Level of Study
Semester of Instruction
Spring. The course is only offered if enough students enrol.
Place of Instruction
Objectives and Content
GEOF321 is an introduction to modern weather forecasting based on numerical models, as well as presenting initialisation and post-processing methods. The elements of numerical models for weather and climate prediction are explained and guidance for their interpretation is given. Weaknesses and caveats associated with spatial and temporal resolution, parameterised processes, boundary and initial conditions are explored. An introduction is given to the analysis and tracing of forecasting errors, predictability, data assimilation, and ensemble forecasting. Physical and dynamical processes in the atmosphere related to weather systems are revisited and used in connection with the interpretation of output of numerical weather prediction models.
Upon completing GEOF321 the student should:
- know about the construction and limitations of numerical weather prediction models
- understand the concepts of predictability, ensemble forecasting, and data assimilation
- know the products of modern weather forecasting
- be able to prepare basic weather forecasts
- assess uncertainties of weather forecasts
- relate model uncertainties to relevant atmospheric processes
- display and analyse numerical weather prediction model output
Required Previous Knowledge
Bachelor in meteorology and oceanography, or equivalent programs.
Recommended Previous Knowledge
Teaching Methods and Extent of Organized Teaching
2 lectures à 2 hours per week
1 exercise à 2 hours per week
Compulsory Assignments and Attendance
Regular attendance of the course exercises including presentation of own solutions.
Valid for four semesters: The semester mandatory activities have been approved and the three following semesters.
Forms of Assessment
Written mid-term exam, counts 20% of the final grade and is valid for two semester. Must have attended the mid-term exam to take the final oral exam.
Final oral exam, 45 min, counts 80% of the grade, must be passed. No auxiliaries allowed for the exam.
The grading scale used is A to F. Grade A is the highest passing grade in the grading scale, grade F is a fail.
Type of assessment: Written and oral examination
- Withdrawal deadline