Quantitative palaeoecology and palaeolimnology

Birks, H.J.B. 2012. Overview of numerical methods in palaeolimnology. In: Birks, H.J.B., Lotter, A.F., Juggins, S. & Smol, J.P. (eds). Tracking Environmental Change Using Lake Sediments, Volume 5: Data Handling and Numerical Techniques. Springer, Dordrecht, pp. 19-92. 10.1007/978-94-007-2745-8_2

Birks, H.J.B. 2012. Introduction and overview to part II. In: Birks, H.J.B., Lotter, A.F., Juggins, S. & Smol, J.P. (eds). Tracking Environmental Change Using Lake Sediments, Volume 5: Data Handling and Numerical Techniques. Springer, Dordrecht, pp. 101-121. 10.1007/978-94-007-2745-8_4

Birks, H.J.B. 2012. Introduction and overview to part III. In: Birks, H.J.B., Lotter, A.F., Juggins, S. & Smol, J.P. (eds). Tracking Environmental Change Using Lake Sediments, Volume 5: Data Handling and Numerical Techniques. Springer, Dordrecht, pp. 331-353. 10.1007/978-94-007-2745-8_10

Birks, H.J.B. 2012. Analysis of stratigraphical data. In: Birks, H.J.B., Lotter, A.F., Juggins, S. & Smol, J.P. (eds). Tracking Environmental Change Using Lake Sediments, Volume 5: Data Handling and Numerical Techniques. Springer, Dordrecht, pp. 355-378. 10.1007/978-94-007-2745-8_11

Birks, H.J.B. 2012. Introduction and overview to part IV. In: Birks, H.J.B., Lotter, A.F., Juggins, S. & Smol, J.P. (eds). Tracking Environmental Change Using Lake Sediments, Volume 5: Data Handling and Numerical Techniques. Springer, Dordrecht, pp. 551-555. 10.1007/978-94-007-2745-8_17

Birks, H.J.B. 2012. Conclusions and future challenges. In: Birks, H.J.B., Lotter, A.F., Juggins, S. & Smol, J.P. (eds). Tracking Environmental Change Using Lake Sediments, Volume 5: Data Handling and Numerical Techniques. Springer, Dordrecht, pp. 643-673.

Birks, H.J.B. & Jones, V.J. 2012. Data-sets. In: Birks, H.J.B., Lotter, A.F., Juggins, S. & Smol, J.P. (eds). Tracking Environmental Change Using Lake Sediments, Volume 5: Data Handling and Numerical Techniques. Springer, Dordrecht, pp. 93-97. 10.1007/978-94-007-2745-8_3

Birks, H.J.B., Lotter, A.F., Juggins, S. & Smol, J.P. (eds). 2012. Tracking Environmental Change Using Lake Sediments, Volume 5: Data Handling and Numerical Techniques. Springer, Dordrecht, 745 pp. 10.1007/978-94-007-2745-8_1

Blaauw, M.B. & Heegaard, E. 2012. Estimation of age-depth relationships. In: Birks, H.J.B., Lotter, A.F., Juggins, S. & Smol, J.P. (eds). Tracking Environmental Change Using Lake Sediments, Volume 5: Data Handling and Numerical Techniques. Springer, Dordrecht, pp. 379-413. 10.1007/978-94-007-2745-8_12

Brooks, S.J., Jones, V.J., Telford, R.J., Appleby, P.G., Watson, E., McGowan, S. & Benn, S. 2012. Population trends in the Slavonian grebe Podiceps auritus (L.) and Chironomidae (Diptera) at a Scottish loch. Journal of Paleolimnology 10.1007/s10933-012-9587-4

Jeffers, E.S., Bonsall, M.B., Watson, J.E. & Willis, K.J. 2012. Climate change impacts on ecosystem functioning: evidence from an Empetrum heathland. New Phytologist 193: 150-164 10.1111/j.1469-8137.2011.03907.x

Juggins, S. & Birks, H.J.B. 2012. Quantitative environmental reconstructions from biological data. In: Birks, H.J.B., Lotter, A.F., Juggins, S. & Smol, J.P. (eds). Tracking Environmental Change Using Lake Sediments, Volume 5: Data Handling and Numerical Techniques. Springer, Dordrecht, pp. 431-494. 10.1007/978-94-007-2745-8_14

Juggins, S. & Telford, R.J. 2012. Exploratory data analysis and data display. In: Birks, H.J.B., Lotter, A.F., Juggins, S. & Smol, J.P. (eds). Tracking Environmental Change Using Lake Sediments, Volume 5: Data Handling and Numerical Techniques. Springer, Dordrecht, pp. 123-141. 10.1007/978-94-007-2745-8_5

Legendre, P.L. & Birks, H.J.B. 2012. Clustering and partitioning. In: Birks, H.J.B., Lotter, A.F., Juggins, S. & Smol, J.P. (eds). Tracking Environmental Change Using Lake Sediments, Volume 5: Data Handling and Numerical Techniques. Springer, Dordrecht, pp. 167-200. 10.1007/978-94-007-2745-8_7

Legendre, P.L. & Birks, H.J.B. 2012. From classical to canonical ordination. In: Birks, H.J.B., Lotter, A.F., Juggins, S. & Smol, J.P. (eds). Tracking Environmental Change Using Lake Sediments, Volume 5: Data Handling and Numerical Techniques. Springer, Dordrecht, pp. 201-248. 10.1007/978-94-007-2745-8_8

Payne, R.J., Telford, R.J., Blackford, J.J., Blundell, A., Booth, R.K., Charman, D.J., Lamentowicz, L., Lamentowicz, M., Mitchell, E.A.D., Potts, G., Swindles, G.T., Warner, B.G. & Woodland, W. 2012. Testing peatland testate amoeba transfer functions: appropriate methods for clustered training sets. The Holocene 22: 819-825. 10.1177/0959683611430412

Salonen, J.S., Ilvonen, L., Seppä, H., Holmström, L., Telford, R.J., Gaidamavicius, A., Stancikaite, M. & Subetto, D. 2012. Comparing different calibration methods (WA/WA-PLS regression and Bayesian modelling) and different-sized calibration sets in pollen-based quantitative climate reconstruction. The Holocene 22: 413-424. 10.1177/0959683611425548

Simpson, G.L. & Birks, H.J.B. 2012. Statistical learning in palaeolimnology. In: Birks, H.J.B., Lotter, A.F., Juggins, S. & Smol, J.P. (eds). Tracking Environmental Change Using Lake Sediments, Volume 5: Data Handling and Numerical Techniques. Springer, Dordrecht, pp. 249-327. 10.1007/978-94-007-2745-8_9

Smol, J.P., Birks, H.J.B., Lotter, A.F. & Juggins, S. 2012. The march towards the quantitative analysis of palaeolimnological data. In: Birks, H.J.B., Lotter, A.F., Juggins, S. & Smol, J.P. (eds). Tracking Environmental Change Using Lake Sediments, Volume 5: Data Handling and Numerical Techniques. Springer, Dordrecht, pp. 3-17. 10.1007/978-94-007-2745-8 1

Vasskog, K., Paasche, Ø., Nesje, A., Boyle, J.F. & Birks, H.J.B. 2012. A new approach for reconstructing glacial variability based on lake sediments recording input from more than one glacier. Quaternary Research 77: 192-204. 10.1016/j.yqres.2011.10.001

Velle, G., Telford, R.J., Heiri, O., Kurek, J. & Birks, H.J.B. 2012. Testing intra-site transfer functions: an example using chironomids and water depth. Journal of Paleolimnology 48: 545-558. 10.1007/s10933-012-9630-5

Heiri, O., Brooks, S.J., Birks, H.J.B. & Lotter, A.F. 2011. A 274-lake calibration data-set and inference model for chironomid-based summer air temperature reconstruction in Europe. Quarternary Science Reviews 30: 3445-3456. 10.1016/J.quascirev.2011.09.006

Holmes, N., Langdon, P.G., Caseldine, C., Brooks, S.J. & Birks, H.J.B. 2011. Merging chironomid training sets: implications for palaeoclimate reconstructions. Quaternary Science Reviews 30: 2793-2804. 10.1016/j.quascirev.2011.06.013

Jeffers, E.S., Bonsall, M.B. & Willis, K.J. 2011. Stability in ecosystem functioning across a climatic threshold and contrasting forest regimes. PLoS ONE 6: e16134. 10.1371/journal.pone.0016134

Jeffers, E.S., Bonsall, M.B., Brooks, S.J. & Willis, K.J. 2011. Abrupt environmental changes drive shifts in tree--grass interaction outcomes. Journal of Ecology 99: 1063-1070. 10.1111/j.1365-2745.2011.01816.x

Self, A.E., Brooks, S.J., Birks, H.J.B., Nazarova, L., Porinchu, D., Odland, A., Yang, H. & Jones, V.J. 2011. The distribution and abundance of chironomids in high-latitude Eurasian lakes with respect to temperature and continentality: development and application of new chironomid-based climate-inference models in northern Russia. Quaternary Science Reviews 30: 1122-1141. 10.1016/j.quascirev.2011.01.022

Telford, R.J. & Birks, H.J.B. 2011. A novel method for assessing the significance of quantitative reconstructions inferred from biotic assemblages. Quaternary Science Reviews 30: 1272-1278. 10.1016/j.quascirev.2011.03.002

Telford, R.J. & Birks, H.J.B. 2011. Effect of uneven sampling along an environmental gradient on transfer function performance. Journal of Paleolimnology 46: 96-106. 10.1007/s10933-011-9523-z

Telford, R.J. & Birks, H.J.B. 2011. Correspondence: "Is spatial autocorrelation introducing biases in the apparent accuracy of palaeoclimatic reconstructions?". Quaternary Science Reviews 30: 3210-3213. 10.1016/j.quascirev.2011.07.019

Velle, G., Kongshavn, K. & Birks, H.J.B. 2011. Minimising the edge-effect in environmental reconstructions by trimming the calibration set: Chironomid-inferred temperatures from Spitsbergen. The Holocene 21: 417-430. 10.1177/0959683610385723

Birks, H.J.B. 2010. Numerical methods for the analysis of diatom assemblage data. In: The Diatoms: Applications for the Environmental and Earth Sciences (2nd edition). (eds. Smol, J.P. & Stoermer, E.F.), Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp. 23-54.

Birks, H.J.B., Heiri, O., Seppä, H. & Bjune, A.E. 2010. Strengths and weaknesses of quantitative climate reconstructions based on late-Quaternary biological proxies. The Open Ecology Journal 3: 68-110. 10.2174/1874213001003020068

Bjune, A.E., Birks, H.J.B., Peglar, S. & Odland, A. 2010. Developing a modern pollen-climate calibration data-set for Norway. Boreas 39: 674-688. 10.1111/j.1502-3885.2010.00158.x

Davidson, T.A., Sayer, C.D., Perrow, M., Bramm, M. & Jeppesen, E. 2010. The simultaneous inference of zooplanktivorous fish and macrophyte density from sub-fossil cladoceran assemblages: a multivariate regression tree approach. Freshwater Biology 55: 546-564. 10.1111/j.1365-2427.2008.02124.x

Davidson, T.A., Sayer, C.D., Langdon, P.G., Burgess, A. & Jackson, M. 2010. Inferring past zooplanktivorous fish and macrophyte density in a shallow lake: application of a new regression tree model. Freshwater Biology 55: 584-599. 10.1111/j.1365-2427.2009.02391.x

Engels, S., Helmens, K.F., Väliranta, M., Brooks, S.J. & Birks, H.J.B. 2010. Early Weichselian (MIS 5d and 5c) temperatures and environmental changes in northern Fennoscandia as recorded by chironomids and macroremains at Sokli, northeast Finland. Boreas 39: 689-704. 10.1111/j.1502-3885.2010.00163.x

Gaillard, M.-J., Sugita, S., and 39 others including Birks, H.J.B., Bjune, A.E. & Hjelle, K.L. 2010. Holocene land-cover reconstructions for studies on land cover-climate feedbacks. Climate of the Past 6: 483-499.

Helama, S., Seppä, H., Birks, H.J.B. & Bjune, A.E. 2010. Reconciling pollen-stratigraphical and tree-ring evidence for high- and low-frequency temperature variability in the past millennium. Quaternary Science Reviews 29: 905-3918. 10.1016/j.quascirev.2010.09.012

Herzschuh, U. & Birks, H.J.B. 2010. Evaluating the indicator value of Tibetan pollen taxa for modern vegetation and climate. Review of Palaeobotany and Palynology 160: 197-208. 10.1016/j.revpalbo.2010.02.016

Herzschuh, U., Birks, H.J.B., Miscke, S., Zhang, C. & Böhner, J. 2010. A modern pollen-climate calibration set based on lake sediments from the Tibetan Plateau and its application to a Late Quaternary pollen record from the Qilian Mountains. Journal of Biogeography 37: 752-766. 10.1111/j.1365-2699.2009.02245.x

Herzschuh, U., Birks, H.J.B., Ni, J., Zhao, Y, Liu, H., Liu, X. & Grosse, G. 2010. Holocene land-cover changes on the Tibetan Plateau. The Holocene 20: 91-104. 10.1177/0959683609348882

Lang, B., Bedford, A., Brooks, S.J., Jones, R.T., Richardson, N., Birks, H.J.B. & Marshall, J.D. 2010. Early-Holocene temperature variability inferred from chironomid assemblages at Hawes Water, northwest England. The Holocene 20: 943-954. 10.1177/0959683610366157

Lang, B., Brooks, S.J., Bedford, A., Jones, R.T., Birks, H.J.B. & Marshall, J.D. 2010. Regional consistency in Lateglacial chironomid-inferred temperatures from five sites in north-west England. Quaternary Science Reviews 29: 1528-1538. 10.1016/j.quascirev.2009.02.023

Larocque, I., Velle, G. & Rolland, N. 2010. Effect of removing small (<150 µm) chironomids on inferring temperature in cold lakes. Journal of Paleolimnology 44: 709-719. 10.1007/s10933-009-9313-z

de la Riva-Caballero, A., Birks, H.J.B., Bjune, A.E., Birks, H.H. & Solhøy, T. 2010. Oribatid mite assemblages across the tree-line in western Norway and their representation in lake sediments. Journal of Paleolimnology 44: 361-374. 10.1007/s10933-010-9411-y

Velle, G., Brodersen, K.P., Birks, H.J.B. & Willassen, E. 2010. Midges as quantitative temperature indicator species: lessons for palaeoecology. The Holocene 20: 989-1002. 10.1177/0959683610365933

Willis, K.J., Bailey, R.M., Bhagwat, S.A. & Birks, H.J.B. 2010.Biodiversity baselines, thresholds and resilience: testing predictions and assumptions using palaeoecological data. Trends in Ecology and Evolution 25: 583-591. 10.1016/j.tree.2010.07.006

Bjune, A.E., Seppä, H. & Birks, H.J.B. 2009. Quantitative summer-temperature reconstructions for the last 2000 years based on pollen-stratigraphical data from northern Fennoscandia. Journal of Paleolimnology 41: 43-56. 10.1007/s10933-008-9254-y

Seppä, H., Bjune, A.E., Telford, R.J., Birks, H.J.B. & Veski, S. 2009. Last nine-thousand years of temperature variability in Northern Europe. Climate of the Past 5: 523-535.

Telford, R.J. & Birks, H.J.B. 2009. Evaluation of transfer functions in spatially structured environments. Quaternary Science Reviews 28: 1309-1316. 10.1016/j.quascirev.2008.12.020

Birks, H.J.B. & Birks, H.H. 2008. Biological responses to rapid climate change at the Younger Dryas-Holocene transition at Kråkenes, western Norway. The Holocene 18: 19-30. 10.1177/0959683607085572

Gaillard, M.-J., Sugita, S., & POLLANDCAL members (including Hjelle, K.L.) 2008. The use of modelling and simulation approach in reconstructing past landscapes from fossil pollen data: a review and results from the POLLANDCAL network. Vegetation History and Archaeobotany 17: 419-443

Velle, G. & Larocque, I. 2008. Assessing chironomid head capsule concentrations in sediment using exotic markers. Journal of Paleolimnology 40: 165-177. 10.1007/s10933-007-9149-3

Willis, K.J., Bennett, K.D. & Haberle, S.G. 2008. Solar influence on Holocene fire history. British Archaeological Report International Series 1807: 307-318.

Andrén, E., Clarke, A.M., Telford, R.J., Weckström, K., Vilbaste, S., Aigars, J., Conley, D., Johnsen, T., Juggins, S. & Korhola, A. 2007. Defining reference conditions for coastal areas in the Baltic Sea. DEFINE final report, TemaNord 583: 81 pp.

Birks, H.J.B. 2007. Estimating the amount of compositional change in late-Quaternary pollen-stratigraphical data. Vegetation History and Archaeobotany 16: 197-202. 10.1007/s00334-006-0079-1

Birks, H.J.B. 2007. Numerical Analysis Methods. In: Encyclopedia of Quaternary Science. Elias, Scott A. (Editor-in-Chief) Elsevier B.V. pp. 2514-2521.

Davidson, T.A., Sayer, C.D., Perrow, M.R., Bramm, M. & Jeppesen, E. 2007. Are the controls of species composition similar for contemporary and sub-fossil cladoceran assemblages? A study of 39 shallow lakes of contrasting trophic status. Journal of Paleolimnology 38: 117-134. 10.1007/s10933-006-9066-x

Helmens, K.F., Bos, J.A.A., Engels, S., van Meerbeeck, C.J., Bohncke, S.J.P., Renssen, H., Heiri, O., Brooks, S.J., Seppä, H., Birks, H.J.B. & Wohlfarth, B. 2007. Present-day temperatures in northern Scandinavia during the last glaciation. Geology 35: 987-990. 10.1130/G23995A.1

Seppä, H., Birks, H.J.B., Giesecke, T., Hammarlund, D., Alenius T., Antonsson, K., Bjune, A.E., Heikkilä, M., MacDonald, G.M., Ojala, A.E.K., Telford, R.J. & Veski, S. 2007. Spatial structure of the 8200 cal yr BP event in Northern Europe. Climate of the Past 3: 225-236. www.clim-past.net/3/225/2007/cp-3-225-2007.pdf

Willis, K.J., Kleczkowski, A., New, M. & Whittaker, R.J. 2007. Testing the impact of climate variability on European plant diversity: 320 000 years of water–energy dynamics and its long-term influence on plant taxonomic richness. Ecology Letters 10: 673-679.

Antonsson, K., Brooks, S.J., Seppä, H., Telford, R.J. & Birks, H.J.B. 2006. Quantitative palaeotemperature records inferred from fossil pollen and chironomid assemblages from Lake Gilltjarnen, northern central Sweden. Journal of Quaternary Science 21: 831-841. 10.1002/jqs.1004

Birks, H.J.B. & Telford, R.J. 2006. Discussion on Bayesian palaeoclimate reconstruction by J. Haslett et al. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society A 169: 433-434.

Clarke, A.L., Weckström, K., Conley, D.J., Anderson, N.J., Adser, F., Andrén, E., de Jonge, V.N., Ellegaard, M., Juggins, S., Kauppila, P., Korhola, A., Reuss, N., Telford, R.J. & Vaalgamaa. S. 2006. Long-term trends in eutrophication and nutrients in the coastal zone. Limnology & Oceanography 51: 385-397.

Heegaard, E., Lotter, A.F. & Birks, H.J.B. 2006. Aquatic biota and the detection of climate change: are there consistent aquatic ecotones? Journal of Paleolimnology 35: 507-518. 10.1007/s10933-005-3239-x

Payne, R., Kishaba, K., Blackford, J.J. & Mitchell, E.A.D. 2006. Ecology of testate ameoba (Protista) in south-central Alaska peatlands: building transfer-function models for palaeoenvironmental studies. The Holocene 16: 403-414. 10.1191/0959683606hl936rp

Telford, R.J. 2006. Limitations of dinoflagellate cyst transfer function. Quaternary Science Reviews 25: 1375-1382. 10.1016/j.quascirev.2006.02.012

Heegaard, E., Birks, H.J.B. & Telford, R.J. 2005. Relationships between calibrated ages and depth in stratigraphical sequences: an estimation procedure by mixed-effect regression. The Holocene 15: 612-618. DOI: 10.0091/0959683605hl836rr

Smol, J., Wolfe, A.P. Birks, H.J.B. & 23 others 2005. Climate-driven regime shifts in the biological communities of arctic lakes. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 102: 4397-4402. DOI: 10.1073/pnas.0500245102

Solovieva, N., Jones, V.J. Nazarova, L., Brooks, S.J., Birks, H.J.B., Grytnes, J.-A., Appleby, P., Kauppila, T., Kondratenok, B., Renberg, I. & Ponomarev, V. 2005. Palaeolimnological evidence for recent climatic change in lakes from the northern Urals, arctic Russia. Journal of Paleolimnology 33: 463-482. DOI: 10.1007/s10933-005-0811-3

Telford, R.J. & Birks, H.J.B. 2005. The secret assumption of transfer functions: problems with spatial autocorrelation in evaluating model performance. Quaternary Science Reviews 24: 2173-2179. DOI: 10.1016/j.quascirev.2005.05.001

Velle, G., Brooks, S.J. Birks, H.J.B. & Willassen, E. 2005. Chironomids as a tool for inferring Holocene climate: an assessment based on six sites in southern Scandinavia. Quaternary Science Reviews 24: 1429-1462. DOI: 10.1016/j.quascirev.2004.10.010

Birks, H.J.B. & Seppä, H. 2004. Pollen-based reconstructions of late-Quaternary climate in Europe - progress, problems, and pitfalls. Acta Palaeobotanica 44: 317-334.

Seppä, H., Birks, H.J.B., Odland, A., Poska, A. & Veski, S. 2004. A modern pollen-climate calibration set from northern Europe: developing and testing a tool for palaeoclimatological reconstructions. Journal of Biogeography 31: 251-267.

Telford, R.J., Heegaard, E. & Birks, H.J.B. 2004. All age-depth models are wrong: but how badly? Quaternary Science Reviews 23: 1-5.

Telford, R.J., Heegaard, E. & Birks, H.J.B. 2004. The intercept is a poor estimate of a calibrated radiocarbon age. The Holocene 14: 296-298.