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Noel Keenlyside

Professor
  • E-mailNoel.Keenlyside@uib.no
  • Phone+47 55 58 20 32
  • Visitor Address
    Allegaten 70
    Bergen
    Room 
    134
  • Postal Address
    Postboks 7803
    5020 BERGEN

Current research interest

  • Decadal variability and predictability of climate
  • Tropical interannual climate variability and predictability
  • Extra-tropical ocean-atmosphere interaction
  • Super climate modelling

Master projects

I can offer the following potential master thesis topics:

  • The Indian summer monsoon in the Norwegian earth system model (Lea Svendsen, Noel Keenlyside)
  • Why is the ITCZ North of the Equator? (Noel Keenlyside, Nils Gunnar Kvamstø)
  • Variability and predictability of the Atlantic Niño (Noel Keenlyside, Shunya Koseki)
  • Atlantic decadal variability and prediction (Noel Keenlyside, Francois Counillon) 
  • Marine heatwaves, their predictability and implications to Norwegian fishery (Jana Sillman (CICERO), Noel Keenlyside)
  • Hemispheric atmospheric wave resonance and the effect on Nordic energy production (Noel Keenlyside, Tarjei Breiteig (Agder Energi))

You can read more information here, or please contact me by email.

Five recent publications

Master projects

I can offer the following potential master thesis topics:

  • The Indian summer monsoon in the Norwegian earth system model (Lea Svendsen, Noel Keenlyside)
  • Why is the ITCZ North of the Equator? (Noel Keenlyside, Nils Gunnar Kvamstø)
  • Variability and predictability of the Atlantic Niño (Noel Keenlyside, Shunya Koseki)
  • Atlantic decadal variability and prediction (Noel Keenlyside, Francois Counillon) 
  • Marine heatwaves, their predictability and implications to Norwegian fishery (Jana Sillman (CICERO), Noel Keenlyside)
  • Hemispheric atmospheric wave resonance and the effect on Nordic energy production (Noel Keenlyside, Tarjei Breiteig (Agder Energi))

You can read more information here, or please contact me by email.

Courses

GEOF327: The General Circulation of the Atmosphere

GEOF212Physical Climatology

Academic article
  • Jia, Fan; Cai, Wenju; Wu, Lixin; Gan, Bolan; Wang, Guojian; Kucharski, Fred; Chang, Ping; Keenlyside, Noel. 2019. Weakening Atlantic Niño-Pacific connection under greenhouse warming. Indian Journal of Pure & Applied Physics. 1-10.
  • Wohland, Jan; Omrani, Nour-Eddine; Keenlyside, Noel; Witthaut, Dirk. 2019. Significant multidecadal variability in German wind energy generation. Wind Energy Science. 515-526.
  • Wang, Yiguo; Counillon, Francois; Keenlyside, Noel; Svendsen, Lea; Gleixner, Stephanie; Kimmritz, Madlen; Dai, Panxi; Gao, Yongqi. 2019. Seasonal predictions initialised by assimilating sea surface temperature observations with the EnKF. Climate Dynamics. 5777-5797.
  • Cai, Wenju; Wu, Lixin; Lengaigne, Matthieu; Li, Tim; McGregor, Shayne; Kug, Jong-Seong; Yu, Jin-Yi; Stuecker, Malte F.; Santoso, Agus; Li, Xichen; Ham, Yoo-Geun; Chikamoto, Yoshimitsu; Ng, Benjamin; McPhaden, Michael J.; Du, Yan; Dommenget, Dietmar; Jia, Fan; Kajtar, Jules B.; Keenlyside, Noel; Lin, Xiaopei; Luo, Jing-Jia; Martin-Rey, Marta; Ruprich-Robert, Yohan; Wang, Guojian; Xie, Shang-Ping; Yang, Yun; Kang, Sarah M.; Choi, Jun-Young; Gan, Bolan; Kim, Geon-Il; Kim, Chang-Eun; Kim, Sunyoung; Kim, Jeong-Hwan; Chang, Ping. 2019. Pantropical climate interactions. Science.
  • Omrani, Nour-Eddine; Ogawa, Fumiaki; Nakamura, Hisashi; Keenlyside, Noel; Lubis, Sandro W.; Matthes, Katja. 2019. Key Role of the Ocean Western Boundary currents in shaping the Northern Hemisphere climate. Scientific Reports.
  • Wohland, Jan; Omrani, Nour-Eddine; Witthaut, Dirk; Keenlyside, Noel. 2019. Inconsistent Wind Speed Trends in Current Twentieth Century Reanalyses. Journal of Geophysical Research (JGR): Space Physics. 1931-1940.
  • Li, Fei; Orsolini, Yvan; Keenlyside, Noel; Shen, Mao-Lin; Counillon, Francois; Wang, Yiguo. 2019. Impact of snow initialization in subseasonal-to-seasonal winter forecasts with the Norwegian Climate Prediction Model. Journal of Geophysical Research (JGR): Atmospheres. 10033-10048.
  • Kimmritz, Madlen; Counillon, Francois; Smedsrud, Lars H.; Bethke, Ingo; Keenlyside, Noel; Ogawa, Fumiaki; Wang, Yiguo. 2019. Impact of ocean and sea ice initialisation on seasonal prediction skill in the Arctic. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems.
  • Wu, Chau-Ron; Lin, Yong-Fu; Wang, You-Lin; Keenlyside, Noel; Yu, Jin-Yi. 2019. An Atlantic-driven rapid circulation change in the North Pacific Ocean during the late 1990s. Scientific Reports. 1-8.
  • Yan, Youfang; Svendsen, Lea; Wang, Chunzai; Keenlyside, Noel; Xu, Dazhi. 2019. A North-South Contrast of Subsurface Salinity Anomalies in the Northwestern Pacific From 2002 to 2013. Journal of Geophysical Research (JGR): Space Physics. 1795-1806.
  • Årthun, Marius; Kolstad, Erik Wilhelm; Eldevik, Tor; Keenlyside, Noel. 2018. Time Scales and Sources of European Temperature Variability. Geophysical Research Letters. 3597-3604.
  • Rodriguez Crespo, Lander; Keenlyside, Noel; Koseki, Shunya. 2018. The role of the sea surface temperature in the atmospheric seasonal cycle of the equatorial Atlantic. Climate Dynamics. 1-20.
  • Hand, Ralf; Keenlyside, Noel; Omrani, Nour-Eddine; Bader, Jürgen; Greatbatch, Richard J. 2018. The role of local sea surface temperature pattern changes in shaping climate change in the North Atlantic sector. Climate Dynamics. 1-22.
  • Luo, Feifei; Li, Shuanglin; Gao, Yongqi; Svendsen, Lea; Furevik, Tore; Keenlyside, Noel. 2018. The connection between the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation and the Indian Summer Monsoon since the Industrial Revolution is intrinsic to the climate system. Environmental Research Letters. 1-9.
  • Cheung, Ho Nam; Keenlyside, Noel; Omrani, Nour-Eddine; Zhou, Wen. 2018. Remarkable link between projected uncertainties of Arctic sea-ice decline and winter Eurasian climate. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences. 38-51.
  • Svendsen, Lea; Keenlyside, Noel; Bethke, Ingo; Gao, Yongqi; Omrani, Nour-Eddine. 2018. Pacific contribution to the early twentieth-century warming in the Arctic. Nature Climate Change. 793-797.
  • Koseki, Shunya; Pohl, Benjamin; Bhatt, Bhuwan Chandra; Keenlyside, Noel; Nkwinkwa Njouodo, Arielle Stela. 2018. Insights into the Summer Diurnal Cycle over Eastern South Africa. Monthly Weather Review. 4339-4356.
  • King, Martin Peter; Herceg-Bulic, Ivana; Blade, Ileana; García-Serrano, Javier; Keenlyside, Noel; Kucharski, Fred; Li, Camille; Sobolowski, Stefan Pieter. 2018. Importance of late fall ENSO teleconnection in the Euro-Atlantic sector. Bulletin of The American Meteorological Society - (BAMS). 1337-1343.
  • Köenigk, Torben; Gao, Yongqi; Gastineau, Guillaume; Keenlyside, Noel; Nakamura, Tetsu; Ogawa, Fumiaki; Orsolini, Yvan; Semenov, Vladimir A.; Suo, Lingling; Tian, Tian; Wang, Tao; Wettstein, Justin; Yang, Shuting. 2018. Impact of Arctic sea ice variations on winter temperature anomalies in northern hemispheric land areas. Climate Dynamics. 1-27.
  • Ogawa, Fumiaki; Keenlyside, Noel; Gao, Yongqi; Koenigk, Torben; Yang, Shuting; Suo, Lingling; Wang, Tao; Gastineau, Guillaume; Nakamura, Tetsu; Cheung, Ho Nam; Omrani, Nour-Eddine; Ukita, Jinro; Semenov, Vladimir. 2018. Evaluating Impacts of Recent Arctic Sea Ice Loss on the Northern Hemisphere Winter Climate Change. Geophysical Research Letters. 3255-3263.
  • Tchipalanga, Pedro C.M.; Dengler, Marcus; Brandt, Peter; Kopte, Robert; Macuéria, Marisa; Coelho, Paulo; Ostrowski, Marek; Keenlyside, Noel. 2018. Eastern boundary circulation and hydrography off Angola building Angolan oceanographic capacities. Bulletin of The American Meteorological Society - (BAMS). 1589-1605.
  • Årthun, Marius; Bogstad, Bjarte; Daewel, Ute; Keenlyside, Noel; Sandø, Anne Britt; Schrum, Corinna; Ottersen, Geir. 2018. Climate based multi-year predictions of the Barents Sea cod stock. . PLOS ONE. 1-13.
  • Collins, Matthew; Minobe, Shoshiro; Barreiro, Marcelo; Bordoni, Simona; Kaspi, Yohai; Kuwano-Yoshida, Akira; Keenlyside, Noel; Manzini, Elisa; O'Reilly, Christopher H; Sutton, Rowan; Xie, Shang-Ping; Zolina, Olga. 2018. Challenges and opportunities for improved understanding of regional climate dynamics. Nature Climate Change. 101-108.
  • Nkwinkwa Njouodo, Arielle Stela; Koseki, Shunya; Keenlyside, Noel; Rouault, Mathieu. 2018. Atmospheric signature of the Agulhas current. Geophysical Research Letters. 5185-5193.
  • Sillmann, Jana; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Keenlyside, Noel; Schaller, Nathalie; Alexander, L. V.; Hegerl, Gabi; Seneviratne, Sonia I.; Vautard, Robert; Zhang, Xuebin; Zwiers, Francis W. 2017. Understanding, modeling and predicting weather and climate extremes: Challenges and opportunities. Weather and Climate Extremes. 65-74.
  • Luo, Feifei; Li, Shuanglin; Gao, Yongqi; Keenlyside, Noel; Svendsen, Lea; Furevik, Tore. 2017. The connection between the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation and the Indian Summer Monsoon in the CMIP5 models. Climate Dynamics. 1-17.
  • Zanchettin, Davide; Gaetan, Carlo; Arisido, Maeregu Woldeyes; Modali, Kameswarrao; Toniazzo, Thomas; Keenlyside, Noel; Rubino, Angelo. 2017. Structural decomposition of decadal climate prediction errors: A Bayesian approach. Scientific Reports. 1-11.
  • Årthun, Marius; Eldevik, Tor; Viste, Ellen; Drange, Helge; Furevik, Tore; Johnson, Helen L.; Keenlyside, Noel. 2017. Skillful prediction of northern climate provided by the ocean. Nature Communications. 1-11.
  • Gleixner, Stephanie Nikola; Keenlyside, Noel; Demissie, Teferi Dejene; Counillon, Francois; Wang, Yiguo; Viste, Ellen. 2017. Seasonal predictability of Kiremt rainfall in coupled general circulation models. Environmental Research Letters.
  • Shen, Mao-Lin; Keenlyside, Noel; Bhatt, Bhuwan Chandra; Duane, Gregory. 2017. Role of atmosphere-ocean interactions in supermodeling the tropical Pacific climate. Chaos.
  • Wang, Yiguo; Counillon, Francois; Bethke, Ingo; Keenlyside, Noel; Bocquet, Marc; Shen, Mao-Lin. 2017. Optimising assimilation of hydrographic profiles into isopycnal ocean models with ensemble data assimilation. Ocean Modelling. 33-44.
  • Richter, Ingo; Doi, Takeshi; Behera, Swadhin K; Keenlyside, Noel. 2017. On the link between mean state biases and prediction skill in the tropics: an atmospheric perspective. Climate Dynamics. 1-20.
  • King, Martin Peter; Herceg-Bulić, Ivana; Kucharski, Fred; Keenlyside, Noel. 2017. Interannual tropical Pacific sea surface temperature anomalies teleconnection to Northern Hemisphere atmosphere in November. Climate Dynamics. 1881-1899.
  • Ogawa, Fumiaki; Omrani, Nour-Eddine; Nakamura, Hisashi; Nishii, Kazuaki; Keenlyside, Noel. 2017. Impact of Oceanic Front on the Tropospheric Climatic Trend Induced by Ozone Depletion. CLIVAR Newsletter Exchanges. 37-42.
  • Tseng, Wan-Ling; Hsu, Huang-Hsiung; Keenlyside, Noel; Chang, Chiung-Wen June; Tsuang, Ben-Jei; Tu, Chen-Yi; Jiang, Li-Chiang. 2017. Effects of surface orography and land-sea contrast on the Madden-Julian oscillation in the maritime continent: A numerical study using ECHAM5-SIT. Journal of Climate. 9725-9741.
  • Koseki, Shunya; Keenlyside, Noel; Demissie, Teferi Dejene; Toniazzo, Thomas; Counillon, Francois; Bethke, Ingo; Ilicak, Mehmet; Shen, Mao-Lin. 2017. Causes of the large warm bias in the Angola–Benguela Frontal Zone in the Norwegian Earth System Model. Climate Dynamics. 1-20.
  • Nnamchi, Hyacinth C; Kucharski, Fred; Keenlyside, Noel; Farneti, Riccardo. 2017. Analogous seasonal evolution of the South Atlantic SST dipole indices. Atmospheric Science Letters. 396-402.
  • Reintges, Annika; Martin, Thomas; Latif, Mojib; Keenlyside, Noel. 2016. Uncertainty in twenty-first century projections of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation in CMIP3 and CMIP5 models. Climate Dynamics.
  • Omrani, Nour-Eddine; Bader, Jürgen; Keenlyside, Noel; Manzini, Elisa. 2016. Troposphere–stratosphere response to large-scale North Atlantic Ocean variability in an atmosphere/ocean coupled model. Climate Dynamics. 1397-1415.
  • Keenlyside, Noel; Dommenget, Dietmar. 2016. The fingerprint of global warming in the Tropical Pacific. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences. 533-534.
  • Cabos, William; Sein, Dmitry V.; Pinto, Joaquim G.; Fink, Andreas H.; Koldunov, Nikolay V.; Alvarez, Francisco; Izquierdo, Alfredo; Keenlyside, Noel; Jacob, Daniela. 2016. The South Atlantic Anticyclone as a key player for the representation of the tropical Atlantic climate in coupled climate models. Climate Dynamics. 1-19.
  • Gleixner, Stephanie Nikola; Keenlyside, Noel; Viste, Ellen; Korecha, Diriba. 2016. The El Niño effect on Ethiopian summer rainfall. Climate Dynamics. 1-19.
  • Dieppois, Bastien; Pohl, Benjamin; Rouault, Mathieu; New, Mark; Lawler, Damian; Keenlyside, Noel. 2016. Interannual to interdecadal variability of winter and summer southern African rainfall, and their teleconnections. Journal of Geophysical Research (JGR): Atmospheres.
  • Counillon, Francois; Keenlyside, Noel; Bethke, Ingo; Wang, Yiguo; Billeau, Sebastien; Shen, Mao-Lin; Bentsen, Mats. 2016. Flow-dependent assimilation of sea surface temperature in isopycnal coordinates with the Norwegian climate prediction model . Tellus. Series A, Dynamic meteorology and oceanography.
  • Shen, Mao-Lin; Keenlyside, Noel; Selten, Frank; Wiegerinck, Wim; Duane, Gregory. 2016. Dynamically combining climate models to "supermodel" the tropical Pacific. Geophysical Research Letters. 359-366.
  • Mohino, Elsa; Keenlyside, Noel; Pohlmann, Holger. 2016. Decadal prediction of Sahel rainfall: where does the skill (or lack thereof) come from? Climate Dynamics. 3593-3612.
  • Mechoso, Carlos R.; Losada, Teresa; Koseki, Shunya; Mohino, Elsa; Keenlyside, Noel; Castaño-Tierno, Antonio; Myers, Timothy A.; Rodriguez-Fonseca, Belén; Toniazzo, Thomas. 2016. Can reducing the incoming energy flux over the Southern Ocean in a CGCM improve its simulation of tropical climate? Geophysical Research Letters. 11,057-11,063.
  • Nnamchi, Hyacinth C.; Li, Jianping; Kucharski, Fred; Kang, In-Sik; Keenlyside, Noel; Chang, Ping; Farneti, Riccardo. 2016. An equatorial-extratropical dipole structure of the Atlantic Niño. Journal of Climate. 7295-7311.
  • Nnamchi, Hyacinth C; Li, Jianping; Kucharski, Fred; Kang, In-Sik; Keenlyside, Noel; Chang, Ping; Farneti, Riccardo. 2015. Thermodynamic controls of the Atlantic Niño. Nature Communications.
  • Ding, Hui; Keenlyside, Noel; Latif, Mojib; Park, Wonsun; Wahl, Sebastian. 2015. The impact of mean state errors on equatorial Atlantic interannual variability in a climate model. Journal of Geophysical Research (JGR): Oceans. 1133-1151.
  • Chang, Chiung-Wen June; Tseng, Wan-Ling; Huang-Hsiung, Hsu; Keenlyside, Noel; Tsuang, Ben-Jei. 2015. The Madden-Julian Oscillation in a warmer world. Geophysical Research Letters. 6034-6042.
  • Ogawa, Fumiaki; Omrani, Nour-Eddine; Nishii, Kazuaki; Nakamura, Hisashi; Keenlyside, Noel. 2015. Ozone-induced climate change propped up by the Southern Hemisphere oceanic front. Geophysical Research Letters. 10056-10063.
  • Mecking, Jennifer V.; Keenlyside, Noel; Greatbatch, Richard J. 2015. Multiple timescales of stochastically forced North Atlantic Ocean variability: A model study. Ocean Dynamics. 1367-1381.
  • King, Martin Peter; Hell, Momme; Keenlyside, Noel. 2015. Investigation of the atmospheric mechanisms related to the autumn sea ice and winter circulation link in the Northern Hemisphere. Climate Dynamics. 1185-1195.
  • Omrani, Nour-Eddine; Keenlyside, Noel; Bader, Jürgen; Manzini, E. 2014. Stratosphere key for wintertime atmospheric response to warm Atlantic decadal conditions. Climate Dynamics. 649-663.
  • Mecking, J. V.; Keenlyside, Noel; Greatbatch, R. J. 2014. Stochastically-forced multidecadal variability in the North Atlantic: a model study. Climate Dynamics. 271-288.
  • Hand, Ralf; Keenlyside, Noel; Omrani, Nour-Eddine; Latif, Mojib. 2014. Simulated response to inter-annual SST variations in the Gulf Stream region. Climate Dynamics. 715-731.
  • Counillon, Francois; Bethke, Ingo; Keenlyside, Noel; Bentsen, Mats; Bertino, Laurent; Zheng, Fei. 2014. Seasonal-to-decadal predictions with the ensemble kalman filter and the Norwegian earth System Model: A twin experiment. Tellus. Series A, Dynamic meteorology and oceanography.
  • Tseng, Wan-Ling; Tsuang, Ben-Jei; Keenlyside, Noel; Hsu, Huang-Hsiung; Tu, Chia-Ying. 2014. Resolving the upper-ocean warm layer improves the simulation of the Madden-Julian oscillation. Climate Dynamics. 1487-1503.
  • Svendsen, Lea; Hetzinger, Steffen; Keenlyside, Noel; Gao, Yongqi. 2014. Marine-based multiproxy reconstruction of Atlantic multidecadal variability. Geophysical Research Letters. 1295-1300.
  • Gao, Yongqi; Sun, Jianqi; Li, Fei; He, Shengping; Sandven, Stein; Yan, Qing; Zhang, Zhongshi; Lohmann, Katja; Keenlyside, Noel; Furevik, Tore; Suo, Lingling. 2014. Arctic sea ice and Eurasian climate: A review. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences. 92-114.
  • Gleixner, Stephanie Nikola; Keenlyside, Noel; Hodges, Kevin I.; Tseng, Wan-Ling; Bengtsson, Lennart. 2014. An inter-hemispheric comparison of the tropical storm response to global warming. Climate Dynamics. 2147-2157.
  • Ba, Jin; Keenlyside, Noel; Latif, Mojib; Park, Wonsun; Ding, Hui; Lohmann, Katja; Mignot, Juliette; Menary, Matthew; Otterå, Odd Helge; Wouters, Bert; Salas y Mélia, David; Oka, Akira; Bellucci, Alessio; Volodin, Evgeny. 2014. A multi-model comparison of Atlantic multidecadal variability. Climate Dynamics. 2333-2348.
  • Svendsen, Lea; Kvamstø, Nils G; Keenlyside, Noel. 2013. Weakening AMOC connects Equatorial Atlantic and Pacific interannual variability. Climate Dynamics. 11 pages.
  • Pohlmann, Holger; Smith, Doug M.; Balmaseda, Magdalena A.; Keenlyside, Noel; Masina, Simona; Matei, Daniela; Müller, Wolfgang A.; Rogel, Philippe. 2013. Predictability of the mid-latitude Atlantic meridional overturning circulation in a multi-model system. Climate Dynamics. 775-785.
  • Keenlyside, Noel; Ding, Hui; Latif, Mojib. 2013. Potential of equatorial Atlantic variability to enhance El Niño prediction. Geophysical Research Letters. 2278-2283.
  • Gulev, Sergey K.; Latif, Mojib; Keenlyside, Noel; Park, Wonsun; Koltermann, Klaus Peter. 2013. North Atlantic Ocean control on surface heat flux on multidecadal timescales. Nature. 464-467.
  • Ba, Jin; Keenlyside, Noel; Park, Wonsun; Latif, Mojib; Hawkins, Ed; Ding, Hui. 2013. A mechanism for Atlantic multidecadal variability in the Kiel Climate Model. Climate Dynamics. 2133-2144.
  • Hetzinger, Steffen; Halfar, Jochen; Mecking, Jennifer V.; Keenlyside, Noel; Kronz, Andreas; Steneck, Robert S.; Adey, Walter H.; Lebednik, Phil A. 2012. Marine proxy evidence linking decadal North Pacific and Atlantic climate. Climate Dynamics. 1447-1455.
Lecture
  • Counillon, Francois; Keenlyside, Noel; Koseki, Shunya; Bethke, Ingo. 2019. The role of model bias for prediction skill and methods to constrain it.
  • Counillon, Francois; Keenlyside, Noel; Wang, Yiguo; Kimmritz, Madlen; Bethke, Ingo. 2019. Status of climate prediction and future challenges: a perspective from Norway.
  • Kimmritz, Madlen; Counillon, Francois; Wang, Yiguo; Bethke, Ingo; Keenlyside, Noel. 2019. Recent developments of the Norwegian Climate Prediction Model for seasonal to decadal predictions.
  • Counillon, Francois; Keenlyside, Noel; Barthélémy, Sébastien; Kimmritz, Madlen; Wang, Yiguo; Bethke, Ingo. 2019. Enhancing the skill of dynamical climate prediction: Avenue explored with the NorCPM.
  • Kimmritz, Madlen; Counillon, Francois; Wang, Yiguo; Keenlyside, Noel; Bethke, Ingo. 2018. Enhanced skill of dynamical prediction in the Arctic.
  • Wang, Yiguo; Counillon, Francois; Keenlyside, Noel; kimmritz, Madlen; Bethke, Ingo; Langehaug, Helene R.; Li, Fei. 2018. Dynamical climate predictions at the Bjerknes Center.
  • Wang, Yiguo; Counillon, Francois; Keenlyside, Noel; kimmritz, Madlen; Bethke, Ingo; Langehaug, Helene R.; Li, Fei. 2018. Development and current S2D prediction skill of the Norwegian Climate Prediction Model .
  • King, Martin Peter; Herceg-Bulic, Ivana; Kucharski, Fred; Keenlyside, Noel. 2017. Interannual tropical Pacific SST anomalies teleconnection to Northern Hemisphere in November.
  • Counillon, Francois; Keenlyside, Noel; Bethke, Ingo; Wang, Yiguo; Kimmritz, Madlen. 2016. Reanalysis and climate prediction with the Norwegian Climate Prediction Model .
  • Counillon, Francois; Keenlyside, Noel; Kimmritz, Madlen; Wang, Yiguo; Bethke, Ingo. 2016. Reanalysis and climate prediction with the Norwegian Climate Prediction Model .
  • Counillon, Francois; Keenlyside, Noel; Bethke, Ingo; Wang, Yiguo; Kimmritz, Madlen. 2016. Flow dependent assimilation of SST in isopycnal coordinate with the NorCPM.
  • Keenlyside, Noel. 2015. The super model approach to climate projections for the Tropical Pacific.
  • Keenlyside, Noel. 2015. The super model approach to climate projections for the Tropical Pacific.
  • Keenlyside, Noel. 2015. The super model approach to climate projections for the Tropical Pacific.
  • Keenlyside, Noel. 2015. The Norwegian Climate Prediction Model (NorCPM) and Pacemaker experiments.
  • Keenlyside, Noel. 2015. The North Atlantic Ocean role in shaping regional climate change.
  • Keenlyside, Noel; Chang, Chuing-Wen June; Tseng, Wan-Ling; Hsu, Huang-Hsiung; Tsuang, Ben-Jei. 2015. The Madden-Julian Oscillation in a Warming World.
  • Keenlyside, Noel. 2015. Mid-Latitude Ocean-Atmosphere Interactions.
  • Keenlyside, Noel. 2015. Linking Barents Kara sea ice in autumn to the winter atmospheric circulation.
  • King, Martin Peter; Hell, Momme; Keenlyside, Noel. 2015. Investigation of the atmospheric mechanisms related to the autumn sea ice and winter circulation link in the Northern Hemisphere.
  • King, Martin Peter; Hell, Momme; Keenlyside, Noel. 2015. Investigation of the atmospheric mechanisms related to the autumn sea ice and winter circulation link in the Northern Hemisphere.
  • King, Martin Peter; Hell, Momme; Keenlyside, Noel. 2015. Investigation of the atmospheric mechanisms related to the autumn sea ice and winter circulation link in the Northern Hemisphere.
Popular scientific lecture
  • Keenlyside, Noel. 2015. Impact of global warming on tropical cyclones, The Rising Ocean: The Pacific Islands and Global Climate Change.
Academic lecture
  • Wang, Yiguo; Counillon, Francois; Keenlyside, Noel; Svendsen, Lea; Gleixner, Stephanie Nikola; Kimmritz, Madlen; Dai, Panxi; Gao, Yongqi. 2019. Seasonal predictions initialised by assimilating SST data with the EnKF.
  • Svendsen, Lea; Keenlyside, Noel; Kosaka, Yu; Taguchi, Bunmei. 2019. Pacific contribution to decadal temperature trends in the Arctic during the 20th century.
  • Wang, Yiguo; Counillon, Francois; Keenlyside, Noel; Kimmritz, Madlen; Bethke, Ingo; Langehaug, Helene R.; Li, Fei; Gao, Yongqi. 2019. Norwegian Climate Prediction Model (NorCPM).
  • Wang, Yiguo; Bethke, Ingo; Counillon, Francois; Kimmritz, Madlen; Keenlyside, Noel. 2019. NorCPM1 and its contribution to CMIP6 DCPP.
  • Li, Fei; Orsolini, Yvan; Keenlyside, Noel; Shen, Mao-Lin; Counillon, Francois; Wang, Yiguo. 2019. Impact of Snow Initialization in Subseasonal-to-Seasonal (S2S) Winter Forecasts with the Norwegian Climate Prediction Model.
  • Årthun, Marius; Bogstad, Bjarte; Daewel, Ute; Keenlyside, Noel; Sandø, Anne Britt; Schrum, Corinna. 2019. Climate based multi-year predictions of the Barents Sea cod stock.
  • Kimmritz, Madlen; Counillon, Francois; Wang, Yiguo; Keenlyside, Noel; Bethke, Ingo. 2019. Assessing the contribution of ocean and sea ice initialization for seasonal prediction in the Arctic.
  • Keenlyside, Noel; Demissie, Teferi Dejene; Koseki, Shunya; Svendsen, Lea; Bethke, Ingo. 2018. Tropical Atlantic model error and regional projections of climate change.
  • Bethke, Ingo; Wang, Yiguo; Counillon, Francois; Kimmritz, Madlen; Langehaug, Helene R.; Bentsen, Mats; Keenlyside, Noel. 2018. Subtropical North Atlantic preconditioning key to skilful subpolar gyre prediction.
  • Svendsen, Lea; Counillon, Francois; Keenlyside, Noel; Koseki, Shunya; Demissie, Teferi Dejene; Wang, Yiguo; Bethke, Ingo. 2018. Seasonal prediction skill in the tropical Atlantic using anomaly coupling.
  • Svendsen, Lea; Keenlyside, Noel; Bethke, Ingo; Gao, Yongqi; Omrani, Nour-Eddine. 2018. Pacific contribution to the early 20th century warming in the Arctic.
  • Kimmritz, Madlen; Counillon, Francois; Bitz, Cecilia M.; Massonnet, Francois; Bethke, Ingo; Wang, Yiguo; Gao, Yongqi; Bertino, Laurent; Keenlyside, Noel. 2018. Optimised assimilation of sea ice concentration and implications for climate prediction.
  • Wang, Yiguo; Counillon, Francois; Kimmritz, Madlen; Langehaug, Helene R.; Keenlyside, Noel; Dai, Panxi; Bethke, Ingo. 2018. Norwegian Climate Prediction Model.
  • Koenigk, Torben; Gao, Yongqi; Gastineau, Guillaume; Keenlyside, Noel; Nakamura, Tetsu; Ogawa, Fumiaki; Orsolini, Yvan; Semenov, Vladimir; Suo, Lingling; Tian, Tian; Wang, Tao; Wettstein, Jonathan J.; Yang, Shuting. 2018. Evaluating impacts of the Arctic sea ice loss and variation on the northern hemisphere climate.
  • Ogawa, Fumiaki; Keenlyside, Noel; Gao, Yongqi; Koenigk, Torben; Yang, Shuting; Suo, Lingling; Wang, Tao; Gastineau, Guillaume; Nakamura, Tetsu; Omrani, Nour-Eddine; Ukita, Jinro; Semenov, Vladimir. 2018. Evaluating impacts of recent Arctic sea-ice loss on the northern hemisphere winter climate change.
  • Ogawa, Fumiaki; Keenlyside, Noel. 2018. Driver of the recent decadal warming over Greenland and Northern Canada.
  • Counillon, Francois; Keenlyside, Noel; Langehaug, Helene R.; Kimmritz, Madlen; Wang, Yiguo; Bethke, Ingo. 2018. Can we use flow dependent assimilation with a high resolution Earth System Model ?
  • Svendsen, Lea; Keenlyside, Noel; Bethke, Ingo; Gao, Yongqi. 2017. Pacific contribution to the early 20th century warming in the Arctic.
  • Svendsen, Lea; Keenlyside, Noel; Bethke, Ingo; Gao, Yongqi. 2017. Pacific contribution to the early 20th century warming in the Arctic.
  • Ogawa, Fumiaki; Cheung, Ho Nam; Gao, Yongqi; Keenlyside, Noel; Koenigk, Torben; Semenov, Vladimir A.; Suo, Lingling; Yang, Shuting; Wang, Tao; King, Martin Peter; Gustineau, Guillaume; Gulev, Sergey. 2017. Impacts of sea ice / SST changes for the observed climate change -GREENICE project.
  • Ogawa, Fumiaki; Cheung, Ho Nam; Gao, Yongqi; Keenlyside, Noel; Koenigk, Torben; Semenov, Vladimir; Suo, Lingling; Yang, Shuting; Wang, Tao; Gastineau, Guillaume; Gulev, Sergey; Nakamura, Tetsu; Ukita, Jinro. 2017. Impact of Sea Ice/SST Changes for the Observed Climate Change.
  • Koenigk, Torben; Gao, Yongqi; Gustineau, Guillaume; Keenlyside, Noel; Ogawa, Fumiaki; Orsolini, Yvan; Semenov, Vladimir A.; Wettstein, Justin; Yang, Shuting. 2017. Impact of Arctic sea ice variations on winter temperature anomalies in northern hemisphere land areas in multi-model ensemble simulations.
  • Kimmritz, Madlen; Bethke, Ingo; Counillon, Francois; Dai, Panxi; Langehaug, Helene R.; Li, Fei; Keenlyside, Noel; Shen, Mao-Lin; Wang, Yiguo. 2017. Climate prediction with the Norwegian model NorCPM.
  • Kimmritz, Madlen; Counillon, Francois; Wang, Yiguo; Keenlyside, Noel; Bethke, Ingo; Koseki, Shunya; Toniazzo, Thomas; Dai, Panxi; Shen, Mao-Lin; Langehaug, Helene R. 2017. Climate prediction with NorCPM.
  • Gao, Yongqi; Ogilvie, Astrid; Leslie, King; Wang, Yiguo; Cheung, Hoffman; Yang, Shuting; Koenigk, Torben; Keenlyside, Noel; Rasmussen, Marianne. 2017. Arctic Climate Predictions: Pathways to Resilient, Sustainable Societies .
  • Ogawa, Fumiaki; Cheung, Ho Nam; Gao, Yongqi; Keenlyside, Noel; Koenigk, Torben; Semenov, Vladimir; Suo, Lingling; Yang, Shuting; Wang, Tao; Gastineau, Guillaume; Gulev, Sergey; Nakamura, Tetsu; Ukita, Jinro. 2017. A coordinated multi-model study on the impacts of recent Arctic sea ice loss on northern hemisphere climate changes.
  • Ogawa, Fumiaki; Cheung, Ho Nam; Gao, Yongqi; Keenlyside, Noel; Koenigk, Torben; Semenov, Vladimir; Suo, Lingling; Yang, Shuting; Wang, Tao; Gastineau, Guillaume; Gulev, Sergey; Nakamura, Tetsu; Ukita, Jinro. 2017. A coordinated multi-model study on the impacts of recent Arctic sea ice loss on northern hemisphere climate changes.
  • Svendsen, Lea; Luo, Fei-Fei; Sankar, Syam; Gao, Yongqi; Keenlyside, Noel; Joseph, P.V.; Li, ShuangLin; Johannessen, Ola M. 2016. The link between Atlantic multi-decadal variability and the Indian summer monsoon.
  • Ogawa, Fumiaki; Omrani, Nour-Eddine; Nishii, Kazuaki; Nakamura, Hisashi; Keenlyside, Noel. 2016. Importance of mid-latitude oceanic frontal zone and associated baroclinic eddies on the ozone-induced stratosphere/troposphere coupling.
  • Ogawa, Fumiaki; Gao, Yongqi; Keenlyside, Noel; Koenigk, Torben; Semenov, Vladimir; Suo, Lingling; Yang, Shuting; Wang, Tao. 2016. Impacts of sea ice / SST changes for the observed climate change –GREENICE project–.
  • Svendsen, Lea; Luo, Fei-Fei; Sankar, Syam; Gao, Yongqi; Keenlyside, Noel; Joseph, Porathur Vareed; Johannessen, Ola M. 2016. External forcing as a source for the observed multi-decadal relation between AMV and the Indian summer monsoon.
  • Kimmritz, Madlen; Counillon, Francois; Gao, Yongqi; Bethke, Ingo; Wang, Yiguo; Keenlyside, Noel. 2016. Data assimilation of sea ice within the Norwegian Climate Prediction Model.
  • Kimmritz, Madlen; Counillon, Francois; Bethke, Ingo; Keenlyside, Noel; Gao, Yongqi. 2016. Assimilating sea ice in the Norwegian Climate Prediction Model.
  • Hviding, Edvard; Keenlyside, Noel. 2015. The Pacific Ocean as a climate change frontline: Anthropology and Meteorology.
  • Svendsen, Lea; Keenlyside, Noel; Gao, Yongqi; Luo, Feifei; Cherchi, Annalisa; Sankar, Syam; Joseph, P.V.; Bethke, Ingo. 2015. The Indian Summer Monsoon and Atlantic Multi-decadal variability.
  • Ogawa, Fumiaki; Omrani, Nour-Eddine; Nishii, Kazuaki; Nakamura, Hisashi; Keenlyside, Noel. 2015. Role of the Midlatitude Oceanic Front in the Ozone-induced Climate Change in the Southern Hemisphere as Revealed by Aqua Planet experiments.
  • Ogawa, Fumiaki; Omrani, Nour-Eddine; Nishii, Kazuaki; Nakamura, Hisashi; Keenlyside, Noel; Miyasaka, Takafumi; Kuwano-Yoshida, Akira. 2015. Potential Importance of a Midlatitude Oceanic Frontal Zone in the Annular-Mode Variability and Relevant Climate Change as Revealed in Aqua Planet Experiments.
  • Svendsen, Lea; Keenlyside, Noel; Bethke, Ingo; Gao, Yongqi. 2015. Investigating the role of the Atlantic and Pacific in the early 20th century warming.
  • Ogawa, Fumiaki; Gao, Yongqi; Keenlyside, Noel; Koenigk, Torben; Semenov, Vladimir; Suo, Lingling; Yang, Shuting; Wang, Tao. 2015. Impacts of sea ice / SST changes for the observed climate change –GREENICE project–.
  • Svendsen, Lea; Keenlyside, Noel; Gao, Yongqi; Kvamstø, Nils Gunnar; Hetzinger, Steffen; Luo, Feifei; Cherchi, Annalisa. 2014. The influence of Atlantic multi-decadal variability on the Indian summer monsoon.
  • Counillon, Francois; Bethke, Ingo; Wang, Yiguo; Keenlyside, Noel; Bertino, Laurent. 2014. Seasonal-to-decadal prediction with NorCPM.
  • Counillon, Francois; Bethke, Ingo; Wang, Yiguo; Keenlyside, Noel; Bentsen, Mats; Bertino, Laurent; Zheng, Fei. 2014. Seasonal to decadal prediction with NorCPM.
  • Counillon, Francois; Bethke, Ingo; Keenlyside, Noel; Wang, Yiguo; Bertino, Laurent; Bentsen, Mats. 2014. Seasonal to decadal prediction with NorCPM.
  • Svendsen, Lea; Kvamstø, Nils G; Keenlyside, Noel. 2013. Weakening AMOC connects equatorial Atlantic and Pacific interannual variability.
  • Svendsen, Lea; Kvamstø, Nils Gunnar; Keenlyside, Noel. 2013. Weakening AMOC connects Equatorial Atlantic and Pacific interannual variability.
  • Svendsen, Lea; Kvamstø, Nils G; Keenlyside, Noel. 2013. Weakening AMOC connects Equatorial Atlantic and Pacific interannual variability.
  • Omrani, N.; Keenlyside, Noel; Bader, Jürgen; Manzini, E.; Otterå, Odd Helge. 2013. THE IMPORTANCE OF THE STRATOSPHERE FOR WINTERTIME ATMOSPHERIC RESPONSE TO ATLANTIC MULTI-DECADAL VARIABILITY.
  • Omrani, N.; Keenlyside, Noel; Bader, Jürgen; Manzini, E.; Otterå, Odd Helge. 2013. THE IMPORTANCE OF THE STRATOSPHERE FOR WINTERTIME ATMOSPHERIC RESPONSE TO ATLANTIC MULTI-DECADAL VARIABILITY.
  • Counillon, Francois; Bethke, Ingo; Keenlyside, Noel; Bentsen, Mats; Bertino, Laurent; Zheng, Fei. 2013. Seasonal-decadal prediction with the EnKF and NorESM: a twin experiment.
  • Counillon, Francois; Bethke, Ingo; Keenlyside, Noel; Bentsen, Mats; Bertino, Laurent; Zheng, Fei. 2013. Seasonal-decadal prediction with the EnKF and NorESM: a twin experiment.
  • Ding, H.; Keenlyside, Noel; Latif, M.; Wahl, S.; Park, W. 2013. SENSITIVITY OF EQUATORIAL ATLANTIC VARIABILITY TO MEAN STATE BIASES.
  • Svendsen, Lea; Keenlyside, Noel; Hetzinger, Steffen; Gao, Yongqi; Sankar, Syam; Joseph, P.V. 2013. Multi-decadal variability in Atlantic SST and Indian Summer Monsoon Rainfall in proxy records.
  • Kvamstø, Nils G; Svendsen, Lea; Keenlyside, Noel. 2012. Weakening AMOC connects Equatorial Atlantic and Pacific interannual variability.
  • Keenlyside, Noel; Meng, Q.; Latif, M.; Park, W.; Semenov, V.A.; Martin, T. 2012. Twentieth century Walker Circulation change: data analysis and model experiments.
  • Tseng, W.L.; Tsuang, B.J.; Keenlyside, Noel; Hsu, H.H.; Tu, CY. 2012. The role of the stratosphere in decadal climate variability in the extra-tropical Northern Hemisphere in winter.
  • Counillon, Francois; Bethke, Ingo; Bentsen, Mats; Keenlyside, Noel; Bertino, Laurent. 2012. Seasonal-decadal prediction with the EnKF and NorESM.
  • Ding, H.; Keenlyside, Noel; Latif, M.; Wahl, S.; Park, W. 2012. SENSITIVITY OF EQUATORIAL ATLANTIC VARIABILITY TO MEAN STATE BIASES.
  • Tseng, W.L.; Tsuang, B.J.; Keenlyside, Noel; Hsu, H.H.; Tu, CY. 2012. OCEAN-ATMOSPHERE INTERACTION KEY ASPECT OF THE MADDEN-JULIAN OSCILLATION.
  • Keenlyside, Noel; Ba, J.; Mecking, J.; Omrani, N.-O. 2012. North Atlantic Decadal-to-Multidecadal Variability - Mechanism and Predictability.
  • Keenlyside, Noel. 2012. Near-term climate prediction: new opportunities and challenge.
  • Keenlyside, Noel. 2012. Near-term climate prediction: new opportunities and challenge.
  • Keenlyside, Noel; Gulev, S.K.; Latif, M.; Koltermann, K.P. 2012. NORTH ATLANTIC OCEAN CONTROL ON SURFACE HEAT FLUX AT MULTIDECADAL TIMESCALES.
  • Keenlyside, Noel; Gulev, S.K.; Latif, M.; Koltermann, K.P. 2012. ATLANTIC OCEAN CONTROL ON SURFACE HEAT FLUX AT MULTIDECADAL TIMESCALES.
Popular scientific article
  • Furevik, Tore; Hviding, Edvard; Keenlyside, Noel. 2014. “Svakere vinder kan redde Sydhavsøyene – enn så lenge”. Bergens Tidende. 16-17.
Doctoral dissertation
  • Rodriguez Crespo, Lander. 2019. Ocean-atmosphere interactions in the tropical Atlantic seasonal cycle and multidecadal variability of ENSO.
  • Gleixner, Stephanie Nikola. 2017. Impacts of the Walker-Circulation on inter-annual Ethiopian rainfall variability and future changes in tropical cyclones.
  • Svendsen, Lea. 2016. Impacts of Atlantic multi-decadal variability on the Indo-Pacific and Northern Hemisphere climate.
Interview
  • Jansen, Eystein; Heinze, Christoph; Eldevik, Tor; Keenlyside, Noel; Jeansson, Emil; Olsen, Are ; Svendsen, John-Inge. 2013. Vi har de flinkeste klimaforskerne i landet.
  • Keenlyside, Noel. 2013. Havet styrer været.
Academic chapter/article/Conference paper
  • Duane, Gregory; Wiegerinck, Wim; Selten, Frank; Shen, Mao-Lin; Keenlyside, Noel. 2018. Supermodeling: Synchronization of Alternative Dynamical Models of a Single Objective Process. 21 pages.
  • Keenlyside, Noel; Ba, Jin; Mecking, Jennifer V.; Omrani, Nour-Eddine; Latif, Mojib; Zhang, Rong; Msadek, Rym. 2015. North Atlantic multi-decadal variability - mechanisms and predictability. 18 pages.
Poster
  • Bethke, Ingo; Counillon, Francois; Wang, Yiguo; Kimmritz, Madlen; Chiu, Ping-Gin; Keenlyside, Noel. 2019. Sensitivity of decadal climate predictions in the North Atlantic to anomaly initialisation choices.
  • Li, Fei; Orsolini, Yvan; Keenlyside, Noel; Shen, Mao-Lin; Wang, Yiguo; Counillon, Francois. 2019. Impact of snow initialisation in subseasonal-to-seasonal winter forecasts with the Norwegian Climate Prediction Model.
  • Årthun, Marius; Kolstad, Erik Wilhelm; Eldevik, Tor; Keenlyside, Noel. 2018. Time Scales and Sources of European Temperature Variability.
  • Koenigk, Torben; Gao, Yongqi; Gastineau, Guillaume; Keenlyside, Noel; Nakamura, Tetsu; Ogawa, Fumiaki; Orsolini, Yvan; Semenov, Vladimir; Suo, Lingling; Tian, Tian; Yang, Shuting; Wang, Tao. 2018. The impact of the Arctic sea ice loss and variation on lower latitudes.
  • Wang, Yiguo; Counillon, Francois; Keenlyside, Noel; Bethke, Ingo; Dai, Panxi; Langehaug, Helene R.; Kimmritz, Madlen; Gleixner, Stephanie; Svendsen, Lea. 2018. Seasonal-to-decadal prediction with the Norwegian Climate Prediction Model.
  • Counillon, Francois; Keenlyside, Noel; Koseki, Shunya; Demissie, Teferi Dejene; Toniazzo, Thomas; Wang, Yiguo; Svendsen, Lea; Bethke, Ingo. 2018. Relating model bias and prediction skill in the tropical Atlantic.
  • Svendsen, Lea; Keenlyside, Noel; Bethke, Ingo; Gao, Yongqi; Omrani, Nour-Eddine. 2018. Pacific contribution to the early 20th century warming in the Arctic.
  • Kimmritz, Madlen; Counillon, Francois; Bethke, Ingo; Keenlyside, Noel; Bitz, Cecilia; Massonnet, François; Wang, Yiguo. 2018. Assimilation of sea ice in an Earth system model and its impacts for climate prediction .
  • Kimmritz, Madlen; Counillon, Francois; Wang, Yiguo; Keenlyside, Noel; Bethke, Ingo. 2018. Assimilation of sea ice in an Earth system model and its impacts for climate prediction.
  • Kimmritz, Madlen; Counillon, Francois; Wang, Yiguo; Keenlyside, Noel; Bethke, Ingo. 2018. Assimilation of sea ice in an Earth system model and impacts for climate prediction.
  • Kimmritz, Madlen; Counillon, Francois; Bitz, Cecilia m.; Massonnet, Francois; Wang, Yiguo; Bethke, Ingo; Keenlyside, Noel. 2018. Assimilation of sea ice in an Earth system model.
  • Bethke, Ingo; Counillon, Francois; Wang, Yiguo; Kimmritz, Madlen; Keenlyside, Noel. 2018. A minimalistic damped harmonic oscillator framework for assessing decadal climate predictability in the Subpolar North Atlantic.
  • Svendsen, Lea; Keenlyside, Noel; Bethke, Ingo; Gao, Yongqi. 2016. Investigating the Role of the Atlantic and Pacific in the Early 20th Century Warming.
  • Ogawa, Fumiaki; Gao, Yongqi; Keenlyside, Noel; Koenigk, Torben; Semenov, Vladimir; Suo, Lingling; Yang, Shuting; Wang, Tao. 2016. Impacts of sea ice / SST changes for the observed climate change –GREENICE project–.
  • Ogawa, Fumiaki; Gao, Yongqi; Keenlyside, Noel; Koenigk, Torben; Semenov, Vladimir; Suo, Lingling; Yang, Shuting; Wang, Tao. 2016. Impacts of sea ice / SST changes for the observed climate change –GREENICE project–.
  • Omrani, Nour-Eddine; Ogawa, Fumiaki; Nishii, Kazuaki; Nakamura, Hisashi; Keenlyside, Noel. 2016. Extratropical frontal- and meso-scale air-sea interaction: Impact of oceanic front on the northern hemispheric coupled stratosphere/troposphere-system.
  • Ogawa, Fumiaki; Omrani, Nour-Eddine; Nishii, Kazuaki; Nakamura, Hisashi; Keenlyside, Noel. 2016. Extratropical frontal- and meso- scale air-sea interaction: Impact of oceanic front on the ozone-induced stratosphere/troposphere coupling of the Southern Annular Mode.
  • Svendsen, Lea; Rodriguez-Fonseca, Belén; Keenlyside, Noel; Mohino, Elsa; Losada, Teresa; Rodriguez Crespo, Lander. 2016. Does the impact of Atlantic Niños on the Indian summer monsoon depend on the background state?
  • Ogawa, Fumiaki; Gao, Yongqi; Keenlyside, Noel; Koenigk, Torben; Semenov, Vladimir; Suo, Lingling; Yang, Shuting; Wang, Tao. 2015. Role of the Midlatitude Oceanic Front in the Ozone-induced Climate Change in the Southern Hemisphere as Revealed in Aqua Planet Experiments.
  • King, Martin Peter; Herceg-Bulic, Ivana; Kucharski, Fred; Keenlyside, Noel. 2015. Northern Hemisphere atmospheric response to tropical Pacific sea surface temperature anomaly in late autumn.
  • Ogawa, Fumiaki; Gao, Yongqi; Keenlyside, Noel; Koenigk, Torben; Semenov, Vladimir A.; Suo, Lingling; Yang, Shuting; Wang, Tao. 2015. Impacts of sea ice / SST changes for the observed climate change –GREENICE project–.
  • Ogawa, Fumiaki; Gao, Yongqi; Keenlyside, Noel; Koenigk, Torben; Semenov, Vladimir; Suo, Lingling; Yang, Shuting; Wang, Tao. 2015. Impacts of sea ice / SST changes for the observed climate change –GREENICE project–.
  • Keenlyside, Noel; Shen, Mao-Lin; Selten, Frank; Wiegerinck, Wim; Duane, Gregory. 2015. Climate change projection with reduced model systematic error over tropical Pacific.
  • Ogawa, Fumiaki; Omrani, Nour-Eddine; Nishii, Kazuaki; Nakamura, Hisashi; Keenlyside, Noel. 2014. The role of the mid-latitude oceanic front in the ozone-induced climate change in the Southern Hemisphere as revealed in aqua planet experiments.
  • Ogawa, Fumiaki; Omrani, Nour-Eddine; Nishii, Kazuaki; Nakamura, Hisashi; Keenlyside, Noel. 2014. Role of the Mid-latitude Oceanic Front in the Ozone-induced Climate Change in the Southern Hemisphere as Revealed in Aqua Planet Experiments.
  • Svendsen, Lea; Hetzinger, Steffen; Keenlyside, Noel; Gao, Yongqi. 2014. Marine-based multiproxy reconstruction of Atlantic multidecadal variability.
  • Svendsen, Lea; Kvamstø, Nils G; Keenlyside, Noel. 2013. Weakening AMOC connects Equatorial Atlantic and Pacific interannual variability.
  • Svendsen, Lea; Hetzinger, Steffen; Keenlyside, Noel; Gao, Yongqi. 2013. Marine-based multi-proxy reconstruction of Atlantic multi-decadal variability.
  • Shen, Mao-Lin; Keenlyside, Noel; Selten, Frank; Hiemstra, Paul; Duane, Gregory; Wiegerinck, Wim. 2012. Wim Wiegerinck, Reducing Model Systematic Error through Super Modellin.
  • Svendsen, Lea; Kvamstø, Nils G; Keenlyside, Noel. 2012. Simulated response of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation to a weakening Atlantic meridional overturning circulation in the Bergen Climate Model.
  • King, Martin Peter; Smedsrud, Lars Henrik; Keenlyside, Noel. 2012. Seasonal changes in Arctic sea ice – atmosphere interaction.
  • Mecking, Jennifer; Hetzinger, Steffen; Keenlyside, Noel; Halfar, Jochen. 2012. Marine proxy and model links between the extra-tropical North Pacific and North Atlantic on decadal timescales.
Academic literature review
  • Foltź, Gregory R.; Brandt, Peter; Richter, Ingo; Rodriguez-fonseca, Belen; Hernandez, Fabrice; Dengler, Marcus; Rodrigues, Regina R.; Schmidt, Jörn O.; Yu, Lisan; Lefevre, Nathalie; Da Cunha, Leticia Cotrim; McPhaden, Michael J.; Araujo Filho, Moacyr C.; Karstensen, Johannes; Hahn, Johannes; Martín-Rey, Marta; Patricola, Christina M.; Poli, Paul; Zuidema, Paquita; Hummels, Rebecca; Perez, Renellys C.; Hatje, Vanessa; Lübbecke, Joke; Polo, Irene; Lumpkin, Rick; Bourles, Bernard; Asuquo, Francis E.; Lehodey, Patrick; Conchon, Anna; Chang, Ping; Dandin, Philippe; Schmid, Claudia; Sutton, Adrienne J.; Giordani, Herve; Xue, Yan; Illig, Serena; Losada, Teresa; Grodsky, Semyon; Gasparin, Florent; Lee, Tong; Mohino, Elsa; Nobre, Paulo; Wanninkhof, Rik; Keenlyside, Noel; Garcon, Veronique; Sánchez-Gómez, Emilia; Nnamchi, Hyacinth C.; Drévillon, Marie; Storto, Andrea; Remy, Elisabeth; Lazar, Alban; Speich, Sabrina; Goes, Marlos P.; Dorrington, Tarquin; Johns, William E.; Moum, James N.; Robinson, Carol; Perruche, Coralie; Souza, Ronald B.; Gaye, Amadou; López-Parages, Jorge; Monerie, Paul-Arthur; Castellanos, Paola; Benson, Nsikak U.; Hounkonnou, Mahouton N.; Duhá, Janice T.; Laxenaire, Rémi; Reul, Nicolas. 2019. The tropical Atlantic observing system. 1-36.
  • Pariyar, Sunil Kumar; Keenlyside, Noel; Bhatt, Bhuwan Chandra; Omrani, Nour-Eddine. 2019. The dominant patterns of intraseasonal rainfall variability in May-October and November-April over the tropical western Pacific. 2941-2960.
  • Lubbecke, Joke F; Rodriguez-Fonseca, Belén; Richter, Ingo; Martin-Rey, Marta; Losada, Teresa; Polo, Irene; Keenlyside, Noel. 2018. Equatorial Atlantic variability?Modes, mechanisms, and global teleconnections.
  • Bellucci, Alessio; Haarsma, Reindert J.; Bellouin, Nicolas; Booth, Beatrice; Cagnazzo, Chiara; Van Den Hurk, Bart; Keenlyside, Noel; Koenigk, Torben; Massonnet, François; Materia, Stefano; Weiss, Martina M. 2015. Advancements in decadal climate predictability: The role of nonoceanic drivers. 165-202.
  • Keenlyside, Noel; Omrani, Nour-Eddine. 2014. Has a warm North Atlantic contributed to recent European cold winters?

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Submitted manuscripts

  • Smith, D., ....., N. Keenlyside, et al., Gross underestimation of atmospheric circulation signals in climate models, submitted 
  • Keenlyside, N., Y. Kosaka, N. Vigaud, A. Robertson, Y. Wang, D. Dommenget, J.-J. Luo, and D. Matei (2019), Basin Interactions and Predictability, in Interacting Climates of Ocean Basins: Observations, Mechanisms, Predictability, and Impacts, edited by C. R. Mechoso, Cambridge University Press.
  • Pariyar, S. K., N. Keenlyside, A. Sorteberg, T. Spengler, B. C. Bhatt, and F. Ogawa, 2019: Factors affecting extreme rainfall events over the South Pacific, WACE submitted
  • Cheung, H. N., N. Keenlyside, T. Koenigk, S. Yang, T. Tian, Z. Xu, Y. Gao, F. Ogawa, N.-E. Omrani, S. Qiao, and W. Zhou, 2019: Projected Uncertainties in the Northern Winter Climate: Role of Interhemispheric Sea Surface Temperature Gradient and Arctic Sea Ice Cover. J. Clim., submitted.
  • Nnamchi, H. C., M. Latif, N. S. Keenlyside, and W. Park, 2019: A boreal summer warming hole in the central Equatorial Atlantic sea surface temperature during the satellite era. submitted.
  • Nnamchi, H. C., M. Latif, N. S. Keenlyside, J. Kjellsson, and I. Richter, 2019: Origin of the seasonality of the Atlantic Niño. submitted.
  • López-Paragesa, J., P. Augerc, B. Rodríguez-Fonseca, N. Keenlyside, Carlo Gaetan, Angelo Rubino, M. Arisidob, and T. Brochier: Round sardinella is a potential ecologicalintegrator of El Niño influence on northwestAfrica, submitted
  • Luo, H, F. Zheng, N. Keenlyside, J. Zhu, Ocean-atmosphere coupled Pacific Decadal variability simulated by a climate model, submitted
  • Sarre, A., P. Brehmer, H. Demarcq, N. Keenlyside, and others, 2017: Spatial shift of small pelagic fish as early warning for food security in North-West Africa. submitted

􏰢􏰝Peer-reviewed

  1. Yang, X.-Y., G. Wang, N. Keenlyside, (2020) The Arctic sea ice extent change connected to Pacific decadal variability, The Cryosphere, Accepted
  2. Schevenhoven, F., F. Selten, A. Carrassi, and N. Keenlyside (2019), Improving weather and climate predictions by training of supermodels, Earth Syst. Dynam., 10(4), 789-807, 10.5194/esd-10-789-2019.
  3. Kimmritz, M., F. Counillon, L. H. Smedsrud, I. Bethke, N. Keenlyside, F. Ogawa, and Y. Wang (2019), Impact of ocean and sea ice initialisation on seasonal prediction skill in the Arctic, Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 10.1029/2019MS001825.
  4. Wohland, J., N. E. Omrani, N. Keenlyside, and D. Witthaut (2019), Significant multidecadal variability in German wind energy generation, Wind Energ. Sci., 4(3), 515-526, 10.5194/wes-4-515-2019.
  5. Wu, C.-R., Y.-F. Lin, Y.-L. Wang, N. Keenlyside, and J.-Y. Yu (2019), An Atlantic-driven rapid circulation change in the North Pacific Ocean during the late 1990s, Scientific Reports, 9(1), 14411, 10.1038/s41598-019-51076-1.
  6. Li, F., Y. J. Orsolini, N. Keenlyside, M.-L. Shen, F. Counillon, and Y. G. Wang, 2019: Impact of snow initialisation in subseasonal-to-seasonal winter forecasts with the Norwegian Climate Prediction Model. accepted
  7. Wang, Y., F. Counillon, N. Keenlyside, L. Svendsen, S. Gleixner, M. Kimmritz, P. Dai, and Y. Gao 2019: Seasonal predictions initialised by assimilating sea surface temperature observations with the EnKF, accepted
  8. Jia, F., W. Cai, L. Wu, B. Gan, G. Wang, F. Kucharski, P. Chang, and N. Keenlyside, 2019: Weakening Atlantic Niño-Pacific connection under greenhouse warming, Science Advances, 5(8), eaax4111, 10.1126/sciadv.aax4111.
  9. Pariyar, S, N. Keenlyside, B. Bhatt, N.-E. Omrani: The dominant patterns of intra-seasonal boreal summer and winter Tropical western Pacific rainfall variability, in press
  10. Foltz, G. R., ....... N. Keenlyside ...... 2019: The Tropical Atlantic Observing System. Frontiers in Marine Science, 6, 206.
  11. Voldoire, A., E. Exarchou, E. Sanchez-Gomez, T. Demissie, A.-L. Deppenmeier, C. Frauen, K. Goubanova, W. Hazeleger, N. Keenlyside, S. Koseki, C. Prodhomme, J. Shonk, T. Toniazzo, A.-K. Traoré. 2019: Role of wind stress in driving SST biases in the Tropical Atlantic. Clim. Dyn. published online
  12. Wohland, J., N.-E. Omrani, D. Witthaut, and N. S. Keenlyside 2019: Inconsistent wind speed trends in current 20th century reanalyses, JGR Atmos, 124
  13. Yan, Y., L. Svendsen, C. Wang, N. Keenlyside, Y. Qi, 2019: Did the global warming slowdown cause the north-south contrast of subsurface salinity anomalies in the Northwestern Pacific?, JGR Oceans,  124, 1795–1806
  14. Cai, W., ...., N. Keenlyside, et al., 2019: Pan-tropical climate interactions, Science, 363, eaav4236.
  15. Omrani, N.-E., F. Ogawa, H. Nakamura, N. Keenlyside, S. Lubis, K. Matthes, 2019: Key role of the Ocean Western Boundary Currents in shaping the Northern Hemisphere climate, Scientific Reports, 9, 3014
  16. Crespo, L. R., N. Keenlyside, and S. Koseki, 2019: The role of sea surface temperature in the atmospheric seasonal cycle of the equatorial Atlantic. Climate Dynamics, 52, 5927-5946.
  17. Koenigk, T., Y. Gao, G. Gastineau, N. Keenlyside, T. Nakamura, F. Ogawa, Y. Orsolini, V. Semenov, L. Suo, T. Tian, T. Wang, J. J. Wettstein, and S. Yang, 2019: Impact of Arctic sea ice variations on winter temperature anomalies in northern hemispheric land areas. Clim. Dyn., 52, 3111-3137 
  18. Årthun,  M., B. Bogstad, U. Daewel, N. S. Keenlyside, A. B. Sandø, C. Schrum, and G. Ottersen, 2018: Climate based multi-year predictions of the Barents Sea cod stock. PLOS ONE, 13, e0206319.
  19. Koseki, S., B. Pohl, B. C. Bhatt, N. Keenlyside, and A. S. Nkwinkwa Njouodo, 2018: Insights into the Summer Diurnal Cycle over Eastern South Africa. Monthly Weather Review, 146, 4339-4356
  20. Luo, F., S. Li, Y. Gao, L. Svendsen, T. Furevik, and N. Keenlyside, 2018: The connection between the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation and the Indian Summer Monsoon since the Industrial Revolution is intrinsic to the climate system. Environmental Research Letters, 13, 094020.
  21. Svendsen, L., N. Keenlyside, I. Bethke, and Y. Gao, 2018: Pacific contribution to the early 20th century warming in the Arctic. Nat. Clim. Change, 8, 793-797
  22. Nkwinkwa Njouodo, A. S., S. Koseki, N. Keenlyside, M. Rouault, Atmospheric signature of the Agulhas Current, GRL, 45, 5185-5193
  23. Lübbecke, J. F., B. Rodríguez-Fonseca, I. Richter, M. Martín-Rey, T. Losada, I. Polo, and N. S. Keenlyside, 2018: Equatorial Atlantic variability—Modes, mechanisms, and global teleconnections. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change, 9, e527.
  24. Årthun, M., E.W. Kolstad, T. Eldevik, N.S. Keenlyside, 2018, Time scales and sources of European temperature variability, GRL, 45, 3597-3604.
  25. Hand, R., N.S. Keenlyside, N.-E. Omrani, J. Bader, and R. J. Greatbatch, 2018: The role of local sea surface temperature pattern changes in shaping climate change in the North Atlantic sector. Clim Dyn., published online 
  26. Ogawa, F., N. Keenlyside, Y. Gao, T. Koenigk, S. Yang, L. Suo, T. Wang, G. Gastineau, T. Nakamura, H. N. Cheung, N.-E. Omrani, J. Ukita, and V. Semenov, 2018: Evaluating impacts of the Arctic sea-ice loss on the northern hemisphere climate changes, GRL, 45, 3255-3263.
  27. Tchipalanga, P.,  M. Dengler, P. Brandt, R. Kopte, M. Macuéria, P. Coelho, M. Ostrowski, N.S. Keenlyside, 2018: Eastern boundary circulation and hydrography off Angola – building Angolan oceanographic capacities, BAMS, in press
  28. King, M. P., I. Herceg-Bulić, I. Bladé, J. García-Serrano, N. Keenlyside, F. Kucharski, C. Li, S. Sobolowski, 2018: Importance of late fall ENSO teleconnection in the Euro- Atlantic sector, BAMS, in press
  29. Collins, M., S. Minobe, M. Barreiro, S. Bordoni, Y. Kaspi, A. Kuwano-Yoshida, N. Keenlyside, E. Manzini, C. H. O’Reilly, R. Sutton, S.-P. Xie, and O. Zolina, 2018: Challenges and opportunities for improved understanding of regional climate dynamics. Nature Climate Change, 8, 101-108.
  30. Luo, F., S. Li, Y. Gao, N. Keenlyside, L. Svendsen, T. Furevik, 2018: The connection between the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation and the Indian Summer Monsoon in the CMIP5 models, Clim. Dyn., 1-17.
  31. Cheung, H. H. N., N. Keenlyside, N.-E. Omrani, and W. Zhou, 2018: Remarkable link between projected uncertainties of Arctic sea-ice decline and winter Eurasian climate. Adv. Atm. Sci., 35, 38-51.
  32. King, M. P., I. Herceg-Bulić, F. Kucharski, and N. Keenlyside, 2018: Interannual tropical Pacific sea surface temperature anomalies teleconnection to Northern Hemisphere atmosphere in November. Climate Dynamics, 50, 1881-1899. 
  33. Shen, M.-L., N. Keenlyside, B. C. Bhatt, and G. S. Duane, 2017: Role of atmosphere-ocean interactions in supermodeling the tropical Pacific climate. Chaos: An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science, 27, 126704.
  34. Sillmann, J., T. Thorarinsdottir, N. Keenlyside, N. Schaller, L. V. Alexander, G. Hegerl, S. I. Seneviratne, R. Vautard, X. Zhang, and F. W. Zwiers, 2017: Understanding, modeling and predicting weather and climate extremes: Challenges and opportunities. WACE, 18, 65-74.
  35. Gleixner, S., N. S. Keenlyside, T. D. Demissie, F. Counillon, Y. Wang, and E. Viste, 2017: Seasonal predictability of Kiremt rainfall in coupled general circulation models. ERL, 12, 114016.
  36. Zanchettin, D., C. Gaetan, M. W. Arisido, K. Modali, T. Toniazzo, N. Keenlyside, and A. Rubino, 2017: Structural decomposition of decadal climate prediction errors: A Bayesian approach. Scientific Reports, 7, 12862.
  37. Nnamchi, H. C., F. Kucharski, N. S. Keenlyside, and R. Farneti, 2017: Analogous seasonal evolution of the South Atlantic SST dipole indices. ASL, 18, 396-402.
  38. Koseki, S., N. Keenlyside, T. Demissie, T. Toniazzo, F. Counillon, I. Bethke, M. Ilicak, and M.-L. Shen, 2017: Causes of the large warm bias in the Angola-Benguela Frontal Zone in the Norwegian Earth System ModelClim. Dyn., published online
  39. Tseng, W.-L., H.-H. Hsu, N. Keenlyside, C.-W. June Chang, B.-J. Tsuang, C.-Y. Tu, and L.-C. Jiang, 2017: Effects of Surface Orography and Land–Sea Contrast on the Madden–Julian Oscillation in the Maritime Continent: A Numerical Study Using ECHAM5-SIT. J. Clim., 30, 9725-9741
  40. Richter, I., T. Doi, S. K. Behera, and N. Keenlyside, 2017: On the link between mean state biases and prediction skill in the tropics: an atmospheric perspective. Climate Dynamics.
  41. Årthun, M., T. Eldevik, E. Viste, H. Drange, T. Furevik, H. L. Johnson, and N. S. Keenlyside, 2017: Skillful prediction of northern climate provided by the ocean. Nature Communications, 8, 15875.
  42. Wang, Y., Counillon, F., I. Bethke, N. Keenlyside, Marc Bocquet, and Mao-lin Shen, 2017: Optimising assimilation of hydrographic profiles into isopycnal ocean models with ensemble data assimilation, Oce. Mod., 114 33–44
  43. Gleixner, S., N. Keenlyside, E. Viste, and D. Korecha, 2017: The El Niño effect on Ethiopian summer rainfall. Clim. Dyn., 49, 1865-1883.
  44. Cabos, W., D. V. Sein, J. G. Pinto, A. H. Fink, N. V. Koldunov, F. Alvarez, A. Izquierdo, N. Keenlyside, and D. Jacob, 2017: The South Atlantic Anticyclone as a key player for the representation of the tropical Atlantic climate in coupled climate models. Climate Dynamics, 48, 4051-4069.
  45. Counillon, F., N. Keenlyside, I. Bethke, Y. Wang, S. Billeau, M.-L. Shen, and M. Bentsen 2016: Flow dependent assimilation of SST in isopycnal coordinate with the Norwegian Climate Prediction Model. Tellus A, 68, 32437
  46. Mohino, E., N.Keenlyside, H.Pohlmann, 2016: Decadal prediction of Sahel rainfall: where does the skill (or lack of) come from?, Clim. Dyn. 47 (11), 3593-3612
  47. Mechoso, C. R., T. Losada, S. Koseki, E. Mohino-Harris, N. Keenlyside, A. Castaño-Tierno, T. A. Myers, B. Rodriguez-Fonseca, and T. Toniazzo, 2016: Can reducing the incoming energy flux over the Southern Ocean in a CGCM improve its simulation of tropical climate? Geophysical Research Letters, 43, 11,057-11,063.
  48. Reintges, A., T. Martin, M. Latif, and N. S. Keenlyside, 2016: Uncertainty in 21st Century Projections of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation in CMIP3 and CMIP5 models. Clim. Dyn., 1-17
  49. Dieppois, B., B. Pohl, M. Rouault, M. New, D. Lawler, and N. Keenlyside, 2016: Interannual to Interdecadal variability of winter and summer southern African rainfall, and their teleconnections. JGR Atmos., 121, 6215-6239.
  50. Nnamchi, H. C., J. Li, F. Kucharski, I.-S. Kang, N. Keenlyside, P. Chang, and R. Farneti, 2016: An equatorial-extratropical dipole structure of the Atlantic Niño. J. Clim.29, 7295-7311.
  51. Shen, M.-L., N. Keenlyside, F. Selten, W. Wiegerinck, and G. S. Duane, 2016: Dynamically combining climate models to “supermodel” the tropical Pacific. GRL, 43, 359-366.
  52. Ogawa, F., N.-E. Omrani, K. Nishii, H. Nakamura, and N. Keenlyside, 2015: Ozone-induced climate change propped up by the Southern Hemisphere oceanic front. Geophys. Res. Lett, 42, 10,056-10,063.
  53. Nnamchi, H.C., J. Li,, F. Kucharski, I.-S. Kang , N.S. Keenlyside, P. Chang and R.Farneti, Thermodynamic Controls of the Atlantic Niño, Nat. Comm. 6:8895 
  54. Mecking, J., N.S. Keenlyside, R.J. Greatbatch, Multiple Timescales of Stochastically Forced North Atlantic Ocean Variability: A model study, Oce. Dyn., 1-15
  55. Chang, C.-W. J., W.-L. Tseng, H.-H. Hsu, N. Keenlyside, and B.-J. Tsuang, 2015: The Madden-Julian Oscillation in a warmer world. GRL, 42, 6034-6042.
  56. Omrani, N. E., J. Bader, N. S. Keenlyside, and E. Manzini, 2016: Troposphere–stratosphere response to large-scale North Atlantic Ocean variability in an atmosphere/ocean coupled model. Clim. Dyn., 46, 1397-1415.
  57. King, M. P., M. Hell, and N. Keenlyside, 2016: Investigation of the atmospheric mechanisms related to the autumn sea ice and winter circulation link in the Northern Hemisphere. Clim. Dyn., 46, 1185-1195.
  58. Ding, H., N. Keenlyside, M. Latif, W. Park, and S. Wahl, 2015: The Impact of Mean State Errors on the Simulated Equatorial Atlantic Interannual Variability. JGR Oceans, 120, 1133-1151
  59. Bellucci, A., R. Haarsma, N. Bellouin, B. Booth, C. Cagnazzo, B. v. d. Hurk, N. Keenlyside, T. Koenigk, F. Massonnet, S. Materia, and M. Weiss, 2015: Advancements in decadal climate predictability: the role of non-oceanic drivers. Rev. of Geophy., 53, 165–202
  60. Gao, Y., J. Sun, F. Li, S. He, S. Sandven, Q. Yan, Z. Zhang, K. Lohmann, N. Keenlyside, T. Furevik, and L. Suo, 2015: Arctic sea ice and Eurasian climate: A review. Adv. Atm. Sci., 32, 92-114.
  61. Tseng, W.-L., B.-J. Tsuang, N. Keenlyside, H.-H. Hsu, and C.-Y. Tu, 2015: Resolving the upper-ocean warm layer improves the simulation of the Madden-Julian Oscillation, Clim. Dyn., 44, 1487-1503.
  62. Svendsen, L., S. Hetzinger, N. S. Keenlyside, and Y. Gao, 2014: Marine-based multi-proxy reconstruction of Atlantic multi-decadal variabilityGRL, 41, 2013GL059076.
  63. Counillon, F., I. Bethke, N. Keenlyside, M. Bentsen, L. Bertino, and F. Zheng, 2014: Seasonal-decadal prediction with the EnKF and NorESM: a twin experimentTellus A, 66, 21074
  64. Ba, J., N. Keenlyside, M. Latif, W. Park, H. Ding, K. Lohmann, J. Mignot, M. Menary, O. Otterå, B. Wouters, D. Salas y Melia, A. Oka, A. Bellucci, and E. Volodin, 2014: A multi-model comparison for Atlantic multidecadal variability. Clim. Dyn., 1-16
  65. Mecking, J.V., N.S. Keenlyside, and R.J. Greatbatch 2014: Stochastically-forced multidecadal variability in the North Atlantic: A model study, Clim. Dyn., 1-18
  66. Gleixner, S., N. Keenlyside, K. Hodges, W.-L. Tseng and L. Bengtsson 2014: An inter-hemispheric comparison of the Tropical Storm response to global warmingClim. Dyn., 42, 2147-2157
  67. Svendsen, L., N.G. Kvamstø, and N.S. Keenlyside, 2014: Weakening AMOC connects Equatorial Atlantic and Pacific interannual variability. Clim. Dyn., 1-11
  68. Omrani, N.-E., N. S. Keenlyside, J. Bader and E. Manzini, 2014: Stratosphere key for wintertime atmospheric response to warm Atlantic decadal conditionsClim. Dyn., 42:649–663
  69. Gulev, S.K., M. Latif, N. Keenlyside, W. Park, and K. P. Koltermann, 2013: North Atlantic Ocean Control on Surface Heat Flux at Multidecadal Timescales, Nature, 499, 464-467
  70. Keenlyside, N., H. Ding, and M. Latif, 2013: Potential of Equatorial Atlantic Variability to Enhance El Niño PredictionGRL, 40, 2278-2283.
  71. Hand, R., N. S. Keenlyside, N.-E. Omrani and M. Latif, 2013: Simulated response to inter-annual SST variations in the Gulf Stream region, Clim. Dyn., 1-17
  72. Pohlmann, H., D. Smith, M. A. Balmaseda, N. S. Keenlyside, S. Masina, D. Matei, W. A. Müller, and P. Rogel, 2013: Predictability of the mid-latitude Atlantic meridional overturning circulation in a multi-model system. Clim. Dyn., 41, 775-785
  73. Ba, J., N. Keenlyside, W. Park, M. Latif, E. Hawkins, and H. Ding, 2013: A mechanism for Atlantic multidecadal variability in the Kiel Climate Model. Clim. Dyn., 41, 2133-2144
  74. Ding, H., N. Keenlyside, and M. Latif (2012), Impact of the Equatorial Atlantic on the El Niño Southern OscillationClim. Dyn.38(9), 1965-1972.
  75. Meng, Q., M. Latif, W. Park, N. Keenlyside, V. Semenov, and T. Martin 2012: Twentieth century Walker Circulation change: data analysis and model experiments, Clim. Dyn.38(9), 1757-1773
  76. Hetzinger, S., J. Halfar, J. V. Mecking, N. S. Keenlyside, A. Kronz, R. S. Steneck, W. H. Adey, and P. A. Lebednik 2012: Marine proxy evidence linking decadal North Pacific and Atlantic climateClim. Dyn.39, 1447-1455
  77. Champion, A. J., K. I. Hodges, L. O. Bengtsson, N. S. Keenlyside, and M. Esch, 2011: Impact of increasing resolution and a warmer climate on extreme weather from Northern Hemisphere extratropical cyclones. Tellus, 63, 893-906.
  78. Bengtsson, L., K. I. Hodges, S. Koumoutsaris, M. Zahn, and N. Keenlyside, 2011: The changing atmospheric water cycle in Polar Regions in a warmer climate. Tellus, 63, 907-920.
  79. Bader, J., M. D. S. Mesquita, K. I. Hodges, N. Keenlyside, S. Østerhus, and M. Miles, 2011: A review on Northern Hemisphere sea-ice, storminess and the North Atlantic Oscillation: Observations and projected changes. Atmos. Res., 101, 809-834.
  80. Latif, M. and N. S. Keenlyside, 2011: A perspective on decadal climate variability and predictability. Deep Sea Research, 58, 1880-1894.
  81. Hawkins, E., J. Robson, R. Sutton, D. Smith, and N. Keenlyside, 2011: Evaluating the potential for statistical decadal predictions of sea surface temperatures with a perfect model approach. Clim. Dyn., 1-15.
  82. Tozuka, T., T. Doi, T. Miyasaka, N. Keenlyside, and T. Yamagata, 2011: Key factors in simulating the equatorial Atlantic zonal sea surface temperature gradient in a coupled general circulation model. JGR Oce., 116.
  83. Wahl, S., M. Latif, W. Park, and N. Keenlyside, 2009: On the Tropical Atlantic SST warm bias in the Kiel Climate ModelClim. Dyn., 36, 891-906
  84. Keenlyside, N. S., and J. Ba, 2010: Prospects for decadal climate prediction, WIRES, 1, 627-635
  85. Semenov, V. A., M. Latif, D. Dommenget, N. S. Keenlyside, A. Strehz, T. Martin, and W. Park, 2010: The Impact of North Atlantic-Arctic Multidecadal Variability on Northern Hemisphere Surface Air Temperature. J. Clim., 23, 5668-5677.
  86. Ding, H., N. S. Keenlyside, and M. Latif, 2010: Equatorial Atlantic interannual variability: the role of heat content, JGR Oce., 115, C09020
  87. Lübbecke, J. F., C. W. Böning, N. S. Keenlyside, and S.-P. Xie, 2010: On the connection between Benguela and Equatorial Atlantic Niños and the role of the South Atlantic Anticyclone, JGR Oce., 115, C09015
  88. Lan, Y. Y., B. J. Tsuang, N. Keenlyside, S. L. Wang, C. T. A. Chen, B.J. Wang, and T.H Liu, 2010: Error estimations of dry deposition velocities of air pollutants using bulk sea surface temperature under common assumptions. Atm. Env., 44, 2532-2542
  89. Weisheimer, A., F.J. Doblas-Reyes, T.N. Palmer, A. Alessandri, A. Arribas, M. Deque, N. Keenlyside, M. MacVean, A. Navarra, and P. Rogel, 2009: ENSEMBLES - a new multi-model ensemble for seasonal-to-annual predictions: Skill and progress beyond DEMETER in forecasting tropical Pacific SSTs, GRL, 36, L21711
  90. Meehl, G. A., L. Goddard, J. Murphy, R. J. Stouffer, G. Boer, G. Danabasoglu, K. Dixon, M. A. Giorgetta, A. Greene, E. Hawkins, G. Hegerl, D. Karoly, N. Keenlyside, M. Kimoto, B. Kirtman, A. Navarra, R. Pulwarty, D. Smith, D. Stammer, & T. Stockdale, 2009: Decadal Prediction: Can it be skillful? BAMS, 90, 1467-1485
  91. Doblas-Reyes, F. J., A. Weisheimer, M. Déqué, N. Keenlyside, M. McVean, J. Murphy, P. Rogel, D. Smith, T. N. Palmer, 2009: Addressing model uncertainty in seasonal and annual dynamical ensemble forecasts, QJRMS, 135, 1538 - 1559
  92. Latif, M., W. Park, H. Ding, and N. Keenlyside, 2009: Internal and External North Atlantic Sector Variability in the Kiel Climate Model, Meteorologische Zeitschrift, 18, 433-443
  93. Ding, H., N. S. Keenlyside, and M. Latif 2009: Seasonal cycle in the upper equatorial Atlantic Ocean, JGR., 114, C09016, doi:10.1029/2009JC005418
  94. Hodson, D. L. R., R. T. Sutton, C. Cassou, N. Keenlyside, Y. Okumura, and T. Zhou, 2009: Climate impacts of recent multidecadal changes in Atlantic Ocean Sea Surface Temperature: A Multimodel comparison. Clim. Dyn., DOI  - 10.1007/s00382-009-0571-2
  95. Zhou, T., R. Yu, J. Zhang, H. Drange, C. Cassou, C. Deser, D. L. R. Hodson, E. Sanchez-Gomez , J. Li, N. Keenlyside, X. Xin, Y. Okumura, 2009: Why the Western Pacific Subtropical High has Extended Westward since the Late 1970s?, J. Clim., 22, 2199–2215
  96. Bengtsson, L., K. I. Hodges, and N. Keenlyside, 2009: Will extra-tropical storms intensify in a warmer climate? J. Climate, 22, 2276–2301
  97. Jansen, M. F., D. Dommenget, N. S. Keenlyside,2009: Tropical Atmosphere-Ocean Interactions in a Conceptual Framework, J. Clim., 22, 550–567
  98. Park, W., N. S. Keenlyside, M. Latif, A. Stroeh, R. Redler, E. Roeckner, G. Madec, 2009: Tropical Pacific Climate and its Response to Global Warming in the Kiel Climate Model, J. Clim., 22 (1), 71-92
  99. Latif, M. and N. S. Keenlyside, 2009: El Niño/Southern Oscillation Response to Global Warming, PNAS, 20578-20583
  100. Sanchez-Gomez, E., C. Cassou, D. L. R. Hodson, N. Keenlyside, Y. Okmura, and T. Zhou, 2008: Multi-model signature of the Indian and Western Pacific oceans warming in the occurrence of the North Atlantic weather regimes, GRL., 35, L15706
  101. Keenlyside, N. S., M. Latif, J. Jungclaus, L. Kornblueh, and E. Roeckner, 2008: Advancing Decadal-Scale Climate Prediction in the North Atlantic Sector. Nature, 453, 84-88
  102. Matei, D., N. S. Keenlyside, M. Latif, and J. Jungclaus, 2008: Subtropical Forcing of Tropical Pacific Climate and Decadal ENSO Modulation. J. Climate, 21, 4691-4709
  103. Hetzinger, S., M. Pfeiffer, W.-C. Dullo, N.S. Keenlyside, M. Latif, and J. Zinke, 2008: Caribbean Brain Coral Tracks Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation and Past Hurricane Intensity. Geology, 36, 11-14
  104. Bengtsson, L., K. I. Hodges, M. Esch, N. S. Keenlyside, L. Kornblueh, J.-J. Luo and T. Yamagata, 2007: How may Tropical Cyclones Change in a Warmer Climate? Tellus, 59A, 539-561
  105. Keenlyside, N., M. Latif, A. Dürkop, 2007: On Sub-ENSO variability. J. Clim., 20, 3452–3469
  106. Latif, M., N. Keenlyside, and J. Bader, 2007: Tropical Sea Surface Temperature, Vertical Wind Shear, and Hurricane Development, GRL, 34, L01710
  107. Keenlyside, N., and M. Latif, 2007: Understanding Equatorial Atlantic Interannual Variability, J. Clim., 20, 131-142
  108. Latif, M. M. Collins, H. Pohlmann, and N. Keenlyside, 2006: A Review of Predictability Studies of Atlantic Sector Climate on Decadal Time Scales, J. Clim., 19, 5971–5987
  109. Latif, M., C. Böning, J. Willebrand, A. Biastoch, J. Dengg, N. Keenlyside, and U. Schweckendiek, G. Madec, 2006: Is the Thermohaline Circulation Changing?, J. Clim., 19, 4631-4637
  110. Jungclaus, J. H., N. Keenlyside, M. Botzet, H. Haak, J.-J. Luo, M. Latif, J. Marotzke, U. Mikolajewicz, and E. Roeckner, 2006: Ocean Circulation and Tropical Variability in the Coupled Model ECHAM5/MPI-OM, J. Clim., 19, 3952-3972
  111. Wetzel, P., E. Maier-Reimer, M. Botzet, J. Jungclaus, N. Keenlyside, and M. Latif, 2006: Effects of Ocean Biology on the Penetrative Radiation in a Coupled Climate Model, J. Clim., 19, 3973-3987
  112. Zhang, R.-H., S. E. Zebiak, R. Kleeman, and N. Keenlyside, 2005: Retrospective El Niño hindcasts/forecasts using an improved intermediate coupled model, Mon. Weath. Rev., 133, 2777-2802
  113. Keenlyside, N., M. Latif, M. Botzet, J. Jungclaus, and U. Schulzweida, 2005:A coupled method for initialising ENSO forecasts using SST, Tellus, 57A, 340-356
  114. Zhang, R.-H., R. Kleeman, S. E. Zebiak, N. Keenlyside, and S. Raynaud, 2005: An empirical parameterization of subsurface entrainment temperature for improved SST anomaly simulations in an intermediate ocean model, J. Clim., 18(2), 350-371
  115. Palmer, T.N., A. Alessandri, U. Andersen, P. Cantelaube, M. Davey, P. Délécluse, M. Déqué, E. Díez, F. J. Doblas-Reyes, H. Feddersen, R. Graham, S. Gualdi, J.-F. Guérémy, R. Hagedorn, M. Hoshen, N. Keenlyside, M. Latif, A. Lazar, E. Maisonnave, V. Marletto, A. P. Morse, B. Orfila, P. Rogel, J.-M. Terres and M. C. Thomson, 2004: Development of a European multimodel ensemble for seasonal-to-interannual prediction (DEMETER), BAMS, 85(6), 853-872
  116. Zhang, R.-H., S. E. Zebiak, R. Kleeman, and N. Keenlyside, 2003: A new intermediate coupled model for El Niño simulation and prediction, GRL, 30, 2012, doi:10.1029/2003GL018010
  117. Keenlyside, N., and R. Kleeman, 2002: Annual cycle of equatorial zonal currents in the Pacific, J. Geophys. Res., 107 (8), 10.1029/2000JC000711
  118. Arif, I., I. A. Newman, and N. Keenlyside, 1995: Theoretical paper: Proton flux measurements from tissues in buffered solution, Plant, Cell and Environment, 18,1319-1324 

Book chapters (peer reviewed)

  • Duane, G. S., W. Wiegerinck, F. Selten, M.-L. Shen, and N. Keenlyside, 2018: Supermodeling: Synchronization of Alternative Dynamical Models of a Single Objective Process. Advances in Nonlinear Geosciences, A. A. Tsonis, Ed., Springer International Publishing, 101-121.
  • Keenlyside, N. S., J. Ba, J. Mecking, N.-O. Omrani, M. Latif, R. Zhang, and R. Msadek, 2015: North Atlantic multi-decadal variability - mechanisms and predictability. Climate Change: Multidecadal and Beyond, C.-P. Chang, M. Ghil, M. Latif, and M. Wallace, Eds., World Scientific Publishing.
  • Latif, M., C. Böning, J. Willebrand, A. Biastoch, F. Alvarez, N. S. Keenlyside, and H. Pohlmann, 2007: Decadal to Multidecadal Variability of the Atlantic MOC: Mechanisms and Predictability. In AGU Monograph 173 “Ocean Circulation: Mechanisms and Impacts – Past and Future Changes of Meridional  Overturning”, A. Schmittner, J.C.H. Chiang, and S.R. Hemming (Eds.), 149 -166

Non-peer-reviewed publications

  • Ogawa, F. N.-E. Omrani, H. Nakamura, K. Nishii, N. Keenlyside, 2017: Impact of Oceanic Front on the Tropospheric Climatic Trend Induced by Ozone Depletion, CLIVAR Exchanges, 71, 37-42
  • Keenlyside, N. and D. Dommenget, 2016: The Fingerprint of Global Warming in the Tropical Pacific. Adv. Atmos. Sci., 33, 533-534.
  • Peings, Y., G. Magnusdottir, N.-E. Omrani, and N. Keenlyside, 2014, Can high latitude boundary forcings (ocean-ice-snow) improve predictability on seasonal and decadal time scales? Clivar Variations Newsletter, 12 (3), 18-23
  • Keenlyside, N. and N.-E. Omrani, 2014: Has a warm North Atlantic contributed to recent European cold winters? Environmental Research Letters, 9, 061001.
  • Keenlyside, N. S., 2011: Commentary on "Validation and forecasting accuracy in models of climate change". International Journal of Forecasting, 27, 1000-1003.
  • Murphy, J., V. Kattsov, N. Keenlyside, M. Kimoto, J. Meehl, V. Mehta, H. Pohlmann, A. Scaife, D. Smith, 2009: Towards Prediction of Decadal Climate Variability and Change, White paper for World Climate Conference - 3
  • Hurrell, J., T. Delworth, G. Danabasoglu, H. Drange, S. Griffies, N. Holbrook, B. Kirtman, N. Keenlyside, M. Latif, J. Marotzke, G. Meehl, T. Palmer, H. Pohlmann, T. Rosati, R. Seager, D. Smith, R. Sutton, A. Timmermann, K. Trenberth, and J.Tribbia, 2009, Decadal Climate Prediction: Opportunities and Challenges, Community White Papers for OceanObs'09
  • Latif, M., T. Delworth, D. Dommenget, H. Drange, W. Hazeleger, J. Hurrell, N. Keenlyside, G. Meehl, and R. Sutton, 2009: Dynamics of Decadal Climate Variability and Implications for its Prediction, Community White Papers for OceanObs'09
  • N. Keenlyside, 2009: Clean air policy and Arctic warming, Nature Geosciences (News & Views), 2, 243 - 244
  • N. Keenlyside, N. Omrani, K. Krüger, M. Latif and A. Scaife, 2008: Decadal predictability: How might the stratosphere be involved? SPARC Newsletter 31, 23-27
  • Latif, M. M. Collins, R. J. Stouffer, H. Pohlmann, and N. Keenlyside, 2004: The physical basis for prediction of Atlantic sector climate on decadal timescales, CLIVAR Exchanges 9, 6-8

Employment

2011 - Professor, Geophysical Institute, University of Bergen

2014 - Adjunct position, Nansen Environmental and Remote Sensing Center 

2008-2013 Head, Emmy Noether Research Group, IFM-GEOMAR/GFI

2005-2008 Research Scientist, IFM-GEOMAR

2003-2005 Postdoctoral fellow, IFM-GEOMAR (formerly IFM), University of Kiel

2001-2003 Postdoctoral fellow, Max-Planck-Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg

1997-2001 Tutor, Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Monash University

Education

1997-2001  Doctor of Philosophy, Monash University, Australia

1996 First Class Honours in Physics, University of Tasmania

1992-1995   Bachelor of Science (Physics and Mathematics), University of Tasmania

Awards

2015 ERC Consolidator Grant

2007 Fellow in the Emmy Noether Program of the DFG (German Research Foundation)

2006 NORBERT GERBIER - MUMM International Award

Current

2019-2023, EU H2020, South and Tropical Atlantic Climate-Based Marine Ecosystem Prediction for Sustainable Management (TRIATLAS)

2018-2023, Trond Mohn Foundation, Bjerknes Climate Prediction Unit

2015-2020, ERC Consolidator Grant, Synchronisation to enhance reliability of climate prediction (STERCP)

2016-2020, NordForsk, Arctic Climate Predictions - Pathways to Resilient, Sustainable Societies (ARCPATH)

2016-2021, EU H2020, Blue-Action: Arctic Impact on Weather and Climate

2020-2024, JPI Climate JPI Oceans, The Role of Ocean Dynamics and Ocean-Atmosphere Interactions in Driving Climate Variations and Future Projections of Impact-Relevant Extreme Events (ROADMAP)

2016-2019, JPI Climate, The potential of seasonal-to-decadal-scale inter-regional linkages to advance climate predictions

 

Previous (selected)

2014-2016 NordForsk TRI, Impact of Future Cryospheric Changes on Northern Hemisphere. Climate, Green Growth and Society (GREENICE)

2013-2017 NFR, Enhancing seasonal-to-decadal Prediction Of Climate for the North Atlantic Sector and Arctic (EPOCASA)

2014-2017 EU FP7, Enhancing prediction of Tropical Atlantic climate and its impacts (PREFACE)

2008-2013 Emmy Noether research group funded by the German Research Foundation (DFG): "Mechanisms and predictability of North Atlantic Decadal Climate variability"