Tor Eldevik
- E-mailtor.eldevik@uib.no
- Phone+47 55 58 87 31+47 934 94 038
- Visitor AddressAllégaten 70, Geophysical Institute5008 BergenRoom231, the "Central Building"
- Postal AddressPostboks 78035020 Bergen
Research interests:
- The role of the northern seas in climate - past, present, future
- The (possible) interannual to decadal predictability of climate
- Arctic/Nordic Seas/Atlantic exchanges
- The North Atlantic thermohaline circulation
- Barents Sea ice cover, climate, and ecosystem
- Open ocean convection
- Mesoscale eddies and frontal dynamics, incl. “spiral eddies”
using theory, observations, and models.
GEOF 210 Data Analysis in Meteorology and Oceanography (autumn 2010, 2011, 2012, spring 2017)
Recent publications:
Efstathiou, E., T. Eldevik, M. Årthun, and S. Lind, 2022: Spatial patterns, mechanisms and predictability of Barents Sea ice change. J. Clim., in press.
Smedsrud L.H., M. Muilwijk, A. Brakstad, E. Madonna, S.K. Lauvset, C. Spensberger, A. Born, T. Eldevik, H. Drange, E. Jeansson, C. Li, A. Olsen, Ø. Skagseth, D.A. Slater, F. Straneo, K. Våge, and M. Årthun, 2022: Nordic Seas heat loss, Atlantic inflow, and Arctic sea ice cover over the last century. Rev. Geophys., 60, e2020RG000725.
Bethke, I., Y. Wang, F. Counillon, N. Keenlyside, M. Kimmritz, F. Fransner, A. Samuelsen, H. Langehaug, L. Svendsen, P.-G. Chiu, L. Passos, M. Bentsen, C. Guo, A. Gupta, J. Tjiputra, A. Kirkevåg, D. Olivié, Ø. Seland, J. S. Vågane, Y. Fan, and T. Eldevik, 2021: NorCPM1 and its contribution to CMIP6 DCPP. Geosci. Model Dev., 14, 7073–7116.
Dörr, J., M. Årthun, T. Eldevik, and E. Madonna, 2021: Mechanisms of regional winter sea-ice variability in a warming Arctic. J. Climate, 34, 8635–8653.
Eldevik, T., J-M. Beckers, B. Hansen, P. Uotila, J-C. Duplessy, J. Deshayes, M. Visbeck, F. Dias, G. McCarthy, E. van Sebille, L. H. Smedsrud, B. Balino, H. Asbjørnsen, H. Cabral, M. Estrada Miyare, L. G. Anderson, T. N. Palmer, L. Walløe, M. Norton, 2021: A sea of change: Europe’s future in the Atlantic realm. EASAC policy report 42.
Årthun, M., I.H. Onarheim, J. Dörr, and T. Eldevik, 2021: The seasonal and regional transition to an ice‐free Arctic. Geophys. Res. Lett., 48, e2020GL090825.
Asbjørnsen, H., M. Årthun, Ø. Skagseth, and T. Eldevik, 2020: Mechanisms underlying recent Arctic Atlantification. Geophys. Res. Lett., 47, e2020GL088036.
Eldevik, T., and P.M. Haugan, 2020: That's a lot of water. Nature Physics, 16, 496–496.
Eldevik, T., L.H. Smedsrud, C. Li, M. Årthun, E. Madonna, and L. Svendsen, 2020: The Arctic Mediterranean. Interacting Climates of Ocean Basins: Observations, Mechanisms, Predictability, and Impacts, C.R. Mechoso, Ed., CUP.
Skagseth, Ø., T. Eldevik, M. Årthun, H. Asbjørnsen, V. Lien, and L.H. Smedsrud, 2020: Reduced efficiency of the Barents Sea cooling machine. Nature Clim. Change, 10, 661–666.
Yu, J.-Y., E. Campos, Y. Du, T. Eldevik, S.T. Gille, T. Losada, M.J. McPhaden, and L.H. Smedsrud, 2020: Variability of the oceans. Interacting Climates of Ocean Basins: Observations, Mechanisms, Predictability, and Impacts, C.R. Mechoso, Ed., CUP.
Asbjørnsen, H., M. Årthun, Ø. Skagseth, and T. Eldevik, 2019: Mechanisms of ocean heat anomalies in the Norwegian Sea. J. Geophys. Res., 124, 2908–2923.
Årthun, M., T. Eldevik, and L.H. Smedsrud, 2019: The role of Atlantic heat transport in future Arctic winter sea ice loss. J. Climate, 32, 3327–3341.
Bringedal, C., T. Eldevik, Ø. Skagseth, M. Spall, and S. Østerhus, 2018: Structure and forcing of observed exchanges across the Greenland-Scotland Ridge. J. Climate, 31, 9881–9901.
Lambert, E., T. Eldevik, and M. Spall, 2018: On the dynamics and water mass transformation of a boundary current connecting alpha- and beta- oceans. J. Phys. Oceanogr., 48, 2457–2475.
Onarheim, I.H., T. Eldevik, L.H. Smedsrud, and J.C. Stroeve, 2018: Seasonal and regional manifestation of Arctic sea ice loss. J. Climate, 31, 4917–4932.
Årthun, M., E.W. Kolstad, T. Eldevik, and N.S. Keenlyside, 2018: Time scales and sources of European temperature variability. Geophys. Res. Lett., 45, 3597–3604.
Ferreira, D., P. Cessi, H. Coxhall, A. de Boer, H.A. Dijkstra, S.S. Drijfhout, T. Eldevik, N. Harnik, J.F. McManus, D.P. Marshall, J. Nilsson, F. Roquet, T. Schneider, and R.C. Wills, 2018: Atlantic-Pacific Asymmetry in Deep-Water Formation. Ann. Rev. Earth Pl. Sci., 46:1.
Årthun, M., T. Eldevik, E. Viste, H. Drange, T. Furevik, H.L. Johnson, and N.S. Keenlyside, 2017: Skillful prediction of northern climate provided by the ocean. Nature Communications, 8, DOI: 10.1038/ncomms15875.
Eide, M., A. Olsen, U. Ninnemann, and T. Eldevik, 2017: A global estimate of the full oceanic 13C Suess effect since the preindustrial. Global Biogeochem. Cycles, 31, DOI 10.1002/2016GB005473.
Langehaug, H.R., D. Matei, T. Eldevik, K. Lohmann, and Y. Gao, 2017: On model differences and skill in predicting sea surface temperature in the Nordic and Barents seas. Clim. Dyn., 48, 913–933.
- (2023). Buoyancy forcing: A key driver of northern North Atlantic sea surface temperature variability across multiple timescales. Climate of the Past. 1101-1123.
- (2022). Spatial Patterns, Mechanisms, and Predictability of Barents Sea Ice Change. Journal of Climate. 2961-2973.
- (2022). Impact of initialization methods on the predictive skill in NorCPM: an Arctic–Atlantic case study. Climate Dynamics. 20 pages.
- (2021). The Seasonal and Regional Transition to an Ice-Free Arctic. Geophysical Research Letters.
- (2021). NorCPM1 and its contribution to CMIP6 DCPP. Geoscientific Model Development. 7073-7116.
- (2021). Mechanisms of regional winter sea-ice variability in a warming arctic. Journal of Climate. 8635-8653.
- (2020). That’s a lot of water. Nature Physics.
- (2020). Reduced efficiency of the Barents Sea cooling machine. Nature Climate Change. 661-666.
- (2020). Mechanisms underlying recent Arctic atlantification. Geophysical Research Letters. 1-9.
- (2019). The Role of Atlantic Heat Transport in Future Arctic Winter Sea Ice Loss . Journal of Climate. 3327-3341.
- (2019). Mechanisms of Ocean Heat Anomalies in the Norwegian Sea. Journal of Geophysical Research (JGR): Oceans. 2908-2923.
- (2018). Time Scales and Sources of European Temperature Variability. Geophysical Research Letters. 3597-3604.
- (2018). Structure and forcing of observed exchanges across the Greenland-Scotland Ridge. Journal of Climate. 9881-9901.
- (2018). Seasonal and regional manifestation of Arctic sea ice loss. Journal of Climate. 4917-4932.
- (2018). On the Dynamics and Water Mass Transformation of a Boundary Current Connecting Alpha and Beta Oceans. Journal of Physical Oceanography. 2457-2475.
- (2017). Skillful prediction of northern climate provided by the ocean. Nature Communications. 1-11.
- (2017). A global estimate of the full oceanic 13C Suess effect since the preindustrial. Global Biogeochemical Cycles. 492-514.
- (2016). Quantifying mesoscale eddies in the Lofoten Basin. Journal of Geophysical Research (JGR): Oceans. 4503-4521.
- (2016). On the reconstruction of ocean circulation and climate based on the "Gardar Drift". Paleoceanography. 399-415.
- (2016). On model differences and skill in predicting sea surface temperature in the Nordic and Barents Seas. Climate Dynamics. 913-933.
- (2016). On anomalous ocean heat transport toward the Arctic and associated climate predictability. Journal of Climate. 689-704.
- (2016). How northern freshwater input can stabilise thermohaline circulation . Tellus A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography. 1-16.
- (2015). The Lofoten Vortex of the Nordic Seas. Deep Sea Research Part I: Oceanographic Research Papers. 1-14.
- (2015). Skillful prediction of Barents Sea ice cover. Geophysical Research Letters. 5364-5371.
- (2015). Holocene multidecadal- to millennial-scale variations in Iceland-Scotland overflow and their relationship to climate. Paleoceanography. 558-569.
- (2014). A brief history of climate e the northern seas from the last Glacial Maximum to global warming. Quaternary Science Reviews. 225-246.
- (2013). The Arctic-Atlantic thermohaline circulation. Journal of Climate. 8698-8705.
- (2012). Water mass transformation and the North Atlantic Current in three multicentury climate model simulations. Journal of Geophysical Research (JGR): Oceans. 22 pages.
- (2012). Quantifying the influence of Atlantic heat on Barents Sea ice variability and retreat. Journal of Climate. 4736-4743.
- (2012). Mechanisms for variable North Atlantic-Nordic seas exchanges. Journal of Geophysical Research (JGR): Oceans.
- (2012). Mechanisms for decadal scale variability in a simulated Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation. Climate Dynamics. 77-93.
- (2012). Arctic/Atlantic exchanges via the Subpolar Gyre. Journal of Climate. 2421-2439.
- (2011). The Nordic Seas carbon budget: Sources, sinks, and uncertainties. Global Biogeochemical Cycles. 16 pages.
- (2011). Significant role of the North Icelandic Jet in the formation of Denmark Strait overflow water. Nature Geoscience. 723-727.
- (2009). Observed sources and variability of Nordic seas overflow. Nature Geoscience. 405-409.
- (2009). Dense overflow from an Arctic fjord: Mean seasonal cycle, variability and wind influence. Continental Shelf Research. 2110-2121.
- (2008). A Greenland Sea Perspective on the Dynamics of Postconvective Eddies. Journal of Physical Oceanography. 2755-2771.
- (2006). Gas exploration beyond the shelf break: An oceanographic challenge. Environmental Modelling & Software. 136-141.
- (2005). On radar imaging of current features: 2. Mesoscale eddy and current front detection. Journal of Geophysical Research (JGR). 14 pages.
- (2005). Intermediate water from the Greenland Sea in the Faroe Bank Channel: spreading of released sulphur hexafluoride. Deep Sea Research Part I: Oceanographic Research Papers. 279-294.
- (2004). Intermediate water from the Greenland Sea in the Faroe Bank Channel: spreading of released sulphur hexafluoride. Deep Sea Research Part I: Oceanographic Research Papers. 279-294.
- (2002). Spiral Eddies. Journal of Physical Oceanography. 851-869.
- (2002). On frontal dynamics in two model oceans. Journal of Physical Oceanography. 2915-2925.
- (2022). How to link your project proposal to current and future challenges.
- (2022). Arven etter Nansen - Orientering for det interdepartementale polarutvalg.
- (2020). The Nansen Legacy project - presentation to NFR’s Climate and Polar Portfolio Board.
- (2020). Iskanten og iskantsonen - innledning på tema for regjeringspartienes Stortingsgrupper (V, KrF, H) på Stortinget.
- (2020). Arctic Frontiers side event FROM NANSEN LEGACY SCIENCE TO USEFUL KNOWLEDGE FOR SOCIETY.
- (2019). The Nansen Legacy project.
- (2019). The Nansen Legacy.
- (2019). Blir det hvit jul neste år?
- (2019). Arven etter Nansen.
- (2018). The Nansen Legacy project.
- (2018). The Nansen Legacy project.
- (2018). The Nansen Legacy - An interdisciplinary research project on the climate and ecosystem of the Barents Sea – a gateway to a changing Arctic .
- (2018). Arven etter Nansen. Presentasjon for styret i Petromaks.
- (2018). Arven etter Nansen.
- (2020). Bidrag til Arctic Frontiers 2020 “pub-debatt” om «Vekst eller vern» i nord.
- (2019). Teknologioptimisme vs tøffe valg.
- (2019). Det grønne skiftet - hva nå?
- (2012). Oseanografi.
- (2010). Klimaforskernes krystallkule.
- (2007). Vær og klima fram mot 2100.
- (2007). (Ekstrem)vær og klima fram mot 2100.
- (2006). The G.C. Rieber Climate institute.
- (2006). Om global oppvarming og ekstremvær.
- (2023). The Nansen Legacy. Compiling results on the changing Arctic climate and ecosystem responses.
- (2023). Present and Future Influence of Ocean Heat Transport on Winter Arctic Sea-Ice Variability.
- (2023). How Atlantic Heat Makes Arctic Sea Ice Retreat .
- (2022). Present and future influence of ocean heat transport on winter Arctic sea-ice variability.
- (2022). On the structure and sensitivity of North Atlantic thermohaline circulation.
- (2022). Observed changes and coherence in the Gulf Stream system.
- (2021). Atmospheric and oceanic drivers of regional Arctic winter sea-ice variability in present and future climates.
- (2020). The new Arctic require new knowledge built on new collaborations.
- (2020). The dominant spatial patterns of Barents Sea ice variance.
- (2020). How Atlantic heat makes Arctic sea ice retreat.
- (2019). The role of Atlantic heat in Arctic sea ice retreat.
- (2019). The Barents Sea cooler in a warming ocean.
- (2019). How Atlantic heat makes Arctic sea ice retreat.
- (2019). Anvendelsen av matematikk i hav- og klimaforskning.
- (2018). The Nansen Legacy: A new project for scientific exploration and sustainable management beyond the ice edge.
- (2018). The Nansen Legacy project.
- (2018). Sea Ice Variability and Predictability in the Nansen Basin .
- (2018). Sea Ice Variability and Predictability in the Nansen Basin.
- (2018). Review on status and changes of the Barents Sea System.
- (2018). A simple physical model of the Atlantic inflow in the Nansen Basin.
- (2017). Global ocean climatology of the 13C suess effect and preindustrial δ13C.
- (2016). Natural variability in Nordic Seas overflows: Toward a mechanistic understanding of proxy records.
- (2015). A brief history of climate – the northern seas from the Last Glacial Maximum to global warming.
- (2015). A brief history of climate – the northern seas from the Last Glacial Maximum to global warming.
- (2014). The Arctic-Atlantic Thermohaline Circulation.
- (2014). Smelting og ferskvann svekker ikke nødvendigvis Atlanterhavsstrømmen.
- (2014). Decadal predictability of SST in the North Atlantic sector in three CMIP5 models.
- (2014). A brief history of climate – the northern seas from the Last Glacial Maximum to global warming.
- (2013). Water mass transformation in the North Atlantic.
- (2012). Water mass transformation and the North Atlantic Current in three multi-century climate model simulations (talk).
- (2012). Water mass transformation and the North Atlantic Current in three multi-century climate model simulations.
- (2012). The role of the Barents Sea in the climate system.
- (2012). Sources and propagation of anomalous freshwater content in the Nordic Seas.
- (2012). Sources and propagation of anomalous freshwater content in the Nordic Seas.
- (2012). Quantifying the influence of Atlantic heat on Barents Sea ice variability and retreat.
- (2012). Quantifying the influence of Atlantic heat on Barents Sea ice variability and retreat.
- (2012). Northern constraints on the Atlantic thermohaline circulation.
- (2012). Nordic Seas overflows—the last two millennia.
- (2012). Nordic Seas freshwater anomalies tracked back to the Atlantic inflow?
- (2012). Mechanisms for decadal scale variability in the North Atlantic Ocean circulation in the Bergen Climate Model (talk).
- (2012). Atlantic origin of Nordic Seas freshwater anomalies.
- (2012). A new overturning loop for the formation of Denmark Strait Overflow Water.
- (2012). A carbon budget for the Nordic Seas.
- (2012). A brief history of climate - the northern seas from Last Glacial Maximum to global warming. Climate Change at high latitudes.
- (2011). formation of Denmark STrait Overflow Water via boundary currents and transformation in the central Iceland Sea.
- (2011). Quantifying the influence of Atlantic heat on sea ice variability and retreat in the Barents Sea.
- (2011). Quantifying the influence of Atlantic heat on Barents Sea ice variability and retreat.
- (2011). Predictability of Arctic/North Atlantic climate.
- (2011). On the possible predictability of Barents sea ice cover and regional climate.
- (2011). Northern constraints to the Atlantic thermohaline circulation.
- (2011). Northern constraints on the Atlantic thermohaline circulation.
- (2011). Mechanisms for decadal scale variability in the North Atlantic Ocean circulation in the Bergen Climate Model.
- (2011). Klimaforskernes krystallkule.
- (2011). Formation of Denmark Strait Overflow Water via boundary currents and transformation in the central Iceland Sea.
- (2011). Formation of Denmark Strait Overflow Water via boundary currents and transformation in the central Iceland Sea.
- (2010). Variability in Northern Deep Water Masses on Decadal scale.
- (2010). The Nordic Seas Carbon Budget: Sources, Sinks And Uncertainties.
- (2010). Sources and sinks for heat and salt in the Arctic Mediterranean via exchanges at the Greenland-Scotland Ridge.
- (2010). Open-ocean Deep Convection in Climate Models.
- (2010). On the predictability of Arctic/North Atlantic climate.
- (2010). On the persistence and possible prediction of the Arctic/Atlantic THC.
- (2010). Observed Sources and Variability of Nordic Seas overflow.
- (2010). Northern deep-water formation and relations to the large-scale circulation.
- (2010). Northern constraints on the Atlantic thermohaline circulation.
- (2010). Distribution of the Northern Water Mass Formation completing the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation.
- (2010). Decadal-Millennial Scale Variability in the Nordic Seas overflows and their relationship to climate during the Holocene.
- (2010). Constraining the Arctic/Atlantic thermohaline circulation.
- (2009). Variability and constraints of the Arctic-North Atlantic thermohaline circulation.
- (2009). Summary - RG3 in BCCR: high relevance, low impact?
- (2009). Nordic recipes: constraining the thermohaline circulation's northern limb.
- (2009). Nordic recipes: constraining the ocean’s northern overturning.
- (2009). Nordic Recipes.
- (2009). Nordic Recipes.
- (2009). Hvordan varierer havstrømmene mellom Nordatlanteren og Arktis?
- (2009). Constraining the Arctic/North Atlantic Circulation.
- (2009). BIAC working theme 4: Contribution to the Atlantic thermohaline circulation and consequences for climate.
- (2007). The Greenland Sea does not control the overflows feeding the Atlantic conveyor.
- (2007). The Greenland Sea does not control the overflows feeding the Atlantic conveyor.
- (2007). The Greenland Sea and the Atlantic Conveyor.
- (2006). Little trace of the Greenland Sea in the Atlantic Conveyor.
- (2006). Is the Greenland Sea a major part of the Atlantic Conveyor?
- (2006). Introduction to session on Process and feedbacks.
- (2005). Tracing out the export pathways and overflows of the Nordic Seas.
- (2005). Tracing out mixing, pathways, and export of the Nordic Seas.
- (2004). On reconstructing the thermocline in the Faroe-Shetland Channel from paleo proxies, and estimating the associated fluxes.
- (2004). On linking the internal circulation of the Nordic Seas with the overflows. What can we learn from the 1996 SF6 release in the central Greenland Sea?
- (2003). On long-lived convective eddies in the Greenland Sea.
- (2002). Resolved and parameterized convective eddies in the Greenland Sea.
- (2002). Convective Submesoscale Coherent Vortices in the Greenland Sea.
- (2021). Recruitment of a new generation of polar researchers. Fram Forum. 58-63.
- (2019). The Nansen Legacy. Fram Forum. 100-105.
- (2019). Klimavarsling - en arv etter Nansen. Bjerknessenteret News.
- (2019). Hvor går grensen for iskanten . Dagens næringsliv.
- (2016). Norskehavets hukommelse gjør klimavarsling mulig. Naturen. 42-47.
- (2015). Et sted må grensen gå. Magasinet 2ºC.
- (2014). En kort historie om klima – de nordlige hav fra siste istid til global oppvarming. Nansen Minneforelesning. Årbok / Det norske videnskaps-akademi. 349-361.
- (2011). Smi mens reaktoren er varm- debattinnlegg. Bergens Tidende.
- (2005). Klimatiske veivalg i Norskehavet. Cicerone. 22-24.
- (2004). Spredning av SF6 i Grønlandshavet. Cicerone. 21-24.
- (2003). Viktige klimaprosesser i De Nordiske Hav. Cicerone. 20-22.
- (2002). Dypvannsdannelse i ny form. Cicerone. 20-22.
- (2014). Arven etter Nansen. Bergens Tidende.
- (2009). Klima i de lange linjers perspektiv. Forskning.no.
- (2006). En ny istid truer? Dagbladet.
- (2004). Klimaet og The Day After Tomorrow. Bergens Tidende.
- (2017). Regional, seasonal, and predictable Arctic sea ice change.
- (2017). On freshwater and the density-driven circulation in the northern seas.
- (2014). The circulation of the Norwegian Sea - An investigation from space and ocean.
- (2000). On spiral eddies in the ocean.
- (2018). Arven etter Nansen omtalt i Ettermiddagssending fra NRK Troms.
- (2013). Vi har de flinkeste klimaforskerne i landet.
- (2012). Vi trenger mer naturvitenskaplig klimaforskning.
- (2012). Nansen fikk rett.
- (2011). Oppdaget ny havstrøm.
- (2011). Oppdaget havstrøm ved Island.
- (2011). Bekrefter ny havstrøm.
- (2010). Klimaskepsis på tynn is.
- (2010). Klimaskepsis på tynn is.
- (2010). Klima.
- (2009). Kartlegger klimasvingninger i Norskehavet.
- (2009). Et skritt mot bedre klimavarsling.
- (2006). Golfstrømmen stanset ikke.
- (2006). Coastal Physical and Biochemical Processes.
- (2005). Pathways and export of Greenland Sea water. 16 pages.
- (2005). Convective Chimneys and Plumes in the Northern Greenland Sea. 22 pages.
- (2006). Ventilation, Pathways, and Overflows of the Nordic Seas.
- (2021). Erratum: The role of Atlantic heat transport in future Arctic winter sea ice loss (J. Climate (2019) 32 (3327–3341) DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0750.1). Journal of Climate. 3271.
- (2016). Mesoscale ocean eddy dataset in the Lofoten Basin from Satellite Altimetry. Journal of Geophysical Research (JGR): Oceans. 4503-4521.
- (2023). Still Arctic? — The changing Barents Sea. Elementa: Science of the Anthropocene. 1-62.
- (2022). Nordic Seas Heat Loss, Atlantic Inflow, and Arctic Sea Ice cover over the last century. Reviews of Geophysics.
- (2018). Atlantic-Pacific Asymmetry in Deep Water Formation. Annual Review of Earth and Planetary Science. 327-352.
- (2014). Atlantic origin of observed and modelled freshwater anomalies in the Nordic Seas. Nature Geoscience. 801-805.
- (2013). The role of the Barents Sea in the arctic climate system. Reviews of Geophysics. 415-449.
- (2010). Golfstrømmen og vårt milde klima.
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