation Forecasting and Predictability in Norway using a Bayesian Hierarchical Framework», aims to create reliable and valuable probabilistic precipitation forecasts for Norwegian farmers within this time frame.

PEER-REVIEWED PUBLICATIONS

Domestic Journals(In Mandarin)

  1. Chu, H.-Y., and Chang H.-L., 2022: Applying Multi-Variate Bayesian Processor of Ensemble and Spherical Harmonics Waveband Decomposition to Extended-Range Extreme Low Temperature Probabilistic Forecasts, Atmospheric Sciences, Meteorological Society of the ROC, Available at: Paper

CONFERENCE PUBLICATIONS

International Conference

  1. Chu, H.-Y., Chen Y.-J., Toth, Z., and Chang H.-L., 2022: Probabilistic Extreme Temperature Forecasts Using the Bayesian Processor of Ensemble Over Taiwan, 2022 Asia Oceania Geosciences Society 19th Annual Meeting, AS38-A002, Available at: Poster, Extended Abstract
  2. Chu, H.-Y., Chang H.-L., and Toth, Z., 2021: Extended-Range Temperature Probabilistic Forecasts Using the Bayesian Processor of Ensemble Over Taiwan, 2021 Asia Oceania Geosciences Society 18th Annual Meeting, AS30-A013, Available at: Poster
  3. Chu, H.-Y. , Chang H.-L., and Toth, Z., 2021: Applying a Fully Bayesian Post-Processing calibration approach to the medium range and sub-seasonal probabilistic temperature forecasts in Taiwan: Current development and challenges, 4th Taiwan West Pacific Global Forecast System Development Workshop
  4. Chang H.-L., Chen Y.-J., Chu, H.-Y., Chou S.-C., Lo T.-W., Chen J.-H., and Lin P.-L.(2020): Improving Forecast Skills of Week-2 Temperature Extremes Using Ensemble Kernel Density Model Output Statistics (EKDMOS), 2020 Asia Oceania Geosciences Society 17th Annual Meeting, AS40-A025 (Finalized, but conference cancelled due to COVID-19)
  5. Chou S.-C., Chang H.-L., Chen Y.-J., Chu, H.-Y., , Lo T.-W., Chen J.-H., Lin P.-L., and Liao W.-W.(2020): Analysis of Economic Value for 2-week Ensemble Precipitation Forecasts Over Taiwan, 2020 Asia Oceania Geosciences Society 17th Annual Meeting, AS40-A027 (Finalized, but conference cancelled due to COVID-19)

Domestic Conference(In Mandarin)

  1. Chu, H.-Y., Chang H.-L., Feng C.-Y., Yeh F.-L., Chen Y.-J., Lo T.-W., Juang M.-Y., and Hong C.-H., 2021: Current Development of Multi-Variate Bayesian Processor of Ensemble and its future applications, 2022 Taiwan Geosciences Assembly, Taipei, AS-A06-004, Available at: Presentation
  2. Chu, H.-Y., Chang H.-L., Chen Y.-J., Lo T.-W., and Chou S.-C., 2021: Testing Bayesian Processor of Ensemble on Extended-Range Extreme Temperature Probabilistic Forecasts, 2021 Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Taipei, A3-12, Available at: Paper, Presentation
  3. Chang H.-L., Chou S.-C., Feng C.-Y., Lin H.-F., Chen Y.-J., Chu, H.-Y., Lo T.-W. and Jhou S.-C., 2021: Ensemble Probabilistic and Single Deterministic Precipitation Forecasts over Taiwan Using Statistical Post-Processing, 2021 Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Taipei, A3-18, Available at: Abstract
  4. Chu, H.-Y., Chang H.-L., Chou S.-C. , Lo T.-W., and Chen Y.-J., 2020: Week 3 Temperature Probabilistic Forecasts using Bayesian Processor of Ensemble, 2020 Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Taipei, A3-19, Available at: Paper
  5. Chang H.-L., Chen Y.-J., Lo T.-W., Chu, H.-Y., and Chou S.-C., 2020: More useful and practical extended-range forecast guidance on temperature extremes in Taiwan, 2020 Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Taipei, A3-17, Available at: Abstract

     

Fields of competence 
Climate Dynamics
Climate Research
Climate Services